Transgender Polling Archive
mixed-mode probability

ANES

ANES 2024 Time Series Study - post-election wave · Nov 7, 2024 – Feb 17, 2025 · US national

Methodology

Pollster
ANES academic
Sponsor
American National Election Studies
Fielded
Nov 7, 2024 – Feb 17, 2025
Population
adult citizens
Sample size
4,964
Sample frame
mixed-mode probability
Mode
face-to-face CAPI, phone, live video, self-administered web, and an abbreviated paper-and-pencil questionnaire
Margin of error
not disclosed
Weighting
ANES 2024 full-sample post-election weight
Geography
US national
Base notes
Post-election re-interviews; overall re-interview rate 89.9% of the 5,521 pre-election respondents (n derived from that rate, not printed as a count in the user guide). Item bases in the frequency tables run about 4,700.

Sources

Verification note. Wording copied verbatim from the ANES 2024 Time Series questionnaire. Percentages are UNWEIGHTED marginal frequencies from the Berkeley SDA HTML codebook (V242362, V242364x). Sample size is derived from the published 89.9% re-interview rate because the user guide does not print a post-election completion count. No distribution retrieved for the transgender feeling thermometer V242150/V242151 or for the KNOWTRANS and DISCTRANS CASI items; those questions are recorded with wording and variable names but empty results.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (2)

Military servicefavor/opposein a trend series
ANES variable V242362 (TRANSMIL_ALLOWMIL) - allowing transgender people to serve in the armed forces

Do you favor, oppose, or neither favor nor oppose allowing transgender people to serve in the United States Armed Forces?

Favor 35%25% Oppose

Wording notes: explicit 'neither favor nor oppose' middle category absorbs about 40% of responses

neutral — symmetric favor/oppose with explicit midpoint; wording unchanged from 2020, preserving the trend

Military servicefavor/opposein a trend series
ANES summary variable V242364x - military item folded with strength (7-point)

IF R FAVORS ALLOWING TRANSGENDER PPL IN MILITARY / IF R OPPOSES ALLOWING TRANSGENDER PPL IN MILITARY:

Do you favor that [a great deal, a moderate amount, or a little / a little, a moderate amount, or a great deal]? / Do you oppose that [a great deal, a moderate amount, or a little / a little, a moderate amount, or a great deal]?

Favor 35%25% Oppose

Wording notes: 7-point folded scale with a true midpoint

neutral — standard ANES branching strength probe

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →