Transgender Polling Archive
probability panel

AP-NORC

The October 2025 AP-NORC Center Poll (AmeriSpeak Omnibus) · Oct 9–13, 2025 · US national

Methodology

Pollster
AP-NORC media
Sponsor
The Associated Press and NORC at the University of Chicago
Fielded
Oct 9–13, 2025
Population
adults
Sample size
1,289
Sample frame
probability panel
Panel
NORC AmeriSpeak Panel
Mode
AmeriSpeak Omnibus - self-administered web plus telephone
Margin of error
+/- 3.8 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect (5.6 pts Democrats, 6.2 pts Republicans, 9.2 pts independents)
Weighting
poststratification to age, gender, census division, race/ethnicity, education, and 2024 presidential vote; targets from the 2025 Current Population Survey and final 2024 presidential vote results
Geography
US national
Base notes
1,226 completed via the web and 63 by telephone; Hispanic adults oversampled (378 interviews, +/- 6.9 pts)

Sources

Verification note. Wording and Total percentages copied from the AP-NORC October 2025 topline PDF. No party crosstab published in the topline.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (2)

Sportsfavor/opposein a trend series
requiring trans youth to compete on teams matching sex assigned at birth

[GRID ITEMS RANDOMIZED; HALF SAMPLE ASKED RESPONSE OPTIONS IN REVERSE ORDER]

Do you favor, neither favor nor oppose, or oppose each of the following? Requiring transgender children and teenagers to only compete on sports teams that match the sex they were assigned at birth not the gender they identify with

Favor 57%17% Oppose
Strongly/somewhat favor (NET) 57%

Wording notes: restrictive-direction stem: 'favor' is the restrictive answer | uses 'sex they were assigned at birth' and 'the gender they identify with', both stated | asked in a grid alongside mass deportation and tariffs

neutral — both poles of the underlying distinction are named in the stem and the response scale is symmetric with a middle option

Political salience4-point scalein a trend series
confidence in the Supreme Court's handling of transgender issues

[GRID ITEMS RANDOMIZED, HALF SAMPLE ASKED RESPONSE OPTIONS IN REVERSE ORDER]

How much confidence do you have in the Supreme Court's handling of each the following issues? Transgender issues

Only a little
31%
A moderate amount
24%
A great deal
9%
None at all
34%
Skipped/refused
1%
A great deal/a moderate amount (NET) 33%Only a little/none at all (NET) 65%

Wording notes: 'transgender issues' left undefined

neutral — standard confidence scale; no directional cue

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →