Transgender Polling Archive
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Cooperative Election Study (CES)

CCES 2019 Common Content (off-year post-election wave) · Nov 6, 2019 – Dec 8, 2019 · US national (large enough for state-level estimates)

Methodology

Pollster
Cooperative Election Study (CES) academic
Sponsor
Harvard University (CES/CCES consortium of university research teams)
Fielded
Nov 6, 2019 – Dec 8, 2019
Population
adults
Sample size
18,000
Sample frame
online opt-in
Panel
YouGov (with Disqo, Prodege and Generation Lab panels in some years)
Mode
online - YouGov matched random sample: a target sample is drawn from the American Community Survey / Current Population Survey frame and matched to YouGov opt-in panelists, then weighted by propensity score and raked
Margin of error
not disclosed
Weighting
commonweight (2017: weights_common) - propensity-score matched sample weighted and raked to age, gender, education, race, Hispanic origin, voter registration status and presidential vote
Geography
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Base notes
Off-year CES: a single post-election common-content wave

Sources

Verification note. Wording copied verbatim from CCES19_Common.pdf (grid CC19_332, row CC19_332e). Percentages computed by this agent from the public-use microdata CCES19_Common_OUTPUT.tab (n=18,000) using the released weight commonweight; raw unweighted counts given in the n field. Field dates derived from starttime/endtime in the microdata.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (2)

Military servicesupport/opposein a trend series
CCES variable CC19_332e - ban transgender people in the military

For each of the following tell us whether you support or oppose these decisions.

Ban Transgender People in the Military

Support 38%62% Oppose

Wording notes: bare policy label | no middle or don't-know option | embedded in an executive-orders battery

neutral — plain policy label; battery framing is the main caveat

Subgroup figures (6)

party

GroupSupportOppose
Democrat13.9%86.1%
Republican70.9%29.1%
Independent38.1%61.9%
Contact & populationotherin a trend series
CES demographic variable measuring transgender status of the respondent

Have you ever undergone any part of a process (including any thought or action) to change your gender / perceived gender from the one you were assigned at birth? This may include steps such as changing the type of clothes you wear, name you are known by or undergoing surgery.

No
93.5%
Yes
3.9%
Prefer not to say
2.6%

Wording notes: extremely broad wording ('any thought or action')

unclear — The pre-2021 CCES wording asks whether the respondent has 'ever undergone any part of a process (including any thought or action)' to change their gender, which is far broader than transgender self-identification and produces prevalence estimates of 2-4%, several times higher than every other national survey. It should not be read as a transgender population estimate.

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →