online opt-in
CECooperative Election Study (CES)
CES 2021 Common Content (off-year post-election wave) · Nov 3, 2021 – Dec 7, 2021 · US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Methodology
- Pollster
- Cooperative Election Study (CES) academic
- Sponsor
- Harvard University (CES/CCES consortium of university research teams)
- Fielded
- Nov 3, 2021 – Dec 7, 2021
- Population
- adults
- Sample size
- 25,700
- Sample frame
- online opt-in
- Panel
- YouGov (with Disqo, Prodege and Generation Lab panels in some years)
- Mode
- online - YouGov matched random sample: a target sample is drawn from the American Community Survey / Current Population Survey frame and matched to YouGov opt-in panelists, then weighted by propensity score and raked
- Margin of error
- not disclosed
- Weighting
- commonweight (2017: weights_common) - propensity-score matched sample weighted and raked to age, gender, education, race, Hispanic origin, voter registration status and presidential vote
- Geography
- US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
- Base notes
- Off-year CES: a single post-election common-content wave
Sources
Verification note. DIRECTION FLIP: in 2021 the CES replaced the Trump-era 'Ban Transgender People in the Military' row with 'Allow Transgender People in the Military', so 2021 support is the mirror image of the 2017-2020 series. Wording copied verbatim from CES21_Common_Questions.pdf (grid CC21_355, row CC21_355d). Percentages computed by this agent from CES21_Common_OUTPUT.tab (n=25,700) using the released weight commonweight. Field dates derived from starttime/endtime in the microdata. This is also the year the CES replaced the old 'ever undergone any part of a process' item with a direct 'Do you identify as transgender?' question.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (2)
CES variable CC21_355d - allow transgender people in the military (Biden-era reversal of the item's direction)
For each of the following tell us whether you support or oppose these decisions.
Allow Transgender People in the Military
Wording notes: DIRECTION REVERSED from the 2017-2020 'Ban Transgender People in the Military' wording - do not chart these together without flipping one side | bare policy label | no middle or don't-know option | battery now consists of Biden executive orders
neutral — plain policy label; the analytically important issue is the direction flip, not slanted wording
Subgroup figures (6)
CES demographic variable measuring transgender status of the respondent
Do you identify as transgender?
No
97.5%
Yes
1.4%
Prefer not to say
1.1%
Wording notes: new direct self-identification wording, replacing the broad 'ever undergone any part of a process' item used 2016-2020
neutral — Direct self-identification item; yields prevalence in the 1% range, consistent with other surveys.