Transgender Polling Archive
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Cooperative Election Study (CES)

Cooperative Election Study (CES) 2022 Common Content · Sep 29, 2022 – Dec 15, 2022 · US national (large enough for state-level estimates)

Methodology

Pollster
Cooperative Election Study (CES) academic
Sponsor
Harvard University (CES/CCES consortium of university research teams)
Fielded
Sep 29, 2022 – Dec 15, 2022
Population
adults
Sample size
60,000
Sample frame
online opt-in
Panel
YouGov (with Disqo, Prodege and Generation Lab panels in some years)
Mode
online - YouGov matched random sample: a target sample is drawn from the American Community Survey / Current Population Survey frame and matched to YouGov opt-in panelists, then weighted by propensity score and raked
Margin of error
not disclosed
Weighting
commonweight (2017: weights_common) - propensity-score matched sample weighted and raked to age, gender, education, race, Hispanic origin, voter registration status and presidential vote
Geography
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Base notes
Pre-election wave 29 Sep - 8 Nov 2022; post-election wave 10 Nov - 15 Dec 2022

Sources

Verification note. NEGATIVE FINDING WORTH RECORDING: a full-text search of 'CES Guide 2022.pdf', which tabulates every variable in the 2022 common content, turns up no transgender POLICY item at all - the military row was dropped after 2021 and the gender-transition-care item did not arrive until 2023. Only the demographic self-identification item and a new four-category gender item are present. Counts read from the guide and are UNWEIGHTED; percentages computed by this agent from those counts (839 + 58,034 + 528 = 59,401).

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (1)

Contact & populationotherin a trend series
CES demographic variable measuring transgender status of the respondent

Do you identify as transgender?

No
97.7%
Yes
1.4%
Prefer not to say
0.9%

Wording notes: direct self-identification wording

neutral — Direct self-identification item; yields prevalence in the 1% range, consistent with other surveys.

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →