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Cooperative Election Study (CES)

CES 2023 Common Content (off-year post-election wave) · Nov 8, 2023 – Dec 11, 2023 · US national (large enough for state-level estimates)

Methodology

Pollster
Cooperative Election Study (CES) academic
Sponsor
Harvard University (CES/CCES consortium of university research teams)
Fielded
Nov 8, 2023 – Dec 11, 2023
Population
adults
Sample size
24,500
Sample frame
online opt-in
Panel
YouGov (with Disqo, Prodege and Generation Lab panels in some years)
Mode
online - YouGov matched random sample: a target sample is drawn from the American Community Survey / Current Population Survey frame and matched to YouGov opt-in panelists, then weighted by propensity score and raked
Margin of error
not disclosed
Weighting
commonweight (2017: weights_common) - propensity-score matched sample weighted and raked to age, gender, education, race, Hispanic origin, voter registration status and presidential vote
Geography
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Base notes
Off-year CES: a single post-election common-content wave

Sources

Verification note. Wording copied verbatim from 'CES 2023 CC Questionnaire.pdf' (grid CC23_343). The questionnaire prints '{grid} No question stem present' for CC23_343, so the stem recorded here is reconstructed from the parallel 2025 grid and is NOT confirmed verbatim for 2023 - the response options in 2023 are Agree/Disagree, not Support/Oppose. Percentages computed by this agent from CCES23_Common_OUTPUT.tab (n=24,500) using the released weight commonweight. Field dates derived from starttime/endtime in the microdata.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (3)

Youth medical careagree/disagreein a trend series
CES variable CC23_343a - criminalising gender-transition care for minors

Make it illegal for health care professionals to provide someone younger than 18 with medical care for a gender transition.

Agree 66%34% Disagree

Wording notes: 'make it illegal' is a criminalisation frame rather than a restriction frame | no middle or don't-know option, which forces leaners onto one side | agree/disagree format is acquiescence-prone

unclear — agree/disagree items with no midpoint are known to attract acquiescence bias; note also that in 2025 the identical row text was asked as support/oppose, so cross-year comparison mixes formats

Subgroup figures (6)

party

GroupAgreeDisagree
Democrat46.6%53.4%
Republican87.4%12.6%
Independent67.8%32.2%
School policyagree/disagreein a trend series
CES variable CC23_343b - prohibiting classroom instruction on sexual orientation and identity

Prohibit classroom discussion or instruction on sexual orientation and identity in kindergarten to third grade or in older grades in "a manner that is not age-appropriate or developmentally appropriate".

Agree 71%29% Disagree

Wording notes: quotes the Florida statute's own 'age-appropriate or developmentally appropriate' language, which is a strong legitimating cue | double-barreled: bundles a K-3 ban with a vaguer older-grades standard | no middle option

double_barreled — the item asks about two distinct policies at once and imports the statute's own favourable self-description ('age-appropriate'), which almost certainly inflates agreement

Subgroup figures (6)

party

GroupAgreeDisagree
Democrat53.9%46.1%
Republican90%10%
Independent74.3%25.7%
Adult medical careagree/disagreein a trend series
CES variable CC23_343c - prohibiting public bodies from interfering with access to gender transition surgery

Prohibit local municipalities and other public bodies from interfering with a person's ability to obtain a gender transition operation.

Agree 58%42% Disagree

Wording notes: double negative - agreeing means prohibiting interference, i.e. protecting access | no middle option

unclear — the double-negative construction ('prohibit ... from interfering') is cognitively demanding and the party split is much flatter than on the other two rows, which is consistent with some respondents misreading the direction

Subgroup figures (6)

party

GroupAgreeDisagree
Democrat71%29%
Republican44.3%55.7%
Independent57.8%42.2%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →