online opt-in
CECooperative Election Study (CES)
Cooperative Election Study (CES) 2024 Common Content · Oct 2024 – Dec 10, 2024 · US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Methodology
- Pollster
- Cooperative Election Study (CES) academic
- Sponsor
- Harvard University (CES/CCES consortium of university research teams)
- Fielded
- Oct 2024 – Dec 10, 2024
- Population
- adults
- Sample size
- 60,000
- Sample frame
- online opt-in
- Panel
- YouGov (with Disqo, Prodege and Generation Lab panels in some years)
- Mode
- online - YouGov matched random sample: a target sample is drawn from the American Community Survey / Current Population Survey frame and matched to YouGov opt-in panelists, then weighted by propensity score and raked
- Margin of error
- not disclosed
- Weighting
- commonweight (2017: weights_common) - propensity-score matched sample weighted and raked to age, gender, education, race, Hispanic origin, voter registration status and presidential vote
- Geography
- US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
- Base notes
- Pre-election wave 1 Oct - 4 Nov 2024; post-election wave 6 Nov - 10 Dec 2024. CC24_444 was on the pre-election wave.
Sources
Verification note. Wording and stem copied verbatim from 'CES_2024_GUIDE_vv.pdf' (grid CC24_444). Percentages computed by this agent from the public-use microdata CCES24_Common_OUTPUT_vv_topost_final.csv (n=60,000) using the released weight commonweight. The unweighted counts computed from the microdata match the counts printed in the guide exactly (28,393/21,027 for row a and 30,145/19,278 for row b), which resolves the guide's ambiguous column alignment and cross-validates the row-to-count mapping.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (3)
CES variable CC24_444a - state ban on gender transition surgery for minors with gender dysphoria
Some states are considering the following policies. If this came up in your state, would you support or oppose the proposal?
Preventing gender transition surgery for minors experiencing gender dysphoria.
Wording notes: restricted to SURGERY, not puberty blockers or hormones, which is a narrower policy than the 2023/2025 'medical care for a gender transition' item | qualifies the population as minors 'experiencing gender dysphoria', a clinical framing | no middle or don't-know option | 'If this came up in your state' hypothetical framing
neutral — plainly stated policy with a symmetric support/oppose; the narrowing to 'surgery' makes this NOT comparable to broader gender-affirming-care-ban items, which is a comparability issue rather than a bias in the wording
Subgroup figures (6)
CES variable CC24_444b - parental consent before school staff use a student's chosen name or pronoun
Some states are considering the following policies. If this came up in your state, would you support or oppose the proposal?
Requiring parental consent before teachers could address their child using a name or pronoun other than the name or gender under which they are enrolled in school.
Wording notes: 'parental consent' is a high-valence positive frame that tends to lift support regardless of the underlying policy | does not mention transgender students explicitly | no middle or don't-know option
tilts_restrictive — framing the policy as 'requiring parental consent' rather than as 'prohibiting teachers from using a student's chosen name' invokes a broadly popular value and is likely to inflate support relative to a neutral description of the same rule
Subgroup figures (6)
CES demographic variable measuring transgender status of the respondent
Do you identify as transgender?
No
98.3%
Yes
1%
Prefer not to say
0.7%
Wording notes: direct self-identification wording
neutral — Direct self-identification item; yields prevalence in the 1% range, consistent with other surveys.