online opt-in
CECooperative Election Study (CES)
CES 2025 Common Content (off-year post-election wave) · Nov 5, 2025 – Dec 12, 2025 · US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Methodology
- Pollster
- Cooperative Election Study (CES) academic
- Sponsor
- Harvard University (CES/CCES consortium of university research teams)
- Fielded
- Nov 5, 2025 – Dec 12, 2025
- Population
- adults
- Sample size
- 17,000
- Sample frame
- online opt-in
- Panel
- YouGov (with Disqo, Prodege and Generation Lab panels in some years)
- Mode
- online - YouGov matched random sample: a target sample is drawn from the American Community Survey / Current Population Survey frame and matched to YouGov opt-in panelists, then weighted by propensity score and raked
- Margin of error
- not disclosed
- Weighting
- commonweight (2017: weights_common) - propensity-score matched sample weighted and raked to age, gender, education, race, Hispanic origin, voter registration status and presidential vote
- Geography
- US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
- Base notes
- Off-year CES: a single post-election common-content wave
Sources
Verification note. Wording and stem copied verbatim from CES25_Common.pdf (grid CC25_343, varlabel 'Transgender issues'). Percentages computed by this agent from CES25_Common.tab (n=17,000) using the released weight commonweight. Field dates derived by decoding the Stata-format starttime/endtime variables in the microdata (milliseconds since 1960-01-01), giving 5 Nov - 12 Dec 2025. Row-to-variable assignment was confirmed by the party split: row c is the only one Democrats support more than Republicans, matching its pro-access direction.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (4)
CES variable CC25_343a - criminalising gender-transition care for minors (repeat of the 2023 item, format changed to support/oppose)
Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Do you support or oppose the following proposals?
Make it illegal for health care professionals to provide someone younger than 18 with medical care for a gender transition
Wording notes: 'make it illegal' criminalisation frame | no middle or don't-know option | FORMAT CHANGE from the 2023 agree/disagree version of the identical row text
neutral — symmetric support/oppose; the criminalisation frame is a substantive feature of the policy being tested rather than a slant, but the 2023-to-2025 format change limits trend comparability
Subgroup figures (6)
CES variable CC25_343b - prohibiting classroom instruction on sexual orientation and identity
Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Do you support or oppose the following proposals?
Prohibit classroom discussion or instruction on sexual orientation and identity in kindergarten to third grade or in older grades in "a manner that is not age-appropriate or developmentally appropriate"
Wording notes: quotes the Florida statute's 'age-appropriate or developmentally appropriate' language | double-barreled | no middle option
double_barreled — bundles a K-3 ban with a vaguer older-grades standard and imports the statute's favourable self-description
Subgroup figures (6)
CES variable CC25_343c - prohibiting public bodies from interfering with access to gender transition surgery
Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Do you support or oppose the following proposals?
Prohibit local municipalities and other public bodies from interfering with a person's ability to obtain a gender transition operation
Wording notes: double negative - supporting means protecting access | no middle option
unclear — the double-negative construction flattens the party gap (Republicans 49.8% support), which is hard to reconcile with the same respondents' 87% support for banning youth care and suggests some respondents misread the direction
Subgroup figures (6)
CES demographic variable measuring transgender status of the respondent
Do you identify as transgender?
No
97.7%
Yes
1.2%
Prefer not to say
1.1%
Wording notes: direct self-identification wording
neutral — Direct self-identification item; yields prevalence in the 1% range, consistent with other surveys.