mixed-mode probability

Curia Market Research

Curia Market Research 'Gender, Children & Schools Poll' for Family First New Zealand · Aug 22–23, 2023 · New Zealand national

Methodology

Pollster
Curia Market Research commercial
Sponsor
Family First New Zealand
Commissioned by
Family First New Zealand
Fielded
Aug 22–23, 2023
Population
adults
Sample size
1,000
Sample frame
mixed-mode probability
Mode
mixed mode - 500 respondents by telephone (random selection of 10,000 nationwide landline and mobile numbers) and 500 via online panel
Margin of error
+/- 3.1 percentage points (maximum, for a result of 50%)
Weighting
weighted to reflect the overall adult population in terms of gender, age, and area
Geography
New Zealand national

Sources

Verification note. Question wording, toplines and 2020 party-vote crosstabs read directly from the Curia results PDF. Party-vote 'Unsure' cells were not fully legible in the extracted text for every item, so only Support/Oppose (or Yes/No) party cells are recorded where that is the case.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (5)

School policysupport/opposein a trend series
law prohibiting primary schools teaching gender identity or sexual orientation

Would you support or oppose a law that prohibits primary schools from teaching any sexual issues, such as gender identity or sexual orientation, in the classroom as part of the curriculum in primary schools - that's ages 5 up to 10 or 11.

Support 38%41% Oppose

Wording notes: classifies gender identity as a 'sexual issue'

loaded_terms — grouping gender identity under 'any sexual issues' sexualises the topic before the respondent answers

Subgroup figures (12)

party

GroupSupportOppose
National 2020 party vote49%35%
Labour 2020 party vote31%48%
ACT 2020 party vote32%38%
Green 2020 party vote38%45%
Other party 202046%40%
Did not vote 202042%31%
School policyagree/disagreein a trend series
whether primary age children should be taught they can choose their gender

Do you believe that primary age children should be taught that they can choose their "gender" and that it can be changed through hormone treatment and surgery if they want it to be?

No
76%
Yes
10%
Unsure
14%

Wording notes: scare quotes around "gender" | 'choose their gender' framing | combines choice, hormones and surgery in one stem

tilts_restrictive — the scare-quoted "gender", the word 'choose', and the bundling of hormones and surgery with primary-age children all push toward a negative answer

Subgroup figures (12)

party

GroupYesNo
National 2020 party vote12%85%
Labour 2020 party vote11%71%
ACT 2020 party vote2%89%
Green 2020 party vote23%51%
Other party 202012%77%
Did not vote 20204%78%
Youth medical caresupport/opposein a trend series
ban on puberty blockers, cross-sex hormones and surgery for under-18s

Some people have proposed banning puberty blockers, cross-sex hormones, and physical sex-change surgeries for children under the age of 18 who identify as transgender. Would you support or oppose this kind of ban?

Support 54%27% Oppose

Wording notes: 'cross-sex hormones' and 'physical sex-change surgeries' rather than clinical terminology | bundles three distinct interventions into a single ban

double_barreled — one response has to cover three different interventions; the PDF itself notes some respondents may only support banning some of them

Subgroup figures (12)

party

GroupSupportOppose
National 2020 party vote68%21%
Labour 2020 party vote48%32%
ACT 2020 party vote65%26%
Green 2020 party vote34%44%
Other party 202054%29%
Did not vote 202050%18%
Sportsagree/disagreein a trend series
automatic access to girls' sports teams

Should boys who identify as girls be allowed automatic right of access to girls sports teams such as netball or girls rugby or football (and vice versa)?

No
68%
Yes
13%
Unsure
19%

Wording notes: 'boys who identify as girls' rather than 'transgender girls' | 'automatic right of access' implies an unconditional entitlement

tilts_restrictive — misgendering language plus 'automatic right of access' sets a maximal version of the policy, and the release nevertheless compares the result to a 2018 item with materially different wording

Subgroup figures (18)

party

GroupYesNoUnsure
National 2020 party vote10%77%14%
Labour 2020 party vote18%61%21%
ACT 2020 party vote2%86%12%
Green 2020 party vote14%49%37%
Other party 20209%71%20%
Did not vote 20207%72%21%
Pronouns & languageagree/disagree
whether a teacher should lose their licence for misgendering a trans student

Should a teacher lose their teaching licence for misgendering a trans student (refusing to use their preferred pronoun or recognise their gender identity)

No
65%
Yes
16%
Unsure
19%

Wording notes: tests only the most severe sanction (loss of licence) | 'preferred pronoun' framing

tilts_restrictive — offering only the maximum professional penalty and no intermediate response makes rejection the easy answer regardless of views on misgendering itself

Subgroup figures (15)

gender

GroupYesNoUnsure
Female18%62%21%
Male14%68%18%

age

GroupYesNoUnsure
Age 18-4020%57%23%
Age 41-6014%66%20%
Age 61+14%73%14%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →