mixed-mode probability

Curia Market Research

Curia Market Research 'Gender Affirming Treatment' Poll for Family First New Zealand · Apr 17–21, 2024 · New Zealand national

Methodology

Pollster
Curia Market Research commercial
Sponsor
Family First New Zealand
Commissioned by
Family First New Zealand
Fielded
Apr 17–21, 2024
Population
adults
Sample size
1,000
Sample frame
mixed-mode probability
Mode
mixed mode - 750 respondents by telephone (random selection of 10,000 nationwide landline and mobile numbers) and 250 via online panel; part of a wider omnibus survey
Margin of error
+/- 3.1 percentage points (maximum, for a result of 50%)
Weighting
weighted to reflect the overall NZ adult population in terms of gender, age, and area
Geography
New Zealand national

Sources

Verification note. Question wording, toplines, methodology page and current-party-vote crosstabs read directly from the Curia results PDF. A parental-notification question quoted in the Family First media release does not appear in this results PDF and is therefore not recorded here.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (6)

School policyagree/disagreein a trend series
whether primary age children should be taught they can choose their gender

Do you believe that primary age children should be taught that they can choose their "gender" and that it can be changed through hormone treatment and surgery if they want it to be?

No
69%
Yes
15%
Unsure
16%

Wording notes: scare quotes around "gender" | 'choose their gender' framing

tilts_restrictive — same construction as the 2023 wave: scare-quoted "gender", elective 'choose', and hormones/surgery attached to primary-age children

Subgroup figures (18)

party

GroupYesNoUnsure
National current party vote7%81%12%
Labour current party vote24%62%14%
ACT current party vote0%96%4%
NZ First current party vote11%81%8%
Green current party vote29%41%30%
Te Pati Maori current party vote5%55%40%
School policysupport/opposein a trend series
opt-in law for primary school teaching of gender identity or sexual orientation

Would you support or oppose a law that prohibits primary schools from teaching any sexual issues, such as gender identity or sexual orientation, in the classroom as part of the curriculum in primary schools - that's ages 5 up to 10 or 11 unless parents specifically opt their children into these classes.

Support 44%40% Oppose

Wording notes: classifies gender identity as a 'sexual issue' | adds a parental opt-in clause absent from the 2023 wording, so the trend is not clean

loaded_terms — 'any sexual issues' sexualises gender identity; the added opt-in clause also softens the ban relative to the 2023 version while being reported as the same trend

Subgroup figures (12)

party

GroupSupportOppose
National current party vote53%36%
Labour current party vote32%47%
ACT current party vote67%27%
NZ First current party vote58%31%
Green current party vote30%55%
Te Pati Maori current party vote44%18%
Youth medical caresupport/opposein a trend series
NZ ban on puberty blockers for under-16s, modelled on NHS England

The UK health service (the NHS) has stopped the use of puberty blockers, which begin the gender transition process, for children under 16 as it deemed they are too young to consent.

The UK health service (the NHS) has stopped the use of puberty blockers, which begin the gender transition process, for children under 16 as it deemed they are too young to consent. Do you support or oppose a similar ban in New Zealand on the use of puberty blockers for young people 16 or younger?

Support 62%19% Oppose

Wording notes: cites the NHS as an authority endorsing the restriction before asking | asserts blockers 'begin the gender transition process' | asserts children under 16 are 'too young to consent'

tilts_restrictive — the preamble supplies a respected health authority's conclusion and two contested factual claims in support of the restriction, with no counterpoint before the response scale

Subgroup figures (18)

party

GroupSupportOpposeUnsure
National current party vote72%16%12%
Labour current party vote54%22%24%
ACT current party vote83%12%5%
NZ First current party vote67%14%19%
Green current party vote41%44%16%
Te Pati Maori current party vote57%16%26%
Youth medical caresupport/opposein a trend series
ban on puberty blockers, cross-sex hormones and surgery for under-18s

Some people have proposed banning puberty blockers, cross-sex hormones, and physical sex-change surgeries for children under the age of 18 who identify as transgender. Would you support or oppose this kind of ban?

Support 53%24% Oppose

Wording notes: bundles three distinct interventions into a single ban

double_barreled — a single response has to cover blockers, hormones and surgery; the PDF itself notes respondents may only support banning some of them, and the preceding NHS preamble primes a restrictive answer

Subgroup figures (18)

party

GroupSupportOpposeUnsure
National current party vote60%23%17%
Labour current party vote50%25%25%
ACT current party vote81%15%4%
NZ First current party vote50%38%12%
Green current party vote32%44%24%
Te Pati Maori current party vote40%26%34%
Youth medical careforced choice
whether youth gender treatment should centre on blockers/hormones or on mental health

If a young person says they want to change their gender, should the treatment be primarily based on providing puberty blockers and cross-sex hormones, or should the treatment primarily focus on dealing with the gender dysphoria and any other underlying mental health issues.

Primarily mental health
53%
Primarily blockers/hormones
10%
Unsure
37%

Wording notes: presents medical transition and mental health care as mutually exclusive | 'underlying mental health issues' implies gender dysphoria is a symptom of something else

tilts_restrictive — the forced choice excludes the actual clinical model of combined care, and the word 'underlying' embeds the contested claim that gender dysphoria masks another condition

Subgroup figures (18)

party

GroupPrimarily blockers/hormonesPrimarily mental healthUnsure
National current party vote7%61%32%
Labour current party vote11%49%39%
ACT current party vote6%79%15%
NZ First current party vote8%55%37%
Green current party vote22%46%32%
Te Pati Maori current party vote0%54%46%
Adult medical careagree/disagree
taxpayer funding of gender-affirming surgery or hormones for adults

Do you think the taxpayers should fund surgery or hormone treatments for adults who wish to change their gender?

No
68%
Yes
16%
Unsure
16%

Wording notes: 'taxpayers should fund' framing | 'wish to change their gender' frames care as elective

tilts_restrictive — invoking the taxpayer as payer and describing adult care as a wish rather than treatment both depress support, and the item sits at the end of a restriction-framed battery

Subgroup figures (12)

party

GroupYesNo
National current party vote12%79%
Labour current party vote17%62%
ACT current party vote11%84%
NZ First current party vote15%79%
Green current party vote35%33%
Te Pati Maori current party vote0%82%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →