Cygnal September 2025 National Voter Trends (NVT) Survey · Sep 2–3, 2025 · US national
Methodology
- Pollster
- Cygnal partisan_r
- Sponsor
- Cygnal
- Fielded
- Sep 2–3, 2025
- Population
- likely voters
- Sample size
- 1,500
- Sample frame
- unknown
- Mode
- not disclosed in the public deck; Cygnal markets its standard product as 'Multi-Mode Polling' but the deck carries no methodology statement
- Margin of error
- ±2.51%
- Weighting
- not disclosed
- Geography
- US national
Sources
Verification note. Question wording, total and full crosstab read directly off the public Cygnal deck PDF (chart slide rendered to image and read; the deck's figures are drawn as chart graphics, not selectable text). Field dates, n and MoE from the deck cover slide. Cygnal publishes no methodology statement with these decks: mode, sample frame, weighting and response rate are all undisclosed. The deck's own narrative summarises this slide as '42% say being transgender is a mental illness, 44% say it is a natural variation'.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
whether being transgender is a mental illness or a natural variation of human identity
Do you believe being transgender is best described as a mental illness or as a natural variation of human identity?
Definitely being transgender is a mental illness
28.9%
Definitely being transgender is a natural variation of human identity
27.3%
Probably being transgender is a natural variation of human identity
17.1%
Probably being transgender is a mental illness
13.5%
Unsure
13.2%
Being transgender is a mental illness (total) 42.4%Being transgender is a natural variation of human identity (total) 44.4%
Wording notes: offers 'mental illness' as one of only two substantive characterizations, which presents a pathologizing frame as an ordinary side of a two-sided debate | the deck slide title uses 'Transgenderism', a coinage used almost exclusively by opponents | no 'neither' option; respondents who reject both framings can only answer Unsure
loaded_terms — the two offered characterizations are not symmetric alternatives - 'mental illness' is a clinical-pathology claim, 'natural variation of human identity' a descriptive one - and forcing a choice between them makes the pathologizing option the default half of a binary
Subgroup figures (26)
party
ideology
gender
2024_vote
other