online opt-in

Data for Progress

Data for Progress Transgender Day of Visibility 2025 survey · Mar 14–21, 2025 · US national

Data flag. MOE CONFIRMED AGAINST SOURCE: DFP's crosstabs state +/-2 for the n=1,636 full adult sample (which includes a reweighted 111-respondent transgender oversample) and +/-9 for the transgender-only tab. The recorded pairing is the full sample, as stated.

Methodology

Pollster
Data for Progress advocacy_left
Sponsor
Data for Progress
Fielded
Mar 14–21, 2025
Population
adults
Sample size
1,636
Sample frame
online opt-in
Panel
not disclosed
Mode
online web panel
Margin of error
+/-2 percentage points
Weighting
weighted to be representative of the adult population by age, gender, race, education, region, voter registration, income, and recalled presidential vote; also weighted to account for the transgender oversample
Geography
US national
Base notes
The 1,636-adult sample includes an oversample of 111 transgender adults, weighted back to the trans share of the adult population. A separate battery was asked only of those 111 transgender adults and is reported at +/-9 points; that item is carried here with results labelled 'Transgender adults (n=111)'.

Sources

Verification note. Wording and figures read directly from Data for Progress's own crosstab PDF, downloaded in this session. The PDF's tables extract with the row labels and the numeric rows in separate blocks; rows were reassembled by matching each SUPPORT (TOTAL)/OPPOSE (TOTAL) row to the sum of its two components and checking that the five substantive rows sum to 100 in every party column. Only Total and the three party columns are carried; the tabs also publish gender, age, education, race, trans-contact and trans-identity columns. || Full 11-page crosstab PDF read directly. Only the highest-value items are transcribed here; the file also carries LGB contact items and a party-by-contact interaction table.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (10)

Party & candidate handlingsupport/opposein a trend series
changing federal references from LGBTQ to LGB

In response to President Trump's recent executive orders targeting diversity, equity, and inclusion and transgender inclusion across the federal government, LGBTQ+-inclusive language and information sources have been changed or removed from government materials and websites. Knowing this, do you support or oppose each of the following?

In response to President Trump's recent executive orders targeting diversity, equity, and inclusion and transgender inclusion across the federal government, LGBTQ+-inclusive language and information sources have been changed or removed from government materials and websites. Knowing this, do you support or oppose each of the following? - Changing federal government references from "LGBTQ" to "LGB" to exclude transgender and queer Americans

Support 25%47% Oppose

Wording notes: item text states the purpose as 'to exclude transgender and queer Americans' | preamble characterizes the executive orders as 'targeting'

tilts_affirming — both the preamble ('targeting') and the item ('to exclude') supply an adversarial characterization of the policy before asking about it

Subgroup figures (25)

party

GroupStrongly supportSomewhat supportSomewhat opposeStrongly opposeDon't knowSupport (total)Oppose (total)OPPOSE (TOTAL)SUPPORT (TOTAL)
Democrats6%14%13%48%18%20%61%——
Independents/third party9%9%13%31%38%18%44%——
Republicans22%18%16%17%28%40%33%——
Democrat———————61%—
Independent / Third party———————44%—
Republican———————33%40%
Surveys of trans peoplemultiple response
difficulty updating and using the gender marker on legal documents, asked of transgender adults

Have you experienced any of the following as a result of anti-transgender policies and rhetoric in the last year? Please select all that apply.

Wording notes: attributes the experiences to 'anti-transgender policies and rhetoric' in the stem, so the item measures attributed rather than raw incidence

loaded_terms — The stem asks respondents to report experiences 'as a result of anti-transgender policies and rhetoric', which both supplies the causal attribution and uses the advocacy framing; incidence here cannot be read as incidence independent of the respondent's own causal judgment.

Subgroup figures (10)

lgbtq_status

GroupHeard anti-transgender remarks from a family, friend, coworker, or neighborWas intentionally misgenderedDid not feel safe going to the doctor or hospital when I was sick or injured out of fear of discrimination or mistreatmentHad difficulty using legal documents with my updated gender markerHad difficulty trying to update the gender marker on my legal documentsHad to wait excessive amounts of time before receiving gender-affirming medical careBeen forced to move or travel out of state to receive my gender-affirming medical careBeen forced to go to a new provider in my state to receive my gender-affirming medical careHad my gender-affirming medical care fully discontinuedHad an appointment for gender-affirming medical care cancelled
Transgender adults (n=111)49%41%27%14%13%11%5%5%4%4%
Contact & populationforced choicein a trend series
personally knowing a transgender person

Do you personally know someone who is:

Do you personally know someone who is: - Transgender

No
63%
Yes
29%
Don't know
8%

Wording notes: asked as one row of a five-item LGBTQ contact battery

neutral — factual contact item

Subgroup figures (3)

party

GroupYes
Democrat32%
Independent / Third party32%
Republican23%
Youth medical careforced choicein a trend series
government ban vs. families and physicians deciding youth care

Which of the following comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?

Families and physicians should decide, not the government
55%
Local school districts and sports associations should set the rules
45%
The federal government should ban transgender girls from playing girls' sports
42%
The government should ban physicians from providing gender-related medical care to transgender youth
33%
Don't know
12%

Wording notes: affirming option uses the 'families and doctors, not politicians' frame that DFP/Navigator message-testing identified as strongest

tilts_affirming — the choice is framed as government intrusion vs. family autonomy rather than as child protection vs. access, which is the framing that maximizes the affirming share

Subgroup figures (15)

party

GroupFamilies and physicians should decide, not the governmentThe government should ban physicians from providing gender-related medical care to transgender youthLocal school districts and sports associations should set the rulesThe federal government should ban transgender girls from playing girls' sports
Democrat75%16%66%22%
Independent / Third party54%26%43%35%
Republican37%58%24%70%

other

GroupFamilies and physicians should decide, not the government
Knows someone who is transgender65%
Does not know someone who is transgender52%

lgbtq_status

GroupFamilies and physicians should decide, not the government
Identifies as transgender85%
Parental rightsagree/disagreein a trend series
families' ability to obtain care for a transgender child

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements? - Families should have the ability to ensure their transgender child can receive medically necessary and developmentally appropriate care

Agree 60%28% Disagree

Wording notes: 'medically necessary and developmentally appropriate' asserts the contested clinical premise inside the item

tilts_affirming — the statement builds in the conclusion that the care is medically necessary and appropriate, which is the exact point in dispute

Subgroup figures (4)

party

GroupAGREE (TOTAL)DISAGREE (TOTAL)
Democrat77%—
Independent / Third party60%—
Republican44%47%
Youth medical careagree/disagreein a trend series
revoking licenses of doctors who provide youth care

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements? - Doctors who provide transgender youth medical care should lose their license to practice medicine

DISAGREE (TOTAL)
50%
AGREE (TOTAL)
37%

Wording notes: reverse-worded item - the restrictive position stated affirmatively

neutral — states the maximalist restrictive penalty plainly and serves as a counterweight to the affirming items in the same battery

Subgroup figures (6)

party

GroupAGREE (TOTAL)DISAGREE (TOTAL)
Democrat24%68%
Independent / Third party28%52%
Republican59%29%
Youth medical careforced choicein a trend series
vignette - 18-year-old on care since age 13

Below are descriptions of people who may be affected by transgender medical care bans. For each, please state whether you think they should or should not be allowed to receive transgender medical care.

Below are descriptions of people who may be affected by transgender medical care bans. For each, please state whether you think they should or should not be allowed to receive transgender medical care. - An 18-year-old who has been prescribed transgender medical care from their doctor since age 13

Should be allowed 54%25% Should not be allowed

Wording notes: vignette design | sympathetic case selection

tilts_affirming — the three vignettes are all constructed as sympathetic cases (long-standing care, early social transition, parental support); no unsympathetic or ambiguous case is offered

Subgroup figures (6)

party

GroupShould be allowedShould not be allowed
Democrat68%23%
Independent / Third party55%32%
Republican41%41%
Military servicesupport/opposein a trend series
trans military service

Do you support or oppose allowing transgender people who meet eligibility standards to serve in the military?

Support 55%34% Oppose

Wording notes: 'who meet eligibility standards' pre-answers the readiness objection

tilts_affirming — the qualifier 'who meet eligibility standards' removes the main argument against, raising support relative to an unqualified version

Subgroup figures (6)

party

GroupSUPPORT (TOTAL)OPPOSE (TOTAL)
Democrat74%18%
Independent / Third party55%26%
Republican37%55%
Military serviceagree/disagreein a trend series
whether trans service members threaten readiness

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements? - Transgender service members threaten our military's readiness

DISAGREE (TOTAL)
53%
AGREE (TOTAL)
32%

Wording notes: reverse-worded item stating the restrictive claim

neutral — states the administration's stated rationale plainly as a testable proposition

Subgroup figures (6)

party

GroupAGREE (TOTAL)DISAGREE (TOTAL)
Democrat19%68%
Independent / Third party24%55%
Republican52%35%
School policysupport/opposein a trend series
prosecuting teachers who support transgender students

Some lawmakers have argued that teachers who support transgender students, such as by acknowledging changes to a transgender student's name, should be prosecuted.

Some lawmakers have argued that teachers who support transgender students, such as by acknowledging changes to a transgender student's name, should be prosecuted. Do you support or oppose prosecuting teachers who support transgender students?

Strongly oppose
43%
OPPOSE (TOTAL) 61%SUPPORT (TOTAL) 27%

Wording notes: 'support transgender students' is the pollster's gloss on the conduct being criminalized | no counter-argument (parental notification) offered

tilts_affirming — the conduct is described in its most benign form and the opposing rationale (parental notification rights) is not stated, which minimizes support for prosecution

Subgroup figures (6)

party

GroupOPPOSE (TOTAL)SUPPORT (TOTAL)
Democrat71%21%
Independent / Third party59%22%
Republican51%39%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →