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Data for Progress
Data for Progress Transgender Day of Visibility 2025 survey · Mar 14–21, 2025 · US national
Data flag. MOE CONFIRMED AGAINST SOURCE: DFP's crosstabs state +/-2 for the n=1,636 full adult sample (which includes a reweighted 111-respondent transgender oversample) and +/-9 for the transgender-only tab. The recorded pairing is the full sample, as stated.
Methodology
- Pollster
- Data for Progress advocacy_left
- Sponsor
- Data for Progress
- Fielded
- Mar 14–21, 2025
- Population
- adults
- Sample size
- 1,636
- Sample frame
- online opt-in
- Panel
- not disclosed
- Mode
- online web panel
- Margin of error
- +/-2 percentage points
- Weighting
- weighted to be representative of the adult population by age, gender, race, education, region, voter registration, income, and recalled presidential vote; also weighted to account for the transgender oversample
- Geography
- US national
- Base notes
- The 1,636-adult sample includes an oversample of 111 transgender adults, weighted back to the trans share of the adult population. A separate battery was asked only of those 111 transgender adults and is reported at +/-9 points; that item is carried here with results labelled 'Transgender adults (n=111)'.
Sources
Verification note. Wording and figures read directly from Data for Progress's own crosstab PDF, downloaded in this session. The PDF's tables extract with the row labels and the numeric rows in separate blocks; rows were reassembled by matching each SUPPORT (TOTAL)/OPPOSE (TOTAL) row to the sum of its two components and checking that the five substantive rows sum to 100 in every party column. Only Total and the three party columns are carried; the tabs also publish gender, age, education, race, trans-contact and trans-identity columns. || Full 11-page crosstab PDF read directly. Only the highest-value items are transcribed here; the file also carries LGB contact items and a party-by-contact interaction table.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (10)
changing federal references from LGBTQ to LGB
In response to President Trump's recent executive orders targeting diversity, equity, and inclusion and transgender inclusion across the federal government, LGBTQ+-inclusive language and information sources have been changed or removed from government materials and websites. Knowing this, do you support or oppose each of the following?
In response to President Trump's recent executive orders targeting diversity, equity, and inclusion and transgender inclusion across the federal government, LGBTQ+-inclusive language and information sources have been changed or removed from government materials and websites. Knowing this, do you support or oppose each of the following? - Changing federal government references from "LGBTQ" to "LGB" to exclude transgender and queer Americans
Wording notes: item text states the purpose as 'to exclude transgender and queer Americans' | preamble characterizes the executive orders as 'targeting'
tilts_affirming — both the preamble ('targeting') and the item ('to exclude') supply an adversarial characterization of the policy before asking about it
Subgroup figures (25)
Surveys of trans peoplemultiple response
difficulty updating and using the gender marker on legal documents, asked of transgender adults
Have you experienced any of the following as a result of anti-transgender policies and rhetoric in the last year? Please select all that apply.
Wording notes: attributes the experiences to 'anti-transgender policies and rhetoric' in the stem, so the item measures attributed rather than raw incidence
loaded_terms — The stem asks respondents to report experiences 'as a result of anti-transgender policies and rhetoric', which both supplies the causal attribution and uses the advocacy framing; incidence here cannot be read as incidence independent of the respondent's own causal judgment.
Subgroup figures (10)
personally knowing a transgender person
Do you personally know someone who is:
Do you personally know someone who is: - Transgender
Wording notes: asked as one row of a five-item LGBTQ contact battery
neutral — factual contact item
Subgroup figures (3)
government ban vs. families and physicians deciding youth care
Which of the following comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?
Families and physicians should decide, not the government
55%
Local school districts and sports associations should set the rules
45%
The federal government should ban transgender girls from playing girls' sports
42%
The government should ban physicians from providing gender-related medical care to transgender youth
33%
Don't know
12%
Wording notes: affirming option uses the 'families and doctors, not politicians' frame that DFP/Navigator message-testing identified as strongest
tilts_affirming — the choice is framed as government intrusion vs. family autonomy rather than as child protection vs. access, which is the framing that maximizes the affirming share
Subgroup figures (15)
families' ability to obtain care for a transgender child
Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?
Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements? - Families should have the ability to ensure their transgender child can receive medically necessary and developmentally appropriate care
Wording notes: 'medically necessary and developmentally appropriate' asserts the contested clinical premise inside the item
tilts_affirming — the statement builds in the conclusion that the care is medically necessary and appropriate, which is the exact point in dispute
Subgroup figures (4)
revoking licenses of doctors who provide youth care
Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?
Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements? - Doctors who provide transgender youth medical care should lose their license to practice medicine
DISAGREE (TOTAL)
50%
AGREE (TOTAL)
37%
Wording notes: reverse-worded item - the restrictive position stated affirmatively
neutral — states the maximalist restrictive penalty plainly and serves as a counterweight to the affirming items in the same battery
Subgroup figures (6)
vignette - 18-year-old on care since age 13
Below are descriptions of people who may be affected by transgender medical care bans. For each, please state whether you think they should or should not be allowed to receive transgender medical care.
Below are descriptions of people who may be affected by transgender medical care bans. For each, please state whether you think they should or should not be allowed to receive transgender medical care. - An 18-year-old who has been prescribed transgender medical care from their doctor since age 13
Should be allowed 54%25% Should not be allowed
Wording notes: vignette design | sympathetic case selection
tilts_affirming — the three vignettes are all constructed as sympathetic cases (long-standing care, early social transition, parental support); no unsympathetic or ambiguous case is offered
Subgroup figures (6)
trans military service
Do you support or oppose allowing transgender people who meet eligibility standards to serve in the military?
Wording notes: 'who meet eligibility standards' pre-answers the readiness objection
tilts_affirming — the qualifier 'who meet eligibility standards' removes the main argument against, raising support relative to an unqualified version
Subgroup figures (6)
whether trans service members threaten readiness
Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?
Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements? - Transgender service members threaten our military's readiness
DISAGREE (TOTAL)
53%
AGREE (TOTAL)
32%
Wording notes: reverse-worded item stating the restrictive claim
neutral — states the administration's stated rationale plainly as a testable proposition
Subgroup figures (6)
prosecuting teachers who support transgender students
Some lawmakers have argued that teachers who support transgender students, such as by acknowledging changes to a transgender student's name, should be prosecuted.
Some lawmakers have argued that teachers who support transgender students, such as by acknowledging changes to a transgender student's name, should be prosecuted. Do you support or oppose prosecuting teachers who support transgender students?
OPPOSE (TOTAL) 61%SUPPORT (TOTAL) 27%
Wording notes: 'support transgender students' is the pollster's gloss on the conduct being criminalized | no counter-argument (parental notification) offered
tilts_affirming — the conduct is described in its most benign form and the opposing rationale (parental notification rights) is not stated, which minimizes support for prosecution
Subgroup figures (6)