online opt-in
Data for Progress
Data for Progress national likely-voter survey, October 23-26 2026 · Oct 23–26, 2026 · US national
Methodology
- Pollster
- Data for Progress advocacy_left
- Sponsor
- Data for Progress
- Fielded
- Oct 23–26, 2026
- Population
- likely voters
- Sample size
- 1,214
- Sample frame
- online opt-in
- Mode
- web panel
- Margin of error
- +/-3 percentage points
- Weighting
- Weighted to be representative of likely voters by age, gender, education, race, geography and recalled presidential vote
- Geography
- US national
Sources
Verification note. Read directly from the topline/crosstab tables in Data for Progress's 63-page 2026 midterm report PDF (questions numbered [23] and [38]). Topic item was one of a battery; only the transgender rows recorded. Field dates and n from the survey's methodology paragraph in the same PDF.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (3)
Political salienceforced choice
want to hear more or less from candidates about transgender athletes in girls' sports
Thinking about this year's midterm elections, do you want to hear more or less from political candidates about each of the following topics?
Transgender athletes in girls' sports
Hear less
48%
Same amount
23%
Hear more
21%
Not sure
8%
Wording notes: battery of campaign topics, most of them economic | asks about candidate messaging, not policy position
neutral — Symmetric more/less response options; but the item frames one policy area as 'transgender athletes in girls' sports' and sits in a battery that is mostly cost-of-living topics.
Subgroup figures (12)
Political saliencemultiple response
anti-Democratic ads seen: transgender participation in girls' and women's sports
Thinking about political ads you've seen or heard over the past month, which of the following issues, if any, have you seen used to criticize Democratic candidates? Select all that apply.
Transgender participation in girls' and women's sports
Seen ads on this issue
45%
Wording notes: self-reported ad recall
neutral — Neutral multi-select recall item.
Subgroup figures (3)
Political saliencemultiple response
anti-Democratic ads seen: medical care for transgender minors
Thinking about political ads you've seen or heard over the past month, which of the following issues, if any, have you seen used to criticize Democratic candidates? Select all that apply.
Medical care for transgender minors
Seen ads on this issue
38%
Wording notes: self-reported ad recall
neutral — Neutral multi-select recall item.
Subgroup figures (3)