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Elon University Poll

Elon University Poll, October 2016 · Sep 27–30, 2016 · US: North Carolina

Methodology

Pollster
Elon University Poll academic
Sponsor
Elon University
Fielded
Sep 27–30, 2016
Population
likely voters
Sample size
660
Sample frame
unknown
Mode
telephone - live interviewer, cell phone and landline
Margin of error
+/- 3.81
Weighting
raking on age, race, sex and registered party identification
Geography
US: North Carolina
Base notes
799 registered voters interviewed; 660 classified as likely voters and reported

Sources

Verification note. Wording, toplines and party/race/sex crosstabs read directly from the Elon Poll full report PDF (text extracted locally). Note the shift in question form from support/oppose (September) to remain/repeal (October), which produced a markedly larger anti-HB2 number two weeks later. || Topline read from the Elon University Poll release page. Full verbatim question stem could not be isolated from the release narrative - only the descriptive clause was recoverable, so question_text_verbatim is false. No party crosstab published for this item. || Topline read from the Elon University Poll release page. Full verbatim stem could not be isolated from the release narrative - only the descriptive clause was recoverable, so question_text_verbatim is false. No party crosstab published for this item.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (2)

Bathrooms & facilitiesforced choicein a trend series
whether HB2 should be repealed

Do you think HB2, also known as the Bathroom Bill, should remain a law or be repealed?

Be Repealed
55.5%
Remain A Law
33.8%
Something Else (Don't Read)
1.6%
Don't Know
8.4%
Refused (Don't Read)
0.7%

Wording notes: identifies the law as 'the Bathroom Bill' | no description of the law's content

neutral — remain/repeal alternatives are symmetric; the 'Bathroom Bill' label is the common local shorthand but is a critics' coinage, so it carries some negative valence

Subgroup figures (14)

party

GroupRemain A LawBe Repealed
Democrats19%68%
Independents28%60%
Republicans59%35%

gender

GroupRemain A LawBe Repealed
Male41%50%
Female28%60%

race

GroupRemain A LawBe Repealed
White37%55%
Black26%55%
Bathrooms & facilitiesparaphrasedforced choicein a trend series
repeal of HB2

[whether] the law, which requires people to use the public bathroom in North Carolina that matches the gender on their birth certificate, should be repealed [or should remain a law]

Wording reconstructed from: Elon University Poll release, October 4, 2016 - release narrative paraphrases the stem; the descriptive clause is quoted as published, but the full interviewer-read question was not recoverable from the release page.

Should be repealed
55.5%
Should remain a law
34%

Wording notes: describes HB2 by its birth-certificate bathroom requirement

unclear — Cannot assess slant reliably because the full verbatim stem was not recovered; the descriptive clause itself is factually accurate and non-evaluative.

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →