Crosscut/Elway Poll - 2023 U.S. Supreme Court · Apr 11–15, 2023 · US: Washington
Methodology
- Pollster
- Elway Research independent
- Sponsor
- Cascade Public Media
- Commissioned by
- Crosscut / Cascade PBS
- Fielded
- Apr 11–15, 2023
- Population
- registered voters
- Sample size
- 403
- Sample frame
- mixed-mode probability
- Mode
- multi-mode - 101 landline with live interviewers, 168 cell phone with live interviewers, 134 cell phone text to online survey
- Margin of error
- +/-5% at the 95% level of confidence
- Weighting
- the data were statistically adjusted by region and education to align more closely with the population of registered voters
- Geography
- US: Washington
- Base notes
- banner tables report a base of 402; data collection split 101 landline with live interviewers, 168 cell phone with live interviewers, 134 cell phone text to online survey
Sources
Verification note. Question wording and topline copied from the Crosscut/Elway April 2023 topline PDF (Q8); the PDF's own note states 'The questions are presented here as they were asked in the interview.' Party, region, age, education, gender and race breaks read from the banner tables on pages 10 and 11 of that PDF. Layout-mode text extraction scrambled the party columns, so the banner pages were re-extracted in raw mode and the party row was cross-checked against the Cascade PBS write-up, which reports Democrats as the only group with majority support for participation (50% allowed) and Seattle at 44% prohibited - both matching the table. Note the write-up cites King County at 46% prohibited where the banner table shows 49%; the PDF value is recorded here. The 'MODE' columns on page 12 are shares of the total sample rather than row percentages and were therefore not recorded.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
whether transgender girls should be allowed or prohibited from participating in girls' school sports
Asked within a sequence of items about cases before the 2023 U.S. Supreme Court; the immediately preceding items (Q6, Q7) concerned a Christian website designer's First Amendment claim against an LGBTQ nondiscrimination law and religious accommodation in employment.
Another case involves girls who are transgender. In your opinion should girls who are transgender be allowed or prohibited from participating in girls' sports in school?
Prohibited
56%
Allowed
29%
No opinion
15%
Wording notes: framed as a Supreme Court case rather than as state policy | asked immediately after two religious-liberty items, one of which concerns refusing service to LGBTQ customers | 'allowed or prohibited' is a symmetric pairing | explicit no-opinion option offered
neutral — The allowed/prohibited pairing is symmetric, both alternatives are stated, and a no-opinion option is offered. The order effect is the one thing worth flagging: two consecutive religious-liberty items - including one about refusing service to LGBTQ customers - immediately precede this question, which could plausibly prime a rights-in-conflict frame. The wording itself is not loaded.
Subgroup figures (49)
party
gender
age
race
education
region
other