mixed-mode probability

Emerson College Polling

The Midwest Newsroom / Emerson College Polling: Kansas, Iowa, Missouri and Nebraska Polls - Missouri · Sep 26, 2024 – Oct 2, 2024 · US: Missouri

Methodology

Pollster
Emerson College Polling academic
Sponsor
The Midwest Newsroom
Commissioned by
The Midwest Newsroom
Fielded
Sep 26, 2024 – Oct 2, 2024
Population
registered voters
Sample size
1,000
Sample frame
mixed-mode probability
Panel
Rep Data online panel (voters pre-matched to L2 voter file)
Mode
mixed mode - MMS-to-web text to cell phones, Interactive Voice Response (IVR) to landlines (both lists provided by Aristotle), an email list of registered voters, and an online panel of voters pre-matched to L2 voter file data provided by Rep Data; survey offered in English
Margin of error
credibility interval +/- 3% in 19 of 20 cases
Weighting
weighted by statewide voter information provided by state registration data
Geography
US: Missouri

Sources

Verification note. Percentages read directly off the four-state comparison chart on p.7 of the Emerson College Polling report PDF linked from the KCUR write-up. Bar values were resolved by extracting word coordinates from the PDF so the Oppose/Unsure/Favor bars could not be transposed. Missouri's three values sum to 101 because of rounding, as printed. The report says full wording, crosstabs and demographics exist under 'Full Results' but that file was not located. || NOT VERIFIED. The Midwest Newsroom / Emerson College Polling project fielded an identical gender-affirming-care item in all four states (Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska), n=1,000 registered voters each, 2024-09-26 to 2024-10-02, MoE ±3. Emerson's toplines for these four state surveys are not posted on emersoncollegepolling.com and the Midwest Newsroom directs requests to an email address, so no figures were retrieved for this state. Field window, sample size and MoE come from the Nebraska Public Media press release.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (1)

Youth medical carefavor/opposein a trend series
laws banning certain types of gender-affirming care for minors

Gender-affirming care, refers to various measures including psychological support, hormonal treatments, and medical surgeries that help transgender individuals align with their gender identity.

Gender-affirming care, refers to various measures including psychological support, hormonal treatments, and medical surgeries that help transgender individuals align with their gender identity. Do you favor or oppose laws that ban certain types of gender-affirming care for minors?

Favor 40%46% Oppose

Wording notes: supplies a definition of gender-affirming care before asking | definition leads with 'psychological support' and includes surgeries | asks about banning 'certain types' rather than all such care

neutral — Favor and oppose are both offered with an explicit unsure option, and the supplied definition is descriptive rather than evaluative. The hedge 'certain types' softens the ban being tested, which could move responses in either direction.

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →