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Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now transgender poll, April 2025 · Apr 24–28, 2025 · UK national

Methodology

Pollster
Find Out Now commercial
Sponsor
Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now
Commissioned by
The Daily Telegraph
Fielded
Apr 24–28, 2025
Population
adults
Sample size
2,684
Sample frame
online opt-in
Panel
Find Out Now panel
Mode
online panel survey of GB adults
Margin of error
not disclosed
Weighting
weighted to be representative by gender, age, social grade, other demographics and past voting patterns
Geography
UK national

Sources

Verification note. Question wordings and full percentage tables (Total, Labour, Conservative, Reform) read directly from the Electoral Calculus write-up, which is the poll's own publication venue. Liberal Democrat/Green/SNP columns were not published in the blog table. Fieldwork sentence quoted verbatim from the same page.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (5)

Legal documents & IDs5-point scale
agreement with UK Supreme Court For Women Scotland ruling that trans women are not legally women under the Equality Act

Last week the UK Supreme Court ruled that trans women are not legally women under the Equality Act, so that women-only spaces can exclude trans women (people who were born male but identify as female). Do you agree or disagree with this decision?

Agree 19%7% Disagree

Wording notes: parenthetically defines trans women as 'people who were born male but identify as female' | leads with the Court's authority before asking for agreement

tilts_restrictive — the stem states the ruling as settled law and glosses trans women in birth-sex terms before asking agreement, which supplies a restrictive framing before the response scale

Subgroup figures (18)

party

GroupStrongly agreeAgreeNeitherDisagreeStrongly disagreeDon't know
Labour 2024 voters22%20%15%13%19%12%
Conservative 2024 voters62%21%8%2%2%5%
Reform UK 2024 voters75%13%5%0%2%5%
Bathrooms & facilitiesmultiple response
which single-sex spaces it is acceptable to exclude trans women from

In which of the following spaces do you believe it's acceptable to exclude trans women? Select all that apply.

Women's sports
58%
Women's prisons
52%
Women's toilets
51%
Women's gyms
44%
Rape crisis centres
41%
Lesbian social groups
27%

Wording notes: asks only about exclusion, not inclusion | no 'none of these' option reported in the published table

tilts_restrictive — the response set enumerates only exclusion targets and the preceding item established the ruling as settled, so the item measures breadth of exclusion rather than a balanced choice

Subgroup figures (18)

party

GroupWomen's sportsWomen's prisonsWomen's toiletsWomen's gymsRape crisis centresLesbian social groups
Labour 2024 voters48%41%38%32%32%18%
Conservative 2024 voters74%69%71%61%55%36%
Reform UK 2024 voters76%73%77%67%59%43%
Legal documents & IDs5-point scale
expected impact of the Supreme Court ruling on women's rights and safety

Do you think the Supreme Court ruling will have a positive or negative impact on women's rights and safety?

Very positive
23%
Very negative
9%
Neither
15%
Don't know
20%
Positive 24%Negative 10%

neutral — symmetric positive/negative scale with an explicit neutral and don't-know option

Subgroup figures (18)

party

GroupVery positivePositiveNeitherNegativeVery negativeDon't know
Labour 2024 voters11%24%17%16%14%19%
Conservative 2024 voters35%32%14%5%1%13%
Reform UK 2024 voters55%21%11%3%2%9%
Legal documents & IDs5-point scale
expected effect of the Supreme Court ruling on discrimination against transgender people

Do you think the Supreme Court ruling will lead to an increase or decrease in discrimination against transgender people?

Some increase
24%
Big increase
18%
Some decrease
2%
Big decrease
1%
Neither
34%
Don't know
21%

neutral — symmetric increase/decrease scale with neutral and don't-know options

Subgroup figures (18)

party

GroupBig increaseSome increaseNeitherSome decreaseBig decreaseDon't know
Labour 2024 voters30%27%24%2%1%17%
Conservative 2024 voters5%27%50%2%1%16%
Reform UK 2024 voters6%21%53%3%2%15%
Otherapprove/disapprove
approval of J.K. Rowling's funding of organisations advocating for women-only spaces (gender-critical advocacy figure)

Do you approve or disapprove of author J.K. Rowling's efforts to help fund organisations that advocate for women-only spaces?

Strongly approve
29%
Strongly disapprove
12%
Neither
19%
Don't know
17%
Approve 18%Disapprove 6%

Wording notes: describes the funded organisations only as advocating 'for women-only spaces', not as gender-critical or anti-trans

tilts_restrictive — the object of approval is characterised in its most sympathetic terms ('advocate for women-only spaces') with no mention of the trans-exclusionary dimension the earlier items established

Subgroup figures (18)

party

GroupStrongly approveApproveNeitherDisapproveStrongly disapproveDon't know
Labour 2024 voters15%17%22%12%21%14%
Conservative 2024 voters45%24%17%3%2%8%
Reform UK 2024 voters61%16%12%2%2%7%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →