probability RDD
Fox News Poll
Fox News Poll, April 2023 · Apr 21–24, 2023 · US national
Data flag. FRAME MISLABELLED: recorded as 'probability RDD'; the source describes a national voter-file sample drawn probability-proportionate-to-size. All dates, n=1,004 RV, MOE and all three items verified exact.
Methodology
- Pollster
- Fox News Poll media
- Sponsor
- Fox News
- Commissioned by
- Fox News
- Fielded
- Apr 21–24, 2023
- Population
- registered voters
- Sample size
- 1,004
- Sample frame
- probability RDD
- Mode
- telephone - live interviewer; landline and cellphone numbers selected by probability proportionate to size from a national voter file
- Margin of error
- ± 3 percentage points
- Weighting
- not disclosed
- Geography
- US national
- Base notes
- Landline (138) and cellphone (866) interviews
Sources
Verification note. All wording and Total percentages read directly from Fox's complete national topline PDF (questions 22, 29.-32., 33.-34.). Party breakdowns are from the Fox News write-up of the poll, not from a crosstab PDF, which was not located; they are recorded as reported.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (4)
transgender issues named unprompted as the most important problem facing the country
What do you think is the most important issue facing the country today? [DO NOT READ LIST. RECORD VERBATIM. ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER]
Wokeness / Transgender issues
1%
Wording notes: Fox's coding scheme collapses 'Wokeness' and 'Transgender issues' into a single response category, so the trans-specific share cannot be isolated
neutral — The question itself is a standard unprompted MIP item with no framing. The coding decision to merge 'Wokeness' with 'Transgender issues' is a post-hoc analytic choice rather than a wording bias, but it does prevent separating the two.
whether 'overly accommodating transgender policies' in public schools is a problem
Changing topics ...
Thinking about public schools, how much of a problem is each of the following -- a major problem, a minor problem, or not a problem? [RANDOMIZE] ... Overly accommodating transgender policies
Major problem
48%
Minor problem
26%
Not a problem
24%
(Don't know)
2%
Wording notes: presupposes that transgender school policies could be 'overly accommodating' | no counterpart item asking whether schools are insufficiently accommodating | item embedded in a battery of school 'problems'
tilts_restrictive — The stem embeds its own conclusion - the object being rated is not 'transgender policies' but 'overly accommodating transgender policies', which gives respondents no way to express the view that schools are insufficiently accommodating. The inclusion of 'Book banning by school boards' in the same randomized battery supplies a countervailing item, so the block as a whole is not one-sided.
Subgroup figures (1)
families with transgender children being targets of political attacks
And in general, how much of a problem is each of the following -- a major problem, a minor problem, or not a problem? [RANDOMIZE] ... Families with transgender children being targets of political attacks
Major problem
57%
Minor problem
26%
Not a problem
15%
(Don't know)
3%
Wording notes: characterizes the political environment as 'attacks', which is a contested characterization | paired in the same randomized block with an item framed from the opposing direction
neutral — Read alone the word 'attacks' tilts affirming, but Fox pairs it in the same randomized block with an item framed to elicit restrictive sentiment ('Female transgender athletes competing in women's sports'). The two items are mirror-image stimuli, so the block is balanced by construction even though neither item is neutral on its own.
Subgroup figures (1)
transgender women and girls competing in women's sports
And in general, how much of a problem is each of the following -- a major problem, a minor problem, or not a problem? [RANDOMIZE] ... Female transgender athletes competing in women's sports
Major problem
54%
Minor problem
27%
Not a problem
18%
(Don't know)
2%
Wording notes: frames trans athletes' participation as a candidate 'problem' rather than asking should/should not | no level specified (youth, high school, college, professional) | paired in the same randomized block with an item framed from the opposing direction
neutral — The 'how much of a problem' frame is inherently restrictive when applied to a group's participation, but Fox pairs it with a mirror-image item framed from the affirming side within the same randomized block, so the two-item block is balanced. The item does not specify a level of competition, which limits its interpretability.
Subgroup figures (1)