probability RDD
Gallup
Gallup Values and Beliefs Poll · May 2023 – May 24, 2023 · US national
Methodology
- Pollster
- Gallup independent
- Sponsor
- Gallup
- Fielded
- May 2023 – May 24, 2023
- Population
- adults
- Sample size
- 1,011
- Sample frame
- probability RDD
- Mode
- telephone - dual-frame RDD, live interviewer; minimum quota 75% cellphone / 25% landline, with minimum quotas by time zone within region
- Margin of error
- ±4 percentage points
- Weighting
- Gallup standard demographic weighting; reported MOE includes computed design effects for weighting
- Geography
- US national
Sources
Verification note. Toplines and subgroup tables read from the Gallup release; Survey Methods paragraph reproduced verbatim from the same page. Note the cellphone quota moved from 70/30 (2017-2021) to 75/25 in 2023 and to 80/20 by 2024, and fieldwork moved to the contractor ReconMR - a methodology drift that matters for trend comparisons. Gallup did not re-publish the verbatim sports wording in 2023, so the wording field is flagged non-verbatim. || Percentages taken from Gallup's own trend table (Datawrapper chart 4Qakb, 'Friends Relatives Transgender Table', embedded on news.gallup.com/poll/1651); dataset.csv downloaded this session returns 2023 May 1-24 = 39 Yes / 60 No / * No opinion and 2021 May 3-18 = 31/69/*. The 39% is independently stated in the June 12, 2023 Gallup release ('39% say they know someone who is transgender, up from 31% in 2021'). The database already held the 2021 reading of this item but not the 2023 reading. || Toplines and Republican/independent party figures read from the Gallup release; Democratic figure described only as 'divided' on the page fetched.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (4)
trans athletes - birth gender vs current gender identity teams
Next, we have a question about policies for competitive sports that have separate teams for male and female athletes.
Next, we have a question about policies for competitive sports that have separate teams for male and female athletes. Do you think transgender athletes -- [ROTATED: should be able to play on sports teams that match their current gender identity (or) should only be allowed to play on sports teams that match their birth gender]?
Wording reconstructed from: Wording shown is Gallup's 2021 verbatim text; Gallup reports the 2023 reading as a continuation of the same trend but did not republish the item text in the 2023 release, and the rendered chart could not be read. Treat as presumed-identical, not confirmed.
Only teams that match birth gender
69%
Teams that match current gender identity
26%
Wording notes: uses 'birth gender' | no middle option offered | does not distinguish level of sport
neutral — both alternatives stated and rotated
Subgroup figures (17)
moral acceptability of changing one's gender
Regardless of whether or not you think it should be legal, for each one, please tell me whether you personally believe that in general it is morally acceptable or morally wrong.
Regardless of whether or not you think it should be legal, for each one, please tell me whether you personally believe that in general it is morally acceptable or morally wrong. -- Changing one's gender
Morally acceptable 43%55% Morally wrong
Wording notes: frames gender transition as a moral question | embedded in a battery with adultery, cloning, polygamy
loaded_terms — moral-acceptability frame and battery placement; 'changing one's gender' implies a chosen act
Subgroup figures (6)
whether the respondent personally knows someone who has told them they are transgender
Do you have any friends or relatives or coworkers who have told you, personally, that they are transgender?
Wording notes: requires disclosure to the respondent rather than mere acquaintance -- a stricter threshold than most 'do you know a transgender person' items
neutral — Factual self-report with no evaluative content.
trans athletes: birth gender teams vs. current gender identity teams (level of sport unspecified)
Do you think transgender athletes should be able to play only on sports teams that match their birth gender, or should they be able to play on sports teams that match their current gender identity?
Wording reconstructed from: Wording as reported by Gallup in the item description on the release page; not copied character-for-character from a Gallup topline PDF in this session.
Only teams matching birth gender
69%
Teams matching current gender identity
26%
No opinion
5%
Wording notes: uses 'birth gender' | uses 'transgender athletes' (not 'biological males') | no middle option offered | level of sport not specified (not youth/collegiate/pro)
neutral — both alternatives stated symmetrically
Subgroup figures (2)