probability RDD
Gallup
Gallup Values and Beliefs Poll · May 2024 – May 23, 2024 · US national
Methodology
- Pollster
- Gallup independent
- Sponsor
- Gallup
- Fielded
- May 2024 – May 23, 2024
- Population
- adults
- Sample size
- 1,024
- Sample frame
- probability RDD
- Mode
- telephone - dual-frame RDD, live interviewer, fielded by ReconMR; minimum quota 80% cellphone / 20% landline, with minimum quotas by time zone within region
- Margin of error
- ±4 percentage points (±6 points on each half sample)
- Weighting
- Gallup standard demographic weighting; reported MOE includes computed design effects for weighting
- Geography
- US national
- Base notes
- gender-affirming care items were a split sample: two half samples of 512 adults each, MOE ±6 points
Sources
Verification note. Verbatim wording of both split-sample gender-affirming-care versions and the Survey Methods paragraph read from the Gallup release. Total favor/oppose percentages for the two care items were stated only as 'about a third' favor and 'more than six in 10' oppose, so totals are recorded as null; the published party rows are recorded exactly. || BOTH ARMS WERE PUBLISHED. Verbatim wording for each arm was read this session from the title lines of Gallup's two Datawrapper trend tables (94wee = general arm, OXBja = specific arm), each footnoted '^ Asked of a half sample'; both dataset.csv files were downloaded and return a single row, 2024 May 1-23: general arm 34 favor / 62 oppose / 4 no opinion, specific arm 36 / 61 / 3. Party splits are from the June 7, 2024 Gallup release text (specific arm: Republicans 53, Democrats 25, independents 34 favor; general arm: Republicans 45, with Democrats and independents unchanged from the specific arm). NOT REPEATED: as of this session's access date, both Gallup trend tables still hold exactly one row each (May 2024). Neither the May 2025 Values and Beliefs release (poll/691454) nor the May 2026 release (poll/710810) contains a gender-affirming-care item, and Gallup's consolidated LGBTQ+ Rights trend page (poll/1651) shows no 2025 or 2026 reading. This record is emitted alongside the database's existing gallup_2024-05 entry to pin the pollster-verbatim arm wording and to document the non-repetition. || BOTH ARMS WERE PUBLISHED. Gallup's own FINAL TOPLINE PDF for the May 1-23, 2024 Values and Beliefs wave (Princeton Job #24-05-005) was downloaded and text-extracted this session; it prints the two arms as questions 32 and 33, each prefixed '(Asked of a half sample)', each with its own base line -- 'BASED ON ~512~ NATIONAL ADULTS IN FORM A' and 'BASED ON ~512~ NATIONAL ADULTS IN FORM B' -- and the methods page states the half-sample margin of sampling error is +/- 6 percentage points. Toplines: Form A 34 favor / 62 oppose / 4 no opinion; Form B 36 / 61 / 3. The question_text fields here reproduce the topline's own wording, which writes 'gender affirming care' unhyphenated; Gallup's news release and its Datawrapper trend tables (94wee, OXBja) hyphenate it, and the crosstab headers title the two arms 'Laws That Ban Types of Gender Affirming Care For Minors (Treatments/Procedures)' and '(Psychological Support/Surgeries)'. Party figures are from the June 7, 2024 release text; the PDF's own crosstab grid does not survive text extraction cleanly and was not relied on. NOT REPEATED IN 2025 OR 2026: Gallup's May 1-18, 2025 transgender-issues final topline (Princeton Job #25-05-006) contains questions 40-43 and question 21V and no gender-affirming-care item; the May 1-17, 2026 LGBTQ+ final topline contains only the morality item and same-sex-marriage items; and both Datawrapper trend tables still carry a single row, May 2024, as of this session's access date. || Final topline PDF downloaded and text-extracted in session; Q32 and Q33 wording, form bases and Favor/Oppose/No-opinion rows read verbatim. Party-level figures come from Gallup's own release narrative (the PDF's crosstab grid did not extract cleanly). Gallup states Democrat and independent responses are 'unchanged' between forms; only the figures Gallup printed as numbers are recorded here.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (9)
moral acceptability of changing one's gender
Regardless of whether or not you think it should be legal, for each one, please tell me whether you personally believe that in general it is morally acceptable or morally wrong.
Regardless of whether or not you think it should be legal, for each one, please tell me whether you personally believe that in general it is morally acceptable or morally wrong. -- Changing one's gender
Morally acceptable 44%51% Morally wrong
Wording notes: frames gender transition as a moral question | battery placement alongside transgressive behaviors
loaded_terms — moral-acceptability frame and battery placement; 'changing one's gender' implies a chosen act
Subgroup figures (8)
party
ideology
gender
age
education
religion
laws banning gender-transition treatments for minors - general version (split sample A)
Do you favor or oppose laws that ban treatments and medical procedures for minors seeking to change their gender?
Wording notes: 'minors seeking to change their gender' places agency with the minor | asks about banning care rather than about the care itself | does not name any specific treatment
neutral — balanced favor/oppose about a ban; the deliberate split-sample contrast with the itemized version is itself the finding - naming psychological support, hormones and surgery raised Republican support for a ban by 8 points
Subgroup figures (3)
laws banning gender-transition treatments for minors - itemized version (split sample B)
Do you favor or oppose laws that ban psychological support, hormonal treatments and medical surgeries for minors seeking to align with their gender identity?
Wording notes: triple-barreled: bundles psychological support, hormones and surgery into one item | 'minors seeking to align with their gender identity' | asks about banning care rather than about the care itself
double_barreled — three quite different interventions - talk therapy, hormones, surgery - are bundled, so a respondent who opposes only one is forced into a single answer; Gallup ran it deliberately as a split-sample experiment against the general version
Subgroup figures (3)
Form A / general arm -- gender-affirming care described only as 'various treatments and medical procedures'
Next, we have a question about gender-affirming care, which refers to various treatments and medical procedures that help transgender individuals align with their gender identity.
Next, we have a question about gender-affirming care, which refers to various treatments and medical procedures that help transgender individuals align with their gender identity. Do you favor or oppose laws that ban certain types of gender-affirming care for minors?
Wording notes: randomized half sample (general description arm) | asks about favoring a BAN, so 'oppose' is the pro-access response -- a reversal of most trans-care items | 'certain types of' softens the ban object without specifying which types | the preamble defines gender-affirming care for the respondent, supplying information most items withhold
neutral — Symmetric favor/oppose with a neutral definitional preamble. The interesting property is not tilt but that Gallup deliberately varied the specificity of the preamble to test whether naming surgeries moves the ban number -- it moved it by 2 points, inside the half-sample margin of error.
Subgroup figures (1)
Form B / specific arm -- gender-affirming care described as 'psychological support, hormonal treatments and medical surgeries'
Next, we have a question about gender-affirming care, which refers to various measures including psychological support, hormonal treatments and medical surgeries that help transgender individuals align with their gender identity.
Next, we have a question about gender-affirming care, which refers to various measures including psychological support, hormonal treatments and medical surgeries that help transgender individuals align with their gender identity. Do you favor or oppose laws that ban certain types of gender-affirming care for minors?
Wording notes: randomized half sample (specific description arm) | names surgeries explicitly in the preamble | asks about favoring a BAN, so 'oppose' is the pro-access response | brackets the treatment list with the least invasive option first (psychological support), which cuts against the usual salience effect of naming surgery
neutral — Same symmetric stem as the general arm. Naming surgeries raised favor-a-ban by only 2 points (34 to 36) and raised Republican support for a ban by 8 points (45 to 53) while leaving Democrats and independents unchanged -- the experiment's substantive finding is that treatment specificity is close to inert overall and moves only Republicans.
Subgroup figures (3)
Form A / general arm -- gender-affirming care described only as 'various treatments and medical procedures'
Next, we have a question about gender-affirming care, which refers to various treatments and medical procedures that help transgender individuals align with their gender identity.
(Asked of a half sample) Next, we have a question about gender affirming care, which refers to various treatments and medical procedures that help transgender individuals align with their gender identity. Do you favor or oppose laws that ban certain types of gender affirming care for minors?
Wording notes: randomized half sample (general description arm) | asks about favoring a BAN, so 'oppose' is the pro-access response -- a reversal of most trans-care items | 'certain types of' softens the ban object without specifying which types | the preamble defines gender-affirming care for the respondent, supplying information most items withhold
neutral — Symmetric favor/oppose with a neutral definitional preamble. The interesting property is not tilt but that Gallup deliberately varied the specificity of the preamble to test whether naming surgeries moves the ban number -- it moved it by 2 points, inside the half-sample margin of error.
Subgroup figures (1)
Form B / specific arm -- gender-affirming care described as 'psychological support, hormonal treatments and medical surgeries'
Next, we have a question about gender-affirming care, which refers to various measures including psychological support, hormonal treatments and medical surgeries that help transgender individuals align with their gender identity.
(Asked of a half sample) Next, we have a question about gender affirming care, which refers to various measures including psychological support, hormonal treatments and medical surgeries that help transgender individuals align with their gender identity. Do you favor or oppose laws that ban certain types of gender affirming care for minors?
Wording notes: randomized half sample (specific description arm) | names surgeries explicitly in the preamble | asks about favoring a BAN, so 'oppose' is the pro-access response | brackets the treatment list with the least invasive option first (psychological support), which cuts against the usual salience effect of naming surgery
neutral — Same symmetric stem as the general arm. Naming surgeries raised favor-a-ban by only 2 points (34 to 36) and raised Republican support for a ban by 8 points (45 to 53) while leaving Democrats and independents unchanged -- the experiment's substantive finding is that treatment specificity is close to inert overall and moves only Republicans.
Subgroup figures (3)
minors (no age threshold named); GENERIC treatment description - 'various treatments and medical procedures'; BAN framing; split-sample Form A
Next, we have a question about gender affirming care, which refers to various treatments and medical procedures that help transgender individuals align with their gender identity.
Next, we have a question about gender affirming care, which refers to various treatments and medical procedures that help transgender individuals align with their gender identity. Do you favor or oppose laws that ban certain types of gender affirming care for minors?
Wording notes: BAN framing (favor = restrict) | the hedge 'certain types of' leaves the scope of the ban undefined | supplies a neutral definition of gender-affirming care before asking | no treatment named | no age threshold named | no parental-consent or physician context
neutral — Symmetric favor/oppose with an explicit no-opinion; the definitional preamble is descriptive rather than evaluative. The one soft spot is 'certain types of', which lets respondents supply their own scope - probably the reason both Gallup forms land near 35% favor while single-treatment wordings that name surgery run far higher.
Subgroup figures (1)
minors (no age threshold named); SPECIFIC treatments named - psychological support, hormonal treatments and medical surgeries; BAN framing; split-sample Form B
Next, we have a question about gender affirming care, which refers to various measures including psychological support, hormonal treatments and medical surgeries that help transgender individuals align with their gender identity.
Next, we have a question about gender affirming care, which refers to various measures including psychological support, hormonal treatments and medical surgeries that help transgender individuals align with their gender identity. Do you favor or oppose laws that ban certain types of gender affirming care for minors?
Wording notes: BAN framing (favor = restrict) | names three treatments including surgery, but brackets surgery with psychological support - the most sympathetic item in the list leads | 'certain types of' hedge retained | no age threshold named
neutral — A clean, deliberately designed wording experiment: the only thing that changes between forms is whether the definition is generic or enumerates psychological support, hormones and surgeries. The result is the single most important null in this file - naming surgery moves favor by 2 points (34 to 36), inside the +/-6 half-sample margin. That contradicts the common assumption that enumerating surgery always raises support for bans; what moves opinion in other polls is the ban/access direction and the presence of doctor/parent context, not the surgery word alone.
Subgroup figures (3)