text-to-web
GQGreenberg Quinlan Rosner
HRC/GQR national post-election survey, 'A Time to Assess' · Oct 31, 2024 – Nov 5, 2024 · US national, with oversamples in AZ, MI, PA and WI
Methodology
- Pollster
- Greenberg Quinlan Rosner partisan_d
- Sponsor
- Human Rights Campaign
- Commissioned by
- Human Rights Campaign
- Fielded
- Oct 31, 2024 – Nov 5, 2024
- Population
- 2024 voters
- Sample size
- 800
- Sample frame
- text-to-web
- Mode
- multi-modal: 'half the surveys were conducted on the phone and half through text-to-web'
- Margin of error
- not disclosed
- Weighting
- 'The results are weighted to the current popular vote.' GQR notes votes were still being counted when the memo was written and that updated voter files would change some numbers.
- Geography
- US national, with oversamples in AZ, MI, PA and WI
- Base notes
- Base national sample of 800 voters, plus oversamples in Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, among AANHPI voters, and among LGBTQ+ voters. Oversample sizes were not published.
Sources
Verification note. Field dates, sample size, mode and weighting read verbatim from the footnote on p.1 of the HRC/GQR memo. All percentages read from the memo. No topline or crosstab file was published, only the four-page memo, so exact question wording is available for only some items and no full-scale distributions are available.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (4)
Political salienceparaphrasedother
recall of anti-trans attack advertising, and whether trans issues drove the vote
ads criticizing Kamala Harris for supporting taxpayer funded gender transition surgeries for prisoners and migrants and for allowing boys to play sports with girls
Wording reconstructed from: HRC/GQR post-election memo, p.2: 'Nationally, 64 precent recall seeing ads criticizing Kamala Harris for supporting taxpayer funded gender transition surgeries for prisoners and migrants and for allowing boys to play sports with girls'. This is GQR's description of the ad content in the recall item, not the item's literal wording.
Recall seeing the anti-trans attack ads against Kamala Harris
64%
Name opposing transgender surgeries and transgender kids in sports as a most-important issue driving their vote (last on the list)
4%
Wording notes: the ad description repeats the advertisers' framing ('allowing boys to play sports with girls')
unclear — Only GQR's summary is available; an ad-recall item necessarily quotes the ad's framing, which is not itself a bias in the survey.
Party & candidate handlingforced choice
which candidate better represents the voter's views on transgender people
which candidate they prefer on...
representing your views on transgender people
Kamala Harris
52%
Donald Trump
40%
neutral — Symmetric two-way candidate attribute item.
whether government should interfere with the health care transgender people receive
the government should not interfere with the health care transgender people receive
Wording reconstructed from: HRC/GQR post-election memo, p.3: 'A more impressive 73 percent majority (60 percent among Republicans) argue the government should not interfere with the health care transgender people receive.' GQR's restatement; the literal item was not published.
Government should not interfere with the health care transgender people receive
73%
Wording notes: uses the anti-regulation frame ('government should not interfere') rather than naming specific treatments or ages
tilts_affirming — 'Government should not interfere with health care' recruits general anti-government sentiment and omits the age-of-patient and specific-procedure details that drive opposition in other surveys. This is why the 73% figure sits far above support levels for youth medical care measured with procedure-specific wording.
Subgroup figures (1)
Nondiscriminationparaphrasedsupport/oppose
support for a federal LGBTQ+ nondiscrimination law
a federal law that would make it illegal to deny services to LGBTQ+ people and would ban discrimination in employment and housing
Wording reconstructed from: HRC/GQR post-election memo, p.3. GQR's restatement.
Wording notes: item names LGBTQ+ collectively and does not separate gender identity from sexual orientation
neutral — Describes the policy content plainly; included here because HRC presents it as part of the same trans-rights battery, though the item itself does not isolate gender identity.
Subgroup figures (1)