online opt-in
HRHart Research Associates
Hart Research Associates Study #14990b - Trans Issue Messaging Survey (battleground districts) · Apr 28, 2025 – May 5, 2025 · US - 40 battleground congressional districts
Methodology
- Pollster
- Hart Research Associates partisan_d
- Sponsor
- Searchlight Institute
- Commissioned by
- Searchlight Institute
- Fielded
- Apr 28, 2025 – May 5, 2025
- Population
- registered voters
- Sample size
- 1,458
- Sample frame
- online opt-in
- Panel
- not disclosed
- Mode
- online - survey included audio clips of a member of Congress that respondents listened to and rated
- Margin of error
- not disclosed
- Weighting
- not disclosed in the published topline
- Geography
- US - 40 battleground congressional districts
- Base notes
- Includes oversamples yielding 262 Hispanic registered voters and 261 Black registered voters. Several items were split-sampled between Form A and Form B halves.
Sources
Verification note. Full 23-page Hart topline read directly. Only overall percentages are published - no party or demographic crosstabs are included in the released document, and Hart does not state the weighting scheme or MOE in it. Release date is the date Searchlight posted the file (uploads/2026/03/); the survey itself was fielded April 28-May 5, 2025 and released publicly nearly a year later.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (11)
whether gender can differ from sex at birth
Here is a follow up question on one of those issues: issues related to people who are transgender.
Here is a follow up question on one of those issues: issues related to people who are transgender. From your point of view, do you think whether a person is a man or a woman...?
Is determined by the sex a person is at birth
63%
Can be different from the sex a person is at birth
37%
Wording notes: no 'not sure' option offered - forced binary
neutral — the two alternatives are symmetric statements of the competing premises; the absence of a don't-know option pushes respondents to choose but does not favor a side
media exposure to transgender issues
How much have you been hearing or reading about issues related to people who are transgender lately?
Fair amount
38%
A great deal
25%
Just some
20%
A little
12%
Nothing at all
5%
Total great deal/fair amount 63%
neutral — standard exposure item
pace of societal change on transgender issues
Thinking about transgender issues, would you say society is...?
Changing too quickly
46%
Not changing quickly enough
32%
Changing at about the right speed
22%
Wording notes: 'too quickly' listed first
neutral — symmetric three-way pace item with a middle option
has society gone too far in accommodating transgender people
Which of the following statements comes closest to your view?
Society has gone too far in accommodating people who are transgender
48%
Society has not gone far enough in accommodating people who are transgender
32%
Society has been about right
20%
Wording notes: 'accommodating' framing
neutral — balanced three-way construction of the standard too-far/not-far-enough item
whether each party focuses too much on transgender issues
Many questions in the remainder of this survey are going to be about issues related to transgender people. Please read the following statement so everyone has the same understanding of some of the terms that will be used. People who are transgender have a gender identity that is different from the sex they were assigned at birth. For example, a person assigned male at birth who identifies as a woman, or a person assigned female at birth who identifies as a man. Transgender people may or may not take steps to live according to their gender, including changing their name, the pronouns they use, their clothing or appearance, or undergoing hormone therapy or other medical procedures.
When it comes to transgender issues and policies, do you think (insert item) are...?
Focusing too much on transgender issues
54%
Focusing about the right amount
41%
Focusing too much on transgender issues
35%
Focusing about the right amount
31%
Not focusing enough on transgender issues
24%
Not focusing enough on transgender issues
15%
Wording notes: preceded by a neutral definitional preamble that is unusual in this literature
neutral — symmetric item asked identically about both parties; the definitional preamble reduces respondent confusion without steering
respecting the right to live as one wants, by age group (split sample)
Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - Whether we approve or not, we should respect the right of adults to live as they want when it comes to decisions related to their gender identity. - [Form A] Whether we approve or not, we should respect the right of youth in high school to live as they want when it comes to decisions related to their gender identity. - [Form B] Whether we approve or not, we should respect the right of youth in elementary and middle school to live as they want when it comes to decisions related to their gender identity.
Total agree 88%Total disagree 12%Total agree 61%Total disagree 39%Total agree 51%Total disagree 49%
Wording notes: 'Whether we approve or not' concedes disapproval up front, which lowers the cost of agreeing | age is systematically varied to locate the tolerance threshold | no don't-know option
tilts_affirming — the 'whether we approve or not' preface reframes agreement as tolerance rather than endorsement, which raises agreement; the design is nonetheless informative because age is the only thing varied
who should decide policy on youth gender-transition care
Next you will see several situations involving transgender issues along with different people who could be involved in enacting policies and making decisions about each situation. Please rank the three groups of people that you most want to be involved in enacting policies and making decisions for each issue.
Next you will see several situations involving transgender issues along with different people who could be involved in enacting policies and making decisions about each situation. Please rank the three groups of people that you most want to be involved in enacting policies and making decisions for each issue. - Policies related to whether minors under age 18 should have access to medical care and treatment for gender transitions.
Parents (ranked first)
52%
Healthcare providers (ranked first)
14%
Medical and scientific experts (ranked first)
10%
I don't want any of these involved in this
8%
The President of the United States (ranked first)
4%
Members of Congress and Senators (ranked first)
3%
State legislators and governors (ranked first)
3%
Wording notes: decision-authority framing rather than policy-position framing
neutral — an unusual and even-handed design: it measures who voters trust rather than what policy they want, and the option list spans family, medical, and every level of government
federal sports ban vs. local control (split-sample statement test)
Next you will read two statements that you could hear from a member of Congress about transgender girls and women and sports. Please select the statement that is closest to your point of view, even if it is not exactly how you feel.
Next you will read two statements that you could hear from a member of Congress about transgender girls and women and sports. Please select the statement that is closest to your point of view, even if it is not exactly how you feel. STATEMENT A: Congress should pass laws that will apply across the country to make sure that transgender girls and women cannot compete in girl's and women's sports. STATEMENT B [Form A]: I understand that there are concerns about the safety and fairness of transgender girls and women playing in girl's and women's sports, I just think the question of who plays in sports should be left up to school boards and local sports associations, not the federal government. STATEMENT B [Form B]: The issue of whether transgender girls and women can play in girl's and women's sports should be left to school boards and sports associations, not the federal government.
Total Statement A - Congress should ban
56%
Total Statement A - Congress should ban
56%
Total Statement B - leave to school boards and local sports associations
44%
Total Statement B - leave to school boards and sports associations
44%
Wording notes: split-sample test of whether conceding the safety/fairness concern helps the local-control position | no neutral or don't-know option
neutral — an explicit message test, but a fair one: the restrictive statement is held constant and the only variation is whether the local-control statement first acknowledges the other side. The result - identical 56/44 splits - is the finding.
contact with transgender people and experience discussing the issue
Below are some statements about experiences that people may or may not have had. For each of the following, please indicate whether or not you have had each experience.
Below are some statements about experiences that people may or may not have had. For each of the following, please indicate whether or not you have had each experience.
I know someone who is transgender
53%
I have disagreed with someone that I respect on transgender issues
46%
I know someone who has a transgender family member
45%
I have worried about offending someone or saying what might be considered the "wrong" thing when talking about transgender issues
34%
I have reconsidered my views or opinions on a topic related to transgender issues after hearing new information
32%
neutral — behavioral checklist with symmetric yes/no per item
audio message test of three Democratic congressional positions on trans issues
Next you are going to react to three audio clips from a Democratic member of Congress about the issues that have been discussed in this survey.
Next you are going to react to three audio clips from a Democratic member of Congress about the issues that have been discussed in this survey. Please focus on the content and substance of the remarks and not the quality of the clip itself or how it is edited. We want your reaction to the ideas being expressed. [PURE PIVOT] These are hard issues. We should give each other the benefit of the doubt and treat everyone with dignity. We should also recognize and acknowledge that people have different views on these issues. That's why decisions on transgender issues should be made by parents, medical professionals, and sports leagues, not Congress. Congress' priority should be creating good jobs, holding down the cost of groceries and consumer goods, and expanding access to healthcare. [REPOSITION + PIVOT] These are hard issues. We should give each other the benefit of the doubt and respect different viewpoints. The most important thing is to protect our kids, and Congress should act to set basic rules: biological men should not be able to compete against girls in high school and higher-level sports, kids should not be allowed to make medical decisions without parental consent, and everyone should be protected from discrimination - including transgender people. Other than that, Congress should defer to parents and local authorities and focus on making everything from groceries to healthcare more affordable. [COMPROMISE/GOP LIGHT] When it comes to these issues, we need to rely more on common sense to come up with solutions. While we should always treat everyone with dignity, it's just as important that we ensure fairness and safety for everyone. That means protecting girls and women's sports so they are not competing against biological men, upholding the right of parents to be the lead in making decisions about their children's access to medical care, and giving parents as much say as possible in deciding if and when their children are exposed to these issues. Based on this, use a 0 to 10 scale to indicate your overall reaction to the clip, where a 0 means very unfavorable and a 10 means very favorable.
Rated 9-10
42%
Rated 9-10
41%
Rated 9-10
37%
Mean favorability (0-10)
7.4%
Mean favorability (0-10)
7.4%
Mean favorability (0-10)
7.1%
Wording notes: all three tested positions are variants of retreat or repositioning; no clip defends trans-inclusive policy | clips were delivered as audio, not text
tilts_restrictive — the design tests only how far a Democratic member should move toward the restrictive position - there is no affirmative pro-inclusion clip in the set - so the comparison can only ever recommend a degree of retreat
nine-policy favor/oppose battery spanning nondiscrimination, military, youth medical, bathrooms, and sports
Below are several policies that people have proposed related to transgender issues. For each one, please indicate whether you favor or oppose that policy.
Below are several policies that people have proposed related to transgender issues. For each one, please indicate whether you favor or oppose that policy.
Protect transgender individuals from discrimination in jobs, housing, and public spaces such as restaurants and stores - favor
85%
Allow transgender individuals to serve in the military if they meet the physical and psychological criteria for service - favor
67%
Allow healthcare professionals to provide someone younger than 18 with medical care related to gender transition only if parents provide consent - favor
54%
Allow transgender individuals to use public bathrooms that match their gender identity - favor
42%
Allow transgender youth to use school bathrooms that match their gender identity - favor
38%
Allow healthcare professionals to provide someone younger than 18 with medical care related to gender transition (no consent qualifier) - favor
32%
Allow transgender girls to compete in girls' sports in elementary school and middle school - favor
32%
Allow transgender girls and women to compete in female sports in high school, college, pro, and other competitive leagues - favor
29%
Allow transgender girls to compete in girls' sports in elementary school - favor
28%
Wording notes: no don't-know option - respondents are forced to a side | youth-medical and sports items are split-sampled with and without a parental-consent or age qualifier
neutral — each policy is stated in plain terms without argument on either side, and the split samples isolate the effect of the parental-consent and age qualifiers rather than pushing a direction