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Harvard CAPS/Harris

Monthly Harvard-Harris Poll: May 2019 · May 29–30, 2019 · US national

Methodology

Pollster
Harvard CAPS/Harris commercial
Sponsor
Harvard University Center for American Political Studies (Harvard CAPS) and The Harris Poll
Fielded
May 29–30, 2019
Population
registered voters
Sample size
1,295
Sample frame
online opt-in
Panel
The Harris Poll online panel
Mode
online survey, Harris Poll online panel
Margin of error
not disclosed
Weighting
weighted for age within gender, region, race/ethnicity, marital status, household size, income, employment, political party, political ideology, and education
Geography
US national
Base notes
Unweighted base 1,295; weighted base 1,328 (topline is filtered on registered voters but weighted to the U.S. general adult population)

Sources

Verification note. All wording and percentages read directly from the Harvard CAPS-Harris May 2019 registered-voter topline PDF (Tables 184-195). This is the largest single trans battery HHP has fielded. Note the topline offers NO 'not sure' option on most items, which is unusual and inflates both sides.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (12)

Bathrooms & facilitiesforced choice
workplace restroom policy for trans employees

How should workplaces deal with trans-gender and gender-neutral employees when it comes to the use of restrooms?

Provide gender-neutral restrooms
43%
Do nothing. This is not an issue for employers to solve
35%
Allow trans-gender and gender-neutral employees choose the restroom associate with
22%

Wording notes: response option text is garbled in the published topline ('choose the restroom associate with') | no 'not sure' option

neutral — three substantive options offered without an evaluative frame; the omission of a don't-know option forces choice but does not favor a side

Bathrooms & facilitiesforced choicein a trend series
birth-sex vs gender-identity restroom use

Do you think that transgender people should be required to use the bathroom of their sex at birth or allowed to use the bathroom that best aligns with their gender identity and stated sex?

Use the bathroom of their sex at birth
50%
Use the bathroom that best aligns with their stated sex
50%

Wording notes: no 'not sure' option | uses 'sex at birth' and 'stated sex' symmetrically

neutral — balanced two-sided construction; both alternatives given in the stem

Bathrooms & facilitiesfavor/oppose
constitutional right to bathroom of stated sex

Would you favor the Supreme Court finding that transgender people have a constitutional right to use the bathroom of their stated sex or oppose such a finding?

Favor 52%48% Oppose

Wording notes: no 'not sure' option

neutral — explicit two-sided stem ('or oppose such a finding')

Bathrooms & facilitiesforced choice
whether birth-sex bathroom laws are discriminatory

In general, do you think laws that require transgender people to use the bathroom of their sex at birth are discriminatory to them or not?

Not discriminatory
56%
Discriminatory
44%

Wording notes: no 'not sure' option

neutral — 'or not' construction is symmetric; asks respondent to characterize the law rather than endorse it

Bathrooms & facilitiesfavor/oppose
law requiring birth-sex bathroom use

Do you favor or oppose a law to require public institutions and accommodations to require transgender people to use bathrooms of their sex at birth?

Favor 50%50% Oppose

Wording notes: no 'not sure' option | paired split-half style with GC0508, which asks the mirror-image policy

neutral — neutral favor/oppose stem; the research interest is that the same respondents favored the restrictive law (50%) and the permissive law (54%), an acquiescence pattern

Bathrooms & facilitiesfavor/oppose
law allowing gender-identity bathroom use

Do you favor or oppose a law to require public institutions and accommodations to allow transgender people to use bathrooms that best aligns with their gender identity and stated sex?

Favor 54%46% Oppose

Wording notes: no 'not sure' option | mirror image of GC0507 asked of the same respondents

neutral — neutral favor/oppose stem; see GC0507 note on the acquiescence pattern across the pair

Bathrooms & facilitiesforced choice
which body should decide bathroom policy

Do you think the issue of public bathroom use by transgender people should be decided by each state, by Congress or the Supreme Court?

Supreme Court
45%
State
34%
Congress
20%

Wording notes: no 'not sure' option

neutral — institutional-venue question with three symmetric options

Military servicefavor/oppose
trans military service

Do you favor or oppose allowing transgender to serve in the military?

Favor 68%32% Oppose

Wording notes: grammatically truncated - 'allowing transgender to serve' omits the noun ('transgender people'), a published wording error | no 'not sure' option

neutral — standard favor/oppose framing; the dropped noun is sloppy but not directional

Legal documents & IDsforced choice
self-specified gender in government and school treatment

Do you think that in general people should be able to specify their gender identity and stated sex to be used in how people are treated by the government and public institutions like schools or should stated sex not be used?

Should be able to specify their stated sex
51%
Stated sex should not be used
49%

Wording notes: convoluted double-clause stem | no 'not sure' option

unclear — the stem is hard to parse - 'should stated sex not be used' is ambiguous between 'do not honor self-ID' and 'do not record sex at all', so the 49% figure cannot be read cleanly in either direction

Sportsforced choicein a trend series
high school and college team eligibility

Should competitive athletic teams in high schools and college allow transgender to play on the team of their stated sex or require them to play on the teams of their birth sex?

Require them to play on the teams of their birth sex
51%
Allow to play on the team of their stated sex
49%

Wording notes: grammatically truncated ('allow transgender to play') | no 'not sure' option

neutral — both alternatives stated symmetrically; notably this 2019 wording does not invoke 'biological males' or 'girls' sports', and produces a near-even split (49/51) far more favorable to inclusion than later HHP and Rasmussen wordings

Sportsforced choice
gender-neutral sports

Should we make all sports gender-neutral, allowing athletes of both sexes to compete with one another as they chose?

No
47%
Yes
29%
Unsure/ Don't Know
24%

Wording notes: one-sided stem ('Should we make...') with no stated alternative | typo 'as they chose'

unclear — asks about abolishing sex-segregated sports entirely, a policy essentially nobody advocates; the item functions as a strawman anchor within the battery rather than a measure of any live policy debate

Sportsforced choice
fairness of competing against trans athletes

Do you consider it fair or unfair for athletes of one sex to compete against gender-neutral or trans-gender athletes who were born as members of the either sex?

Unfair
45%
Fair
23%
Unsure / Don't Know
32%

Wording notes: garbled stem ('who were born as members of the either sex') | conflates 'gender-neutral' and 'trans-gender' athletes

unclear — the stem is grammatically broken and the referent group is ambiguous, so the 45% 'unfair' result cannot be attributed to a clean stimulus; this is the item The Hill reported in 2019

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →