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Harvard CAPS/Harris
Monthly Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll: October 2024 · Oct 11–13, 2024 · US national
Methodology
- Pollster
- Harvard CAPS/Harris commercial
- Sponsor
- Harvard University Center for American Political Studies (Harvard CAPS) and The Harris Poll
- Fielded
- Oct 11–13, 2024
- Population
- registered voters
- Sample size
- 3,145
- Sample frame
- online opt-in
- Panel
- The Harris Poll online panel
- Mode
- online survey, Harris Poll online panel
- Margin of error
- not disclosed
- Weighting
- weighted for age within gender, region, race/ethnicity, marital status, household size, income, employment, political party, political ideology, and education
- Geography
- US national
- Base notes
- Unweighted and weighted base 3,145.
Sources
Verification note. Wording and percentages read directly from the Harvard CAPS-Harris October 2024 topline PDF, Tables 142-144 and 163-165. Column offsets in the extracted text were resolved by checking that each item's cell counts sum to the 3,145 base.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (6)
trans women in women's sports
Do you support or oppose men who have transitioned to women competing in women's sports?
Wording notes: 'men who have transitioned to women' assigns male category membership in the stem | includes an explicit Unsure option, unlike the 2025-2026 executive-order version
tilts_restrictive — the descriptor 'men who have transitioned to women' is the same category-assignment device used across HHP's trans sports items; here it produces 64% oppose with a 17% unsure, which is notably lower opposition than the surgical/hormone version fielded four months later (69%)
perceived Harris position on trans athletes
Do you think Kamala Harris supports or opposes men who have transitioned to women competing in women's sports?
Supports
58%
Opposes
13%
Unsure/ Don't Know
29%
Wording notes: perception item, not an attitude item | carries the same 'men who have transitioned to women' descriptor
tilts_restrictive — a perception item embedded in a restrictive descriptor; asking voters to place Harris on a position the same battery has just coded as unpopular is a classic message-testing structure rather than a neutral measurement
perceived Trump position on trans athletes
Do you think Donald Trump supports or opposes men who have transitioned to women competing in women's sports?
Opposes
75%
Supports
9%
Unsure/ Don't Know
16%
Wording notes: perception item, not an attitude item
tilts_restrictive — same structure as CAND1016; the pair establishes a perceived 62-point gap between the candidates on an issue the preceding item has framed restrictively
public funding of gender surgery for undocumented immigrants
Are you for or against paying for sex change operations for immigrants who have entered the country illegally?
Against
76%
For
11%
Unsure/ Don't Know
14%
Wording notes: 'sex change operations' is not a clinical term | 'immigrants who have entered the country illegally' compounds two separately unpopular referents | 'paying for' with no stated payer or mechanism
double_barreled — the item fuses two independently unpopular objects - undocumented immigrants and publicly funded gender surgery - so the 76% 'against' cannot be apportioned between them. It is the polling analogue of a campaign ad rather than a measure of either attitude
perceived Harris position on funding gender surgery for immigrants
Do you think Kamala Harris is for or against paying for sex change operations for immigrants who have entered the country illegally?
For
47%
Against
26%
Unsure/ Don't Know
27%
Wording notes: perception item | inherits the double-barreled framing of CAN1020
double_barreled — perception item built on a double-barreled stimulus; measures the reach of the 2024 ad campaign more than any policy attitude
perceived Trump position on funding gender surgery for immigrants
Do you think Donald Trump is for or against paying for sex change operations for immigrants who have entered the country illegally?
Against
75%
For
9%
Unsure/ Don't Know
16%
Wording notes: perception item | inherits the double-barreled framing of CAN1020
double_barreled — see CAN1021; the pair records a 38-point perceived candidate gap on the ad's central claim