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Harvard CAPS/Harris

Monthly Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll: July 2025 · Jul 6–8, 2025 · US national

Methodology

Pollster
Harvard CAPS/Harris commercial
Sponsor
Harvard University Center for American Political Studies (Harvard CAPS) and The Harris Poll
Fielded
Jul 6–8, 2025
Population
registered voters
Sample size
2,044
Sample frame
online opt-in
Panel
The Harris Poll online panel
Mode
online survey, Harris Poll online panel
Margin of error
not disclosed
Weighting
weighted for age within gender, region, race/ethnicity, marital status, household size, income, employment, political party, political ideology, and education
Geography
US national
Base notes
Unweighted and weighted base 2,044.

Sources

Verification note. Wording and percentages read directly from the Harvard CAPS-Harris monthly topline PDF; individual item tables were used rather than summary tables because summary-table column alignment is ambiguous in the extracted text.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (2)

Legal documents & IDssupport/opposein a trend series
executive order declaring two sexes in federal forms and programs

Do you support or oppose each of these policies: Declaring that there are only two genders male and female in all government forms and programs

Support 61%39% Oppose

Wording notes: item is one of a long battery of Trump executive actions rated in a single grid | no 'not sure' option | 'genders' rather than 'sex', though the underlying executive order uses 'sex'

neutral — plain support/oppose against a compact description of the actual executive order; the surrounding battery is composed largely of high-support Trump actions, which may create a mild assimilation effect. Asked essentially unchanged from February 2025 onward, this is the single longest-running monthly trans-adjacent tracker in U.S. polling

Sportssupport/opposein a trend series
executive order barring trans women from girls' sports

Do you support or oppose each of these policies: Banning men who have undergone operations and hormones to become women from girls' sports

Support 66%34% Oppose

Wording notes: describes trans women as 'men who have undergone operations and hormones to become women' | restricted to 'girls' sports' | assumes the athletes in question have had operations and hormones, which is not true of most school-age athletes | no 'not sure' option

tilts_restrictive — the descriptor 'men who have undergone operations and hormones to become women' assigns male category membership in the stem itself, so a respondent must accept the framing to answer; the reference to operations imports an adult surgical picture onto a question about school sports. HHP's own symmetric 2019 wording produced 51% restrictive against this item's steady 62-69%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →