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Harvard CAPS/Harris
Monthly Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll: September 2025 · Oct 2025 – Oct 2, 2025 · US national
Methodology
- Pollster
- Harvard CAPS/Harris commercial
- Sponsor
- Harvard University Center for American Political Studies (Harvard CAPS) and The Harris Poll
- Fielded
- Oct 2025 – Oct 2, 2025
- Population
- registered voters
- Sample size
- 2,413
- Sample frame
- online opt-in
- Panel
- The Harris Poll online panel
- Mode
- online survey, Harris Poll online panel
- Margin of error
- not disclosed
- Weighting
- weighted for age within gender, region, race/ethnicity, marital status, household size, income, employment, political party, political ideology, and education
- Geography
- US national
- Base notes
- Released as the September 2025 wave but fielded October 1-2, 2025. Unweighted and weighted base 2,413.
Sources
Verification note. Wording and percentages read directly from the Harvard CAPS-Harris monthly topline PDF; individual item tables were used rather than summary tables because summary-table column alignment is ambiguous in the extracted text.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (2)
executive order declaring two sexes in federal forms and programs
Do you support or oppose each of these policies: Declaring that there are only two genders male and female in all government forms and programs
Wording notes: item is one of a long battery of Trump executive actions rated in a single grid | no 'not sure' option | 'genders' rather than 'sex', though the underlying executive order uses 'sex'
neutral — plain support/oppose against a compact description of the actual executive order; the surrounding battery is composed largely of high-support Trump actions, which may create a mild assimilation effect. Asked essentially unchanged from February 2025 onward, this is the single longest-running monthly trans-adjacent tracker in U.S. polling
executive order barring trans women from girls' sports
Do you support or oppose each of these policies: Banning men who have undergone operations and hormones to become women from girls' sports
Wording notes: describes trans women as 'men who have undergone operations and hormones to become women' | restricted to 'girls' sports' | assumes the athletes in question have had operations and hormones, which is not true of most school-age athletes | no 'not sure' option
tilts_restrictive — the descriptor 'men who have undergone operations and hormones to become women' assigns male category membership in the stem itself, so a respondent must accept the framing to answer; the reference to operations imports an adult surgical picture onto a question about school sports. HHP's own symmetric 2019 wording produced 51% restrictive against this item's steady 62-69%