probability RDD
High Point University Poll
HPU/News & Record Poll, September 2016 · Sep 17–22, 2016 · US: North Carolina
Methodology
- Pollster
- High Point University Poll academic
- Sponsor
- High Point University
- Commissioned by
- Greensboro News & Record
- Fielded
- Sep 17–22, 2016
- Population
- likely voters
- Sample size
- 404
- Sample frame
- probability RDD
- Mode
- telephone - 273 cell phone and 131 landline interviews
- Margin of error
- ±4.9 percentage points
- Geography
- US: North Carolina
- Base notes
- 404 likely North Carolina voters (273 cell phone, 131 landline)
Sources
Verification note. Four HB2 items with verbatim wording and full response distributions read from the HPU/News & Record release page. Party crosstabs not published on that page. Release date known only to month.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (4)
Bathrooms & facilitiesforced choice
whether HB2's birth-certificate bathroom provision is necessary for safety and privacy
House Bill 2 was enacted in March. It includes a provision that requires people to use public bathrooms that correspond to the gender recorded on their birth certificates.
House Bill 2 was enacted in March. It includes a provision that requires people to use public bathrooms that correspond to the gender recorded on their birth certificates. Do you believe this law is necessary or NOT necessary to protect public safety and privacy in North Carolina?
Not necessary
58%
Necessary
39%
Don't know
2%
Refused
1%
Wording notes: adopts the bill's own justification ('to protect public safety and privacy') as the standard being judged | accurate description of the provision | does not use the word transgender
tilts_restrictive — The necessary/not-necessary frame accepts the sponsors' stated rationale - public safety and privacy - as the dimension on which the law is evaluated, rather than asking about support, rights, or burden on transgender people. That said, respondents rejected the premise 58-39, so the framing did not produce a restrictive result.
Nondiscriminationforced choice
HB2's preemption of local anti-discrimination ordinances
House Bill 2 also prohibits North Carolina cities from adopting local anti-discrimination ordinances.
House Bill 2 also prohibits North Carolina cities from adopting local anti-discrimination ordinances. Do you believe cities should be allowed to adopt their own anti-discrimination ordinances or should NOT be allowed to adopt such ordinances?
Should be allowed 45%46% Should not be allowed
Wording notes: preemption framing | does not name transgender people or the protected classes at issue
neutral — Both alternatives stated symmetrically with an accurate description of the preemption provision; omitting which classes the ordinances covered is a scope ambiguity, not a slant.
Bathrooms & facilitiesforced choice
perceived economic impact of HB2 boycotts and cancellations
Some corporations, business groups, entertainers, and sports associations have canceled events in North Carolina because of House Bill 2.
Some corporations, business groups, entertainers, and sports associations have canceled events in North Carolina because of House Bill 2. Do you believe this has had a large economic impact, small impact, or no economic impact on North Carolina?
Large economic impact
61%
Small impact
28%
No economic impact
8%
Don't know
3%
Wording notes: preamble asserts that cancellations occurred (factually true at the time)
neutral — Factual preamble followed by a graded magnitude scale; no evaluative language.
Bathrooms & facilitiesforced choice
trade-off between enforcing HB2 and ending its economic impact
Which is more important to you personally, enforcing the law called House Bill 2 or ending any economic impact it may be having on North Carolina?
Ending House Bill 2's economic impact
60%
Enforcing House Bill 2
35%
Don't know
5%
Refused
1%
Wording notes: forces a trade-off between two non-exclusive goods | follows an item establishing that the economic impact is large
tilts_affirming — Placed directly after an item that primed the scale of the economic damage, and it pits enforcement against an economic harm the previous question had just established - an order effect that would push responses toward the anti-HB2 side.