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IRImpact Research
Third Way / Impact Research survey on transgender youth and sports (2022) · — · US national
Data flag. FIELD DATES NOT PUBLISHED. Third Way's memo gives n=1,012 likely midterm voters and a March 1 2022 publication date but no fielding window, and none appears in Impact Research's site, Roper iPoll, or any coverage. Not recoverable from public sources.
Methodology
- Pollster
- Impact Research partisan_d
- Sponsor
- Third Way
- Commissioned by
- Third Way
- Fielded
- —
- Population
- likely midterm voters
- Sample size
- 1,012
- Sample frame
- unknown
- Mode
- not disclosed
- Margin of error
- not disclosed
- Weighting
- not disclosed
- Geography
- US national
- Base notes
- Part of a multi-round project that also included qualitative research; Third Way does not publish the qualitative group composition for this round.
Sources
Verification note. Percentages read directly from Third Way's published memo. FIELD DATES ARE UNKNOWN - the memo gives only the sample size and the publication date of 2022-03-01, and no methodology statement, mode, weighting, or margin of error is published. No topline is released.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (5)
who should decide transgender youth sports participation
[Third Way describes the item as asking] who should be responsible for making decisions about transgender youth's participation in sports
Wording reconstructed from: Third Way memo narrative; full question wording and topline not published
Policymakers at the state or federal level (combined)
36%
Parents, doctors, or schools case-by-case (combined)
27%
Sports governing bodies like the NCAA
19%
State legislature
15%
Parents
11%
School districts or administrators
11%
Congress
8%
The Department of Education
7%
Governor
6%
Doctors
5%
Don't know
14%
Wording notes: question wording not published
unclear — wording not published; the option list spans governing bodies, government levels, and family/school actors, which appears balanced but cannot be verified
whether politicians or parents and schools should decide
The issue of transgender student-athletes is complicated and should not be up to politicians to decide. These decisions should be left to parents and schools who know the situation best. OR This is an important issue, and we need politicians to pass laws to protect non-transgender students from having to compete against someone of the opposite sex.
Complicated / should be left to parents and schools
51%
We need politicians to pass laws to protect non-transgender students
37%
Wording notes: restrictive statement uses 'someone of the opposite sex' | affirming statement leads with 'complicated', which lowers the bar for choosing it
tilts_affirming — the affirming side is framed as humility about a complicated issue while the restrictive side demands legislative action, which is the harder ask; the memo itself notes support flipped between this framing and the direct policy question
parents of transgender youth vs. 'political correctness' framing
Parents of transgender youth should be able to make the decisions that are best for their children without politicians interfering. OR Because of political correctness, parents have no say when transgender youth join their kids' sports teams, even when the transgender person has a clear, unfair advantage.
Parents of transgender youth should be able to make the decisions that are best for their children
53%
Because of political correctness, parents have no say
34%
Wording notes: restrictive statement uses 'political correctness' and asserts 'a clear, unfair advantage' as fact
loaded_terms — both statements are advocacy language; the restrictive one is written with a dated pejorative ('political correctness') that likely depresses it relative to a plainer fairness claim
vote effect of supporting a sports ban
[Third Way describes the item as asking] whether a candidate's support for laws banning transgender youth from participating in sports consistent with their gender identity would make them more or less likely to vote for that policymaker
Wording reconstructed from: Third Way memo narrative; question wording not published
Less likely to vote for a candidate who supports a sports ban
35%
More likely to vote for a candidate who supports a sports ban
34%
Wording notes: question wording not published
unclear — wording not published
priority of LGBT-related laws relative to other issues
[Third Way describes the item as asking respondents to name first or second priorities among issues, including] laws related to gay and transgender people
Wording reconstructed from: Third Way memo narrative; question wording not published
Inflation as a priority
48%
Jobs and the economy as a priority
30%
Laws related to gay and transgender people as a first or second priority
3%
Wording notes: question wording and full issue list not published | combines gay and transgender issues into one item
unclear — wording not published; the item bundles sexual orientation and gender identity