probability panel

Ipsos

Reuters/Ipsos Poll on Executive Orders (second week of the second Trump term) · Jan 31, 2025 – Feb 2, 2025 · US national

Methodology

Pollster
Ipsos commercial
Sponsor
Reuters
Commissioned by
Reuters
Fielded
Jan 31, 2025 – Feb 2, 2025
Population
adults
Sample size
1,032
Sample frame
probability panel
Panel
Ipsos KnowledgePanel
Mode
online - self-administered web survey of the probability-based KnowledgePanel; address-based sampling via the USPS Delivery Sequence File; tablet and internet provided to households without access
Margin of error
not disclosed
Weighting
Weighted to adjust for gender by age, race/ethnicity, education, Census region, metropolitan status, and household income; demographic benchmarks from the 2024 March Supplement of the Current Population Survey, with 2024 presidential vote-choice benchmarks from the FEC 2024 election results.
Geography
US national
Base notes
Party breaks are published for Republican, Democrat and Independent columns; the topline does not print the party base sizes.

Sources

Verification note. Full 10-page Reuters/Ipsos executive-orders topline retrieved and text-extracted. Fielded in the week immediately after EO 14183 restricting transgender military service (signed 27 January 2025), which makes it the closest measurement to that order. The 'About the Study' page in this particular topline does not state a margin of sampling error or design effect - an omission relative to Ipsos's other 2025 KnowledgePanel releases - so those fields are recorded as not disclosed rather than inferred.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (1)

Military servicesupport/opposein a trend series
support for barring transgender people from military service

To what extent do your support or oppose the following policies?

To what extent do your support or oppose the following policies? Barring transgender people from enlisting and serving openly in the military

Support 40%55% Oppose

Wording notes: no 'don't know' offered; only 'Skipped' (4%) | restrictive polarity - 'support' means supporting the ban | 'enlisting and serving openly' is double-barreled in principle, covering both entry and continued service, though the executive order itself covered both | embedded in a ten-item battery of Trump executive orders, which activates partisan cue-taking

neutral — Accurate description of what EO 14183 did, with a balanced four-point scale. The missing don't-know inflates both sides somewhat, but the battery framing is symmetric across all ten items. Substantively this is the key finding of the executive-order period: barring trans people from the military draws 40% support against 55% opposition - the second-least popular of the ten orders tested, and a striking contrast with the 63% who backed the trans sports ban in the Reuters/Ipsos poll fielded two weeks later.

Subgroup figures (18)

party

GroupStrongly supportSomewhat supportSomewhat opposeStrongly opposeSupport (Net)Oppose (Net)
Republican47%24%20%8%71%27%
Democrat5%11%24%58%16%82%
Independent19%17%31%32%37%63%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →