probability RDD

Marist Poll

Marist Poll / Center for Sports Communication - 50th Anniversary of Title IX (June 2022 release) · May 9–17, 2022 · US national

Methodology

Pollster
Marist Poll academic
Sponsor
Marist Poll in partnership with the Center for Sports Communication at Marist College
Commissioned by
Center for Sports Communication at Marist College
Fielded
May 9–17, 2022
Population
adults
Sample size
1,121
Sample frame
probability RDD
Mode
telephone - live interviewers on landline and mobile numbers; mobile numbers randomly selected from a national list of telephone exchanges, supplemented by random dialing of landline numbers with a random respondent selected within each landline household
Margin of error
+/- 4.4 percentage points
Weighting
weight variable WTFACTOR; exchanges selected so each region is represented in proportion to its population
Geography
US national

Sources

Verification note. Wording, methodology and all figures read directly from the Marist 'How the Survey was Conducted' and banner PDF (pp. 1, 10-12, 18). The release date is recorded as 2022-06-01 with day precision unverified - the PDF was posted under a June 2022 upload path and the release is titled for the June 2022 Title IX anniversary, but the exact release day was not retrieved. This release's banners break by gender, sports fandom, Title IX awareness, generation, age and race; it publishes NO party breaks, which is the main limitation of the record.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (2)

Sportsforced choicein a trend series
whether transgender athletes may play on teams matching gender identity or birth gender

Next, we have a question about policies for competitive sports that have separate teams for male and female athletes.

Next, we have a question about policies for competitive sports that have separate teams for male and female athletes. Do you think transgender athletes should be able to play on sports teams that match their current gender identity or should only be allowed to play on sports teams that match their birth gender?

Should only be allowed to play on sports teams that match their birth gender
61%
Should be able to play on sports teams that match their current gender identity
29%
Vol: Unsure
10%

Wording notes: uses 'birth gender' | no middle option; 'Unsure' is volunteered only | preamble establishes sex-segregated teams as the premise before the question is asked

neutral — Both alternatives are stated at comparable length; 'birth gender' is contested but is used symmetrically against 'current gender identity'.

Subgroup figures (16)

gender

GroupShould be able to play on sports teams that match their current gender identityShould only be allowed to play on sports teams that match their birth gender
Men32%59%

age

GroupShould be able to play on sports teams that match their current gender identityShould only be allowed to play on sports teams that match their birth gender
Gen Z / Millennials37%53%
Gen X25%68%
Baby Boomers23%70%
Silent/Greatest17%60%

race

GroupShould be able to play on sports teams that match their current gender identityShould only be allowed to play on sports teams that match their birth gender
White30%62%
Non-white27%60%

other

GroupShould be able to play on sports teams that match their current gender identityShould only be allowed to play on sports teams that match their birth gender
Sports fans23%68%
Identity beliefsparaphrasedforced choicein a trend series
whether birth-certificate sex is the only way to define male and female in society

Do you think defining gender as the sex listed on a person's original birth certificate is the only way to define male and female in society or is out of date, and needs to be updated to include identity?

Wording reconstructed from: Marist Poll / Center for Sports Communication banner PDF, p.10. The banner prints the stem as 'Do you think defining gender as the sex listed on a person's original birth certificate:' followed by the two response stubs; the full single-sentence stem is reconstructed here from the stub text, so it is marked non-verbatim.

Is the only way to define male and female in society
51%
Is out of date, and needs to be updated to include identity
42%
Vol: Unsure
8%

Wording notes: the affirming alternative is loaded with 'is out of date', which supplies a reason rather than a position | no middle option; 'Unsure' is volunteered only

unclear — The two alternatives are not parallel: one states a definition, the other argues that the definition is obsolete. Which direction that pushes is not obvious - 'out of date' may attract respondents who dislike seeming behind the times, or repel those who read it as dismissive.

Subgroup figures (12)

gender

GroupIs the only way to define male and female in societyIs out of date, and needs to be updated to include identity
Men48%44%

age

GroupIs the only way to define male and female in societyIs out of date, and needs to be updated to include identity
Gen Z / Millennials42%49%
Gen X55%42%
Baby Boomers58%35%
Silent/Greatest53%33%

other

GroupIs the only way to define male and female in societyIs out of date, and needs to be updated to include identity
Sports fans53%39%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →