mixed-mode probability
Marist Poll
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll - March 2023 · Mar 20–23, 2023 · US national
Methodology
- Pollster
- Marist Poll academic
- Sponsor
- NPR / PBS NewsHour / Marist
- Commissioned by
- NPR and PBS NewsHour
- Fielded
- Mar 20–23, 2023
- Population
- adults
- Sample size
- 1,327
- Sample frame
- mixed-mode probability
- Mode
- telephone (live interviewer) and online
- Margin of error
- ±3.5 percentage points
- Weighting
- weighted to U.S. Census parameters
- Geography
- US national
- Base notes
- 1,327 U.S. adults (MoE ±3.5); also 1,226 registered voters (MoE ±3.6)
Sources
Verification note. Field dates, sample sizes and MoE come from the PBS NewsHour write-up, as do the percentages, but the write-up does not quote the item stems and the Marist topline was not retrieved (Marist rate-limited this agent). The drag-show result is reported only as 'roughly six out of 10', which is too imprecise to record as a percentage, so it is omitted rather than guessed. Re-verification against the Marist topline is needed. || toplines and party breaks retrieved from The Hill's report and HRC's compilation of the NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist March 2023 release; the Marist topline PDF was not retrieved, so wording is a paraphrase. The same poll also asked about criminalizing and banning gender-transition medical care for minors, but exact percentages for those items were not retrieved. || toplines read from PBS NewsHour's write-up of the March 2023 Marist release; the Marist topline PDF was not retrieved, so wording is a paraphrase and party breaks are described only qualitatively (Republicans, white evangelical Christians and parents of minors most supportive). This record is kept separate from the drag record for the same fielding because the two items were reported in different releases; both share the same poll fielding.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (3)
laws criminalizing the provision of gender transition medical care to minors
Do you support or oppose laws that make it a crime to provide gender transition-related medical care to minors?
Wording reconstructed from: PBS NewsHour write-up paraphrase; Marist topline not retrieved
Wording notes: criminalization framing (making care a crime) rather than a simple prohibition, which typically depresses support for the restriction | PBS reports support rose 15 points since the April 2021 wave, one of the largest movements on any trans item in this corpus
tilts_affirming — asking about criminal penalties rather than a civil ban sets a higher bar for the restrictive response; the 43% who still support it is therefore a floor, not a ceiling, on ban support
state laws restricting drag shows or performances
Do you favor or oppose a law in your state that would place restrictions on drag shows or drag performances?
Wording reconstructed from: paraphrase from The Hill and HRC summaries of the NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist March 2023 release; Marist topline PDF not retrieved
Wording notes: fielded during the Tennessee drag-restriction law news cycle (SB 3 signed March 2, 2023)
unclear — wording not verified against the pollster's topline
Subgroup figures (3)
criminalizing gender-transition medical care for minors
Do you favor or oppose a law in your state that would make it a crime to provide gender-transition-related medical care to someone under the age of 18?
Wording reconstructed from: paraphrase from PBS NewsHour's write-up of the March 2023 Marist release; Marist topline PDF not retrieved
Wording notes: 'criminalize' framing, which is stronger than 'ban' or 'prohibit' and is the direction the 2023 state bills actually took
unclear — wording not verified against the pollster's topline