probability panel
Marquette Law School Poll
Marquette Law School Poll national survey (national issues) · May 5–15, 2025 · US national
Methodology
- Pollster
- Marquette Law School Poll academic
- Sponsor
- Marquette University Law School
- Fielded
- May 5–15, 2025
- Population
- adults
- Sample size
- 1,004
- Sample frame
- probability panel
- Panel
- SSRS Opinion Panel
- Mode
- online interviews administered to a national probability panel
- Margin of error
- +/- 3.6 percentage points
- Weighting
- weighted to national population parameters per Marquette's standard national-survey weighting; the detailed methodology statement, survey instrument, topline and crosstabs are published separately on the Marquette Law Poll website
- Geography
- US national
Sources
Verification note. Full press-release PDF retrieved and text-extracted. Question wording, Table 11 party breakdown and the methodology paragraph copied directly from the release. This is the second fielding of the same executive-order item Marquette asked in January-February 2025 and the totals are identical (63/37), which Marquette notes explicitly. SALIENCE NOTE recorded on the second question below: Marquette's nine-item most-important-issue list for this wave did not include transgender issues at all, so no salience percentage exists to record - the omission itself is the finding. || Toplines read from Marquette's MLSPSC26 topline HTML; party breaks from the MLSPSC26 crosstab file ('party ID, leaners as partisans').
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (3)
Trump executive order defining sex as male/female only and requiring federal documents including passports to reflect birth sex - second fielding
Asked within a battery of favor/oppose items on Trump administration executive actions.
Do you favor or oppose President Trump's executive order requiring federal agencies to recognize biological sex as male or female only, eliminate references to gender identity in policies, and require federal documents, such as passports, to reflect biological sex, not gender identity?
Wording notes: bundles three distinct policy components into one item (binary sex recognition, removal of gender identity references from policy, document/passport markers) | attributes the policy to President Trump by name | adopts the administration's own term 'biological sex' | reported two-way with undecideds excluded | Marquette's prose describes this as the order declaring it US policy 'to recognize two sexes, male and female' - a shorter characterization than the item actually asked
double_barreled — Three separable policies are combined into one favor/oppose choice, so a respondent who supports binary sex definitions but opposes revoking existing passport markers cannot register that. Naming Trump converts part of the measure into presidential approval, which is visible in the near-unanimous Republican share (96%). The stability of the total across two fieldings four months apart nonetheless makes this a usable trend point.
Subgroup figures (6)
most important issue - recorded to document that transgender issues were NOT among the nine options Marquette offered
Which one of the following issues matters MOST to you right now?
Inflation and the cost of living
36%
Threats to democracy
19%
The economy
13%
Medicare & Social Security
10%
Immigration and border security
9%
The size of the federal deficit
4%
Health care
3%
Abortion policy
2%
Foreign policy
2%
Don't know
3%
Wording notes: CLOSED list - transgender issues, gender identity and LGBTQ policy are absent from the option set entirely | a closed most-important-issue list cannot measure the salience of an issue it does not offer, so this item establishes an upper bound only by omission | recorded here as a null/absence finding: no percentage for transgender issues exists in this poll because the option was never presented
neutral — Standard closed-ended most-important-issue construction. It is recorded in this sweep not for its percentages but as documentary evidence of the salience gap: Marquette, polling on the executive order in the same instrument, did not consider transgender issues a candidate for the most-important-issue list. The competing issue percentages are included as the comparison baseline.
United States v. Skrmetti (pending): how should the Court rule on Tennessee's ban
[In December, the Supreme Court heard arguments challenging a Tennessee law that prohibits medical providers from prescribing puberty-delaying medication or performing gender transition surgery for youth under 18.]
[In December, the Supreme Court heard arguments challenging a Tennessee law that prohibits medical providers from prescribing puberty-delaying medication or performing gender transition surgery for youth under 18.] How do you think the Court should rule?
Uphold the Tennessee law
70%
Overturn the law
30%
Wording notes: describes the law by its two most restricted interventions | 'uphold' vs 'overturn' framing rather than substantive policy alternatives
neutral — Both outcomes are stated symmetrically; the description omits hormone therapy and asks about a court outcome rather than a policy preference.
Subgroup figures (6)