probability panel

Marquette Law School Poll

Marquette Law School Poll national Supreme Court survey · Sep 15–24, 2025 · US national

Methodology

Pollster
Marquette Law School Poll academic
Sponsor
Marquette University Law School
Fielded
Sep 15–24, 2025
Population
adults
Sample size
1,043
Sample frame
probability panel
Panel
SSRS Opinion Panel
Mode
online - SSRS Opinion Panel, a national probability sample with interviews conducted online (Marquette's own description)
Margin of error
±3.3 percentage points
Geography
US national

Sources

Verification note. Toplines read from Marquette's MLSPSC28 topline HTML; party breaks from the MLSPSC28 crosstab file ('party ID, leaners as partisans').

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (2)

Nondiscriminationfavor/opposein a trend series
Bostock v. Clayton County - workplace protections for gay and transgender workers

In 2020, the Supreme Court ruled that a federal civil rights law protects gay and transgender workers from workplace discrimination. How much do you favor or oppose this decision?

Favor 79%21% Oppose

Wording notes: bundles sexual orientation and gender identity into one item | describes an existing Court holding rather than an abstract policy

neutral — Neutral description of the holding; 'favor or oppose this decision' is symmetric. Because gay and transgender workers are bundled, the item cannot isolate attitudes toward gender identity alone.

Subgroup figures (12)

party

GroupStrongly favorSomewhat favorSomewhat opposeStrongly oppose
Republican26%41%21%13%
Independent42%36%19%3%
Democrat75%19%4%2%
Sportsforced choicein a trend series
Little v. Hecox / West Virginia v. B.P.J. (pending): how should the Court rule on state bans

The Supreme Court will hear arguments in a case asking whether state laws that prohibit transgender girls and women from participating on girls' and women's sports teams violate the Constitution's equal protection clause. How do you think the Supreme Court should rule?

Rule that these state laws are constitutional
62%
Rule against these state laws as violations of the equal protection clause
38%

Wording notes: asks for a predicted/preferred constitutional outcome rather than a policy preference | the affirming option is stated in legal terms ('violations of the equal protection clause') while the restrictive option is the plain word 'constitutional'

neutral — Both outcomes are named, but the two options are not linguistically parallel: upholding the bans is offered as simply 'constitutional' while striking them down requires endorsing a specific constitutional violation, which is a heavier ask.

Subgroup figures (6)

party

GroupRule that these state laws are constitutionalRule against these state laws as violations of the equal protection clause
Republican81%19%
Independent57%43%
Democrat44%56%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →