probability panel

Marquette Law School Poll

Marquette Law School Poll national Supreme Court survey · Nov 5–12, 2025 · US national

Methodology

Pollster
Marquette Law School Poll academic
Sponsor
Marquette University Law School
Fielded
Nov 5–12, 2025
Population
adults
Sample size
1,052
Sample frame
probability panel
Panel
SSRS Opinion Panel
Mode
online - SSRS Opinion Panel, a national probability sample with interviews conducted online (Marquette's own description)
Margin of error
not disclosed
Geography
US national

Sources

Verification note. Topline frequency table and party breaks read from Marquette's MLSPSC29 trend-topline and crosstab files. Marquette did not post a standalone MLSPSC29 topline HTML at the usual path (404); the trend-topline file carries the same frequency table. Margin of error not retrieved for this wave.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (1)

Youth medical careforced choicein a trend series
Chiles v. Salazar (pending): conversion-therapy restrictions as medical regulation vs. speech

More than 20 states restrict therapists from trying to change the gender identity or sexual orientation of clients under age 18, often called "conversion therapy." The Supreme Court recently heard arguments in a case asking whether such a law, as it applies to talk therapy, is about properly regulating medical treatment or impermissibly censoring speech. How do you think the Supreme Court should rule?

Rule that the law is properly regulating medical treatment
67%
Rule against the law as impermissibly censoring speech
33%

Wording notes: frames the choice as medical regulation vs. censorship, which are not obviously commensurable | the word 'censoring' is pejorative and appears only on the anti-ban side | does not tell respondents which side of the case each ruling favors

loaded_terms — 'Impermissibly censoring speech' carries a negative valence that 'properly regulating medical treatment' does not counterbalance, and because the item never says that striking the law down would permit conversion therapy, respondents cannot easily map either option onto a substantive position. The unusual result that Republicans were the most likely group to pick 'properly regulating medical treatment' suggests the case-outcome framing was not read as a proxy for support of conversion-therapy bans.

Subgroup figures (6)

party

GroupRule that the law is properly regulating medical treatmentRule against the law as impermissibly censoring speech
Republican75%25%
Independent66%34%
Democrat59%41%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →