online opt-in
Morning Consult
Morning Consult poll for The Trevor Project: Texas Voters On Anti-LGBTQ Policies · May 13–15, 2022 · US: Texas
Methodology
- Pollster
- Morning Consult commercial
- Sponsor
- The Trevor Project
- Commissioned by
- The Trevor Project
- Fielded
- May 13–15, 2022
- Population
- registered voters
- Sample size
- 297
- Sample frame
- online opt-in
- Panel
- Morning Consult (panel not named in the memo)
- Mode
- online - self-administered web interviews
- Margin of error
- plus or minus 6 percentage points
- Weighting
- weighted to approximate a target sample of Registered Voters based on gender by age, educational attainment, race, marital status, home ownership, race by educational attainment, and 2020 presidential vote
- Geography
- US: Texas
Sources
Verification note. All figures read directly from the Morning Consult memo 'Texas Voters On Anti-LGBTQ Policies' prepared for The Trevor Project (PDF page 2). The memo prints the verbatim stem and four response options for the gender-affirming-care battery; the remaining items are described narratively, so their question_text is the memo's own description and is flagged question_text_verbatim=false. Memo is dated June 2022 internally; the file was posted 2022-07-08. Fielded roughly three months after the Texas DFPS directive treating gender-affirming care for minors as child abuse.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (6)
vote likelihood for a candidate who tries to make gender-affirming care for trans youth illegal
Whether the respondent is more or less likely to vote for a candidate who tries to make it illegal to provide gender-affirming care to transgender youth.
Wording reconstructed from: Morning Consult memo for The Trevor Project (Texas page); result reported narratively.
Less likely
33%
More likely
26%
Wording notes: advocacy-sponsored poll
neutral — Describes the policy by its legal effect without an added pejorative; both directions reported.
charging parents and pediatricians with child abuse for providing gender-affirming care
Support or opposition to charging parents and pediatricians with child abuse for providing gender-affirming care to transgender youth.
Wording reconstructed from: Morning Consult memo for The Trevor Project (Texas page); result reported narratively.
Wording notes: names both parents and pediatricians as targets
neutral — Accurately describes the February 2022 Texas DFPS directive; the wording is stark but so was the policy.
vote likelihood for a candidate who tries to ban social transition for minors
Whether the respondent is less likely to vote for a candidate who tries to ban social transition for minors (i.e. how they dress or cut their hair) in ways that affirm their identity.
Wording reconstructed from: Morning Consult memo for The Trevor Project (Texas page); result reported narratively.
Wording notes: social transition defined only as dress and hair | only the 'less likely' figure was published
tilts_affirming — Same narrow definition of social transition as the Florida item, and the memo reports only the side favourable to the sponsor's position.
conditions under which transgender minors should have access to gender-affirming medical care
Which of the following comes closest to your opinion, even if none are exactly right?
Transgender minors should not have access to gender-affirming medical care.
31%
Parents should ultimately decide whether their transgender child receives gender-affirming medical care.
24%
Transgender minors should have access to gender-affirming medical care if their doctor recommends it.
15%
Should have access (net of the two access options) 45%
Wording notes: three of four options permit access under some condition, one denies it | no option for a flat legal ban framed as such
tilts_affirming — The option set is unbalanced: three affirming or parent-deferring options against a single restrictive one, which mechanically raises the combined 'should have access' figure.
making it illegal to provide gender-affirming medical care to transgender youth
Support or opposition to making it illegal to provide gender-affirming medical care to transgender youth.
Wording reconstructed from: Morning Consult memo for The Trevor Project (Texas page); result reported narratively.
Wording notes: restriction framed as making care 'illegal'
neutral — A ban on providing the care is accurately described as making it illegal; both directions reported.
restricting transgender youths' ability to dress in ways that affirm their identity
Support or opposition to restricting transgender youths' ability to dress in ways that affirm their identity.
Wording reconstructed from: Morning Consult memo for The Trevor Project (Texas page); result reported narratively.
Wording notes: social transition reduced to dress
tilts_affirming — Framing the restriction purely as controlling how a young person dresses maximizes opposition.