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Napolitan News Service (RMG Research)

Napolitan News Service Survey (transgender tracking wave) · Mar 20–21, 2024 · US national

Methodology

Pollster
Napolitan News Service (RMG Research) independent
Sponsor
Napolitan News Service
Commissioned by
Napolitan News Service Gold Circle Members
Fielded
Mar 20–21, 2024
Population
registered voters
Sample size
—
Sample frame
online opt-in
Panel
RMG Research online panel
Mode
online; certain quotas applied and the sample lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage and political party to reflect the national population of Registered Voters
Margin of error
not disclosed
Weighting
lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party
Geography
US national

Sources

Verification note. This fielding is known ONLY from the trend table printed in the March 23-24, 2026 Napolitan topline PDF, which lists the Yes/No percentages for prior waves of this tracking item. The 'Not sure' share, the sample size, the margin of error and the release date for this specific wave were NOT retrieved; sample size and MoE are left null rather than assumed from Napolitan's usual n=1,000 / +/-3.1. Item wording is the wording printed on the same topline page that carries the trend table, which the pollster presents as the wording of the whole series (the sole exception, November 13 2024, is footnoted by the pollster as 'participate in' rather than 'compete in' and is recorded separately).

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (1)

Sportsforced choicein a trend series
whether trans women competing denies opportunities to cisgender women

Does allowing biological males to compete in women's sports deny opportunities for biological women to compete?

Yes
67%
No
20%

Wording notes: presupposes a zero-sum contest between two groups and asks only whether the loss occurs, not whether it is a reason for policy | 'biological males' / 'biological women' framing used throughout | no reciprocal item asking whether exclusion denies opportunities to trans women

tilts_restrictive — the item embeds the central contested premise of the sports debate - that inclusion costs cisgender women opportunities - inside the question, so agreeing requires no evidence and the counter-position has no place on the scale

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →