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Napolitan News Service (RMG Research)

Napolitan News Service Survey (transgender) · Mar 23–24, 2026 · US national

Methodology

Pollster
Napolitan News Service (RMG Research) independent
Sponsor
Napolitan News Service
Commissioned by
Napolitan News Service Gold Circle Members
Fielded
Mar 23–24, 2026
Population
registered voters
Sample size
1,000
Sample frame
online opt-in
Panel
RMG Research online panel
Mode
online; certain quotas applied and the sample lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage and political party to reflect the national population of Registered Voters
Margin of error
±3.1 percentage points
Weighting
lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party
Geography
US national

Sources

Verification note. Question wording and percentages transcribed directly from the free Napolitan News Service topline PDF. Full crosstabs are behind the Gold Circle Member paywall and were NOT retrieved, so no party breaks are recorded here except where the free news brief states them in prose. Party and age figures shown here are the ones stated in prose in the two free news briefs ('Just 18% Want Biological Males in Women's Sports' and 'Just 16% Say Trans Women Should Be Housed in Women's Prisons'); the Republican 'Yes' share on the sports item was not stated and is recorded as null.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (5)

Sportsforced choicein a trend series
whether trans women should be allowed to compete in women's sports

Should biological males who identify as women be allowed to compete in women's sports events?

No
69%
Yes
18%
Not sure
14%

Wording notes: 'biological males who identify as women' is the restrictive-side term of art and the only descriptor offered | no counter-framing or competing consideration offered | yes/no rather than a scaled item, which suppresses intensity

loaded_terms — the stem uses only the opponents' description of trans women ('biological males who identify as women') and asks a bare permission question with no countervailing consideration; the referent is also unbounded as to level of competition, age, or medical status

Subgroup figures (4)

party

GroupNoNot sure
Republican88%—
Democrat55%18%

age

GroupNo
Ages 18-3456%
Sportsforced choicein a trend series
whether trans women competing denies opportunities to cisgender women

Does allowing biological males to compete in women's sports deny opportunities for biological women to compete?

Yes
60%
No
28%
Not sure
12%

Wording notes: presupposes a zero-sum contest and asks only whether the loss occurs | 'biological males' / 'biological women' framing | no reciprocal item about opportunities denied to trans women

tilts_restrictive — the contested premise of the sports debate is built into the stem, so the affirming answer needs no supporting evidence and the counter-position has no place on the scale

Subgroup figures (3)

party

GroupYes
Republican79%
Democrat45%

age

GroupYes
Ages 55+70%
Bathrooms & facilitiesforced choicein a trend series
whether trans women should be allowed to use women's locker rooms, showers and bathrooms

Should biological males who identify as women be allowed to use the women's locker rooms, showers, and bathrooms?

No
67%
Yes
19%
Not sure
14%

Wording notes: 'biological males who identify as women' used throughout | bundles locker rooms, showers and bathrooms into a single item, leading with the most intimate setting | no counter-framing offered

loaded_terms — as with the sports item, only the restrictive description of trans women is offered; listing 'locker rooms, showers, and bathrooms' in that order front-loads the most privacy-salient settings before the most common one

Subgroup figures (4)

party

GroupNoYesNot sure
Republican87%——
Democrat52%30%18%
Prisons & sheltersforced choicein a trend series
whether trans women convicted of crimes should be housed in men's or women's prisons

Suppose a biological male commits a crime, is arrested, convicted and is sentenced to jail. If biological men identify as women, should they be housed in a men's prison or a women's prison?

Men's prison
62%
Women's prison
16%
Not sure
23%

Wording notes: 'If biological men identify as women' casts identity as a conditional claim made by a convicted criminal | the crime is left unspecified, so respondents supply the worst case | no third option such as individualized assessment or protective housing

tilts_restrictive — opening with an unspecified crime and a conviction primes a threat frame before gender is mentioned, and omitting any individualized-assessment option forces a binary that no corrections policy actually uses

Prisons & sheltersforced choicein a trend series
whether housing trans women in women's prisons puts female inmates at risk

If biological men who identify as women are housed in women's prisons, does that put female inmates at risk?

Yes
61%
No
21%
Not sure
17%

Wording notes: asks respondents to assess a risk claim with no evidence supplied and no reciprocal item on risk to trans inmates in men's prisons | asked immediately after the housing item, so it inherits its framing

tilts_restrictive — the danger runs in only one direction in this battery; the far better-documented risk to trans women housed in men's facilities is never put to respondents, so the pair measures only one side of the safety question

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →