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Navigator Research (GSG/GBAO)

Navigator Research: "Transgender Rights: A Guide for Advocates" · May 30, 2024 – Jun 3, 2024 · US national

Methodology

Pollster
Navigator Research (GSG/GBAO) partisan_d
Sponsor
Navigator Research
Commissioned by
Navigator Research - a project of Global Strategy Group and GBAO with an advisory committee including The Hub Project, EMILY's List, AFL-CIO, Center for American Progress Action Fund, EquisLabs, and Planned Parenthood Action Fund
Fielded
May 30, 2024 – Jun 3, 2024
Population
registered voters
Sample size
1,000
Sample frame
online opt-in
Panel
not disclosed
Mode
online - respondents recruited from an opt-in online panel vendor and verified against a voter file
Margin of error
±3.1 percentage points
Weighting
sample composition matched to the national registered-voter population across a variety of demographic variables (specific weighting targets not disclosed)
Geography
US national
Base notes
Plus oversamples: 100 additional Hispanic voters, 75 additional Asian American and Pacific Islander voters, 100 additional African American voters, 105 additional independent voters, 200 additional voters ages 18-34.

Sources

Verification note. All wording and figures read directly from the Navigator slide deck PDF. Navigator publishes decks, not full crosstab files, so only the party and demographic breaks shown on the slides are available.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (7)

Nondiscriminationsupport/opposein a trend series
adding sexual orientation and gender identity to federal nondiscrimination law

Do you support or oppose adding sexual orientation and gender identity to federal nondiscrimination laws, meaning LGBTQ+ Americans would be protected from discrimination in employment, housing, and access to public accommodations?

Support 62%26% Oppose

Wording notes: explains the practical effect of the policy inside the question

tilts_affirming — the explanatory clause states only the benefit (protection from discrimination) and no countervailing consideration, which is the standard pattern that produces high Equality Act support figures

Subgroup figures (8)

party

GroupSupportOppose
Democrat82%9%
Independent58%24%
Republican42%45%

other

GroupSupport
Knows someone openly trans78%
Does not know someone openly trans56%
Political salience4-point scalein a trend series
awareness of state legislation on transgender people

How much have you seen, read, or heard about some states in the U.S. passing or debating laws regarding transgender people?

A lot
14%
A lot / Some (net) 46%A little / Nothing (net) 54%

Wording notes: neutral on the direction of the laws

neutral — standard awareness item with no directional cue

Subgroup figures (3)

party

GroupA lot / Some (net)
Democrat52%
Independent42%
Republican41%
School policyotherin a trend series
concern about bullying of gay and transgender youth

Below is a list of concerns some Americans might have as it relates to the LGBTQ+ community. Please indicate how concerned you are about each one.

Below is a list of concerns some Americans might have as it relates to the LGBTQ+ community. Please indicate how concerned you are about each one. - Gay and transgender youth are being bullied and targeted, sometimes leading to suicide

Very concerned
52%
Total concerned 79%

Wording notes: 'sometimes leading to suicide' raises the stakes inside the item | one-sided concern battery with no opposing concerns tested

tilts_affirming — this is explicit message testing - every item in the battery is a progressive-framed concern, and the suicide clause maximizes agreement

Subgroup figures (3)

party

GroupTotal concerned
Democrat89%
Independent77%
Republican68%
Political salienceotherin a trend series
concern that politicians are attacking gay and transgender youth (split sample)

Below is a list of concerns some Americans might have as it relates to the LGBTQ+ community. Please indicate how concerned you are about each one.

Below is a list of concerns some Americans might have as it relates to the LGBTQ+ community. Please indicate how concerned you are about each one. - [Form A] Politicians are attacking gay and transgender youth to divide us, maintain their political power and control, and score political points - [Form B] Politicians are attacking gay and transgender youth to divide us, impose their extreme views on all of us, and score political points

Total concerned
70%
Total concerned
67%

Wording notes: split-sample message test of two attack framings | asserts that politicians are 'attacking' youth

loaded_terms — both forms embed a partisan characterization ('attacking', 'extreme views') and are designed to compare message strength, not to measure opinion neutrally

Subgroup figures (6)

party

GroupTotal concerned
Democrat (Form A)87%
Independent (Form A)60%
Republican (Form A)55%
Democrat (Form B)84%
Independent (Form B)72%
Republican (Form B)48%
Political salienceforced choicein a trend series
acceptability of an elected official who supports banning trans health care

Please indicate whether or not you could support an elected official with the following position, as long as you agreed with the elected official on most other things:

Please indicate whether or not you could support an elected official with the following position, as long as you agreed with the elected official on most other things: Someone who supports banning health care for transgender people.

Could not support
61%
Could support
22%
No impact on support
17%

Wording notes: 'banning health care for transgender people' is unqualified as to age - reads as a total ban including adults

tilts_affirming — the position is stated in its broadest possible form (all transgender people, all health care) rather than the minors-only bans actually enacted, which makes it much easier to reject

Subgroup figures (8)

party

GroupCould not supportCould support
Democrat80%11%
Independent59%16%
Republican41%35%

other

GroupCould not support
Knows someone openly trans74%
Does not know someone openly trans56%
Youth medical careforced choicein a trend series
message test - youth care ban vs. parental rights / trust families and doctors / evidence-based care

Which side do you agree with more?

Which side do you agree with more? Statement 1: Those who say kids are being exposed to transgender ideas at too young an age, and we need to ban sex change hormones and gender reassignment surgery for kids. Statement 2: Those who say parents should have the right to seek out medically necessary health care for their children, without politicians and the government inserting themselves into those decisions. Statement 3: Those who say we should trust families and their doctors to make medically necessary health care decisions for themselves and their children, without politicians and the government inserting themselves into those decisions. Statement 4: Those who say we should set the record straight. In the rare instances where a young transgender person needs gender-affirming care to thrive, they undergo extensive counseling and together with their parents, always receive evidence-based care that has been approved by the American Medical Association.

Statement 2 - parents should have the right to seek medically necessary care
55%
Statement 3 - trust families and their doctors
55%
Statement 4 - extensive counseling and AMA-approved evidence-based care
55%
Statement 1 - ban hormones and surgery for kids
45%
Statement 1 - ban hormones and surgery for kids
45%
Statement 1 - ban hormones and surgery for kids
45%

Wording notes: message-testing design - one fixed restrictive statement tested against three alternative rebuttals | restrictive statement uses 'sex change hormones' and 'gender reassignment surgery' | rebuttals invoke parental rights, medical authority, and the AMA

loaded_terms — this is explicit message development, not opinion measurement: the restrictive side is held constant in dated language while three optimized progressive rebuttals are rotated against it

Party & candidate handlingforced choicein a trend series
party trusted to protect the gay and transgender community

Below is a list of issues. Please indicate who you trust more to handle each one.

Below is a list of issues. Please indicate who you trust more to handle each one. - [Form A] Protecting the gay and transgender community - LGBTQ+ issues - [Form B] Protecting the rights and freedoms of the gay and transgender community

Biden and the Democratic Party
60%
Biden and the Democratic Party
55%
Biden and the Democratic Party
54%
The Republican Party
22%
The Republican Party
20%
The Republican Party
19%

Wording notes: split-sample wording test of 'protecting' vs. 'protecting the rights and freedoms of'

neutral — standard two-party issue-trust item; the split tests wording sensitivity rather than pushing a direction

Subgroup figures (3)

party

GroupNet Biden and Democrats
Democrat - 'Protecting the gay and transgender community' (net)84%
Independent - 'Protecting the gay and transgender community' (net)31%
Republican - 'Protecting the gay and transgender community' (net)-3%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →