probability RDD
NNNBC News/Wall Street Journal
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll · May 15–19, 2016 · US national
Methodology
- Pollster
- NBC News/Wall Street Journal media
- Sponsor
- NBC News and The Wall Street Journal
- Fielded
- May 15–19, 2016
- Population
- registered voters
- Sample size
- 1,000
- Sample frame
- probability RDD
- Mode
- telephone (conducted by Hart Research Associates and Public Opinion Strategies)
- Margin of error
- ±3.1 percentage points
- Weighting
- not disclosed in the consulted sources
- Geography
- US national
- Base notes
- Several transgender items were asked of split halves (Form A / Form B) of the 1,000-voter sample
Sources
Verification note. Full question wording including the North Carolina preamble, split-sample form labels, N and MoE all transcribed verbatim from PollingReport.com's topline archive. || Percentages read from the May 2016 trend column of NBC's own May 2022 topline (Hart/POS Study #220222, Q22) and cross-checked against PollingReport's NBC entry, which dates the fielding 5/15-19/16 and marks it RV. The original May 2016 topline was not retrieved, so sample size and MOE are missing. || Five transgender items with full wording and split-sample labels transcribed from the archived PollingReport LGBT page. No party crosstab was printed there. || Wording and the four percentages were read from PollingReport.com's LGBT archive page, which transcribes pollster toplines verbatim and explicitly labels this item 'Form A' and its sibling items 'Form B'. The original NBC News/Wall Street Journal topline PDF was not located this session, so the transcription is one remove from the pollster's own document; the margin of error is the standard published figure for this poll's 1,000-registered-voter sample. This Form A arm was absent from the existing database, which held only the two Form B items - so the split-ballot contrast (whether the state should legislate at all vs. which way it should legislate) was previously unrecoverable from the database.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (5)
whether transgender people should be allowed to use restrooms matching their gender identity
Now, North Carolina recently passed a law that PREVENTS transgender people from using public restrooms that match the gender with which they identify and instead requires them to use public restrooms based upon their gender at birth.
Now, North Carolina recently passed a law that PREVENTS transgender people from using public restrooms that match the gender with which they identify and instead requires them to use public restrooms based upon their gender at birth. Do you believe transgender people should be allowed to use the public restroom of the gender with which they identify, or should they be legally prevented from doing so, or do you not have an opinion one way or the other?
Allowed to use
40%
Should not pass laws on this issue
38%
Should not pass laws on this issue
38%
Prevented
31%
Don't have an opinion
29%
Should pass laws preventing
22%
Should pass laws preventing transgender people from using the public restroom that matches the gender with which they identify
22%
Don't have an opinion
21%
Should pass laws allowing
19%
Should pass laws allowing transgender people to use the public restroom that matches the gender with which they identify
19%
Wording notes: long factual preamble anchoring on the North Carolina law (HB2) | explicit no-opinion escape offered in the stem, which inflates the don't-know share | 'gender at birth' vs 'gender with which they identify' contrast pair
neutral — the preamble describes the law's effect in both directions and both policy poles are stated; the volunteered-opinion escape is offered symmetrically
support for Justice Department enforcement action against North Carolina's HB2
The U.S. Department of Justice has notified North Carolina this law violates the federal civil rights law. If North Carolina or any other state enforces a law like this, the Justice Department could file a lawsuit to block the law and that state's public schools could lose millions of dollars in federal funds.
The U.S. Department of Justice has notified North Carolina this law violates the federal civil rights law. If North Carolina or any other state enforces a law like this, the Justice Department could file a lawsuit to block the law and that state's public schools could lose millions of dollars in federal funds. Would you support or oppose the Justice Department taking these actions or do you not have an opinion one way or the other?
Wording notes: preamble states only the costs of enforcement (lawsuits, loss of school funding) and none of the benefits | no countervailing consequence offered for non-enforcement
tilts_restrictive — the stem attaches concrete, sympathetic losses to the pro-enforcement side (schools losing millions) while the civil-rights rationale is stated only in the abstract, loading the item against DOJ action
personally knowing or working with a transgender person
Do you PERSONALLY know or work with someone who is transgender, that is, someone who does not identify with their birth gender?
Wording notes: defines 'transgender' in-stem via 'does not identify with their birth gender' | combines knowing and working with into a single measure
neutral — factual contact item
whether society has gone too far / not far enough in accepting transgender people
Which of the following statements comes closer to your feelings about the way our society deals with people who are transgender, that is, someone who does not identify with their birth gender, like a person born as a man who now identifies and is living as a woman. (ROTATE STATEMENT A AND B)--A) we have gone too far in accepting transgender people, B) we have not gone far enough in ending discrimination against transgender people, or C) we have reached a reasonable balance when it comes to this issue?
Have gone too far in accepting transgender people
33%
Have not gone far enough in ending discrimination against transgender people
33%
Too far
33%
Not far enough
33%
Have reached a reasonable balance
28%
A reasonable balance
28%
Mixed (vol.)
1%
Neither (vol.)
1%
Not sure
4%
None/Mixed (vol.)
2%
Unsure
4%
Wording notes: three-way choice with an explicit middle option | statements A and B rotated | adds an illustrative example ('a person born as a man who now identifies and is living as a woman') absent from the 2015 version
neutral — Both directional statements are read and rotated and a middle option is offered; the illustrative example is one-directional (trans woman only) but descriptive.
personally knowing or working with a transgender person
Now, not thinking about people you may have seen, read, or heard about, but only whom you know, do you PERSONALLY know or work with someone who is transgender, that is, someone who does not identify with their birth gender like a person born as a man who now identifies and is living as a woman or a person born as a woman who now identifies and is living as a man?
Wording notes: capitalises PERSONALLY | includes a two-direction definitional gloss of 'transgender'
neutral — Factual contact item; the explicit screen against media familiarity tightens rather than skews the measure.