Methodology
- Pollster
- Noble Predictive Insights commercial
- Sponsor
- The Center Square
- Commissioned by
- The Center Square (Voters' Voice Poll)
- Fielded
- Oct 2–4, 2024
- Population
- registered voters
- Sample size
- 2,560
- Sample frame
- unknown
- Mode
- not disclosed in the published write-up
- Margin of error
- +/-2.1% for the aggregate sample
- Geography
- US national
Sources
Verification note. Topline, party, gender, race, age, education, parent-status, community-type and regional breaks all read from The Center Square's own write-up of its commissioned poll, retrieved in session. NOT VERIFIED against a topline document; the stem is the reporter's description, so question_text_verbatim is false. Mode and weighting were not disclosed.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
minors; 'transgender procedures such as puberty blockers and gender reassignment surgeries'; FEDERAL ban framing (the only nationally-scoped ban item in this file from before the 2025 executive orders)
[Do you support or oppose] a federal ban on transgender procedures such as puberty blockers and gender reassignment surgeries for minors
Wording reconstructed from: The Center Square, 'Poll: Majority of voters favor a federal ban on transgender procedures for minors', Oct. 13, 2024.
Wording notes: BAN framing (support = restrict) | FEDERAL rather than state scope | calls the treatments 'transgender procedures', a term that groups reversible medication with surgery under a surgical noun | 'gender reassignment surgeries' rather than 'gender-affirming surgery' | a not-sure option exists (22% among Black voters) though it was not reported for the total | registered-voter universe
loaded_terms — 'Transgender procedures' is a restrictive-coded coinage rather than either the clinical or the journalistic term, and it makes surgery the mental default even though puberty blockers are listed first. Support for a federal ban (59%) runs well above Gallup's contemporaneous umbrella-term state-ban wording (36% favor), and the gap is far too large to be electorate composition alone.
Subgroup figures (24)
party
gender
age
race
education
region
parent_status