Transgender Polling Archive
probability RDD

ORC International

CNN/ORC Poll · Apr 28, 2016 – May 2016 · US national

Methodology

Pollster
ORC International media
Sponsor
CNN
Commissioned by
CNN
Fielded
Apr 28, 2016 – May 2016
Population
adults
Sample size
—
Sample frame
probability RDD
Mode
telephone
Margin of error
not disclosed
Geography
US national

Sources

Verification note. Wording and 57/38 toplines retrieved from reporting of the CNN/ORC release; the CNN topline PDF was not fetched, so sample size and MOE are missing. Note that conservative critics (Heritage, NewsBusters) attacked this item's construction at the time - a useful wording-effects case paired with Gallup's same-month 50-40 result in the opposite direction.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (1)

Bathrooms & facilitiesfavor/oppose
laws requiring facility use by gender at birth (HB2-type laws)

Overall, would you say you favor or oppose laws that require transgender individuals to use facilities that correspond to their gender at birth rather than their gender identity?

Favor 38%57% Oppose

Wording notes: uses 'gender at birth' rather than 'sex at birth' | uses 'facilities', not 'restrooms' - broader than the Gallup item | asks about the law/requirement rather than about the underlying behavior | 'require ... rather than' construction puts the restrictive option in the active voice | no middle option offered

tilts_affirming — framing the policy as a law that 'requires' people to do something invites opposition on general anti-mandate grounds; Gallup's require/allow construction fielded the same month produced a plurality on the restrictive side

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →