probability RDD

PRRI

PRRI April 2019 Survey ('America's Growing Support for Transgender Rights') · Apr 9–20, 2019 · US national

Methodology

Pollster
PRRI independent
Sponsor
PRRI
Fielded
Apr 9–20, 2019
Population
adults
Sample size
1,100
Sample frame
probability RDD
Panel
SSRS Omnibus
Mode
telephone - bilingual (English and Spanish) RDD landline and cell-phone interviews, live interviewer, fielded by SSRS
Margin of error
+/- 3.5 percentage points
Weighting
base weight for number of landlines/cellphones and within-household selection; post-stratified and raked (IPF) to the CPS March Supplement on age by gender, Census region by gender, education, race/ethnicity, marital status, population density quintile and phone usage; separate raking group for the Texas oversample
Geography
US national
Base notes
668 of the 1,100 interviews were conducted on a cell phone; the survey also over-sampled Texas (n=150). Republican n=352, independent n=359, Democrat n=328.

Sources

Verification note. Item wording and four-point favor/oppose distributions transcribed verbatim from PollingReport.com; field dates, N and MoE confirmed against PRRI's own report page. Mode/weighting not captured. || wordings, toplines and party breaks read from the PRRI report page. The survey also carried four religiously-based-service-refusal items (small business owners 57% oppose, licensed professionals 67% oppose, adoption agencies 60% oppose, wedding service providers 55% oppose), but the report page did not confirm whether those items named transgender people or only gay and lesbian people, so they are not recorded here - see known_gaps. || Field dates, n, MOE, design effect and weighting copied from Appendix 1 of the report PDF. Four-point distributions for the bathroom, comfort, gender-identity and contact items come from the printed trend columns of the August 2021 AVA topline; nets and subgroup figures come from the June 2019 report text and figures. || 45 favor / 47 oppose, field dates, n=1,100, mode and MOE read from the PRRI report. PRRI notes the partisan comparisons on this item were not statistically significant. No transgender-athlete question appears in this report - a genuine gap for 2019, when sports had not yet become the dominant frame. || WORDING RECOVERY SWEEP. Full Q.1 battery instruction, item texts and toplines copied character-for-character from PRRI's April 2019 LGBT topline PDF. The database previously carried reconstructed 'Do you favor or oppose laws that...' stems.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (15)

Nondiscrimination4-point scalein a trend series
LGBT nondiscrimination protections in jobs, public accommodations and housing

Respondents rated each policy on a strongly favor / favor / oppose / strongly oppose scale.

Laws that would protect gay, lesbian, bisexual, and transgender people against discrimination in jobs, public accommodations, and housing

Strongly favor
31%
Strongly oppose
10%
Unsure/Refused
4%
Favor 40%Oppose 15%

Wording notes: bundles transgender people with gay, lesbian and bisexual people rather than isolating gender identity

neutral — policy stated plainly with a symmetric four-point scale

Bathrooms & facilities4-point scalein a trend series
laws requiring bathroom use matching sex at birth

Respondents rated each policy on a strongly favor / favor / oppose / strongly oppose scale.

Laws that require transgender individuals to use bathrooms that correspond to their sex at birth rather than their current gender identity

Strongly oppose
18%
Strongly favor
17%
Unsure/Refused
8%
Favor 28%Oppose 29%

Wording notes: uses 'sex at birth' and 'current gender identity' as the contrast pair | favor = restriction, so the scale direction is inverted relative to most trans-rights items in the same battery

neutral — the restriction is described in its own terms without epithet; both poles of the contrast are named

Subgroup figures (9)

gender

GroupFavor (net)
Male51%
Female40%

religion

GroupFavor (net)
White evangelical Protestant59%
Catholic50%
Nonwhite Protestant47%
White mainline Protestant43%
Religiously unaffiliated34%

other

GroupFavor (net)
Believes gender is binary55%
Believes in a range of gender identities32%
Military servicefavor/opposein a trend series
allowing transgender people to serve in the U.S. military

Allowing transgender people to serve in the U.S. military.

Strongly favor
22%
Strongly oppose
14%
Unsure/Refused
5%
Favor 41%Oppose 18%

Wording notes: net favor reported in the report figure; four-point distribution not published there

neutral — plain policy statement with a symmetric scale

Subgroup figures (17)

party

GroupFavor
Republican47%
Independent66%
Democrat78%

gender

GroupFavor
Male59%
Female67%

race

GroupFavor
White61%
Nonwhite68%

religion

GroupFavorOppose
Religiously unaffiliated71%—
White mainline Protestant65%—
Catholic65%—
Nonwhite Protestant63%—
White evangelical Protestant49%46%

region

GroupFavor
Northeast63%
Midwest57%
South61%
West73%
Contact & populationparaphrasedotherin a trend series
having a close friend or family member who is transgender

Do you have a close friend or family member who is transgender?

Wording reconstructed from: PRRI report narrative ('the proportion of Americans who say they have a close friend or family member who is transgender'); exact interrogative wording not published on the report page

No
75%
Yes, close friend
18%
Yes, family member
7%
Yes, myself
0%
Yes, close friend or family member (net) 24%

Wording notes: 'close friend or family member' is a narrower contact measure than the more common 'know someone who is transgender'

neutral — factual contact item

Subgroup figures (5)

party

GroupYes
Democrat29%
Independent25%
Republican18%

age

GroupYes, close friend or family member (net)
Age 18-2929%
Age 65+18%
Military servicefavor/opposein a trend series
allowing transgender people to serve in uniform

Do you favor or oppose allowing transgender people to serve in uniform in the U.S. military?

Favor
63%

Wording notes: 'serve in uniform' rather than Gallup's 'openly ... serve'; the absence of 'openly' produces a materially lower support figure (63% here vs. Gallup's 71% a month later)

neutral — symmetric favor/oppose stem

Subgroup figures (3)

party

GroupFavor
Democrats78%
Independents66%
Republicans47%
Nondiscriminationparaphrasedfavor/opposein a trend series
employment, housing and public accommodation nondiscrimination laws

Do you favor or oppose laws that would protect gay, lesbian, bisexual, and transgender people against discrimination in jobs, public accommodations, and housing?

Wording reconstructed from: PRRI report quotes the item stem verbatim; the favor/oppose stem is reconstructed

Favor
71%

Wording notes: names transgender people explicitly

neutral — symmetric favor/oppose stem

Bathrooms & facilitiesparaphrasedfavor/opposein a trend series
requiring bathroom use consistent with sex assigned at birth

Do you favor or oppose laws that require transgender people to use bathrooms consistent with their sex assigned at birth rather than their gender identity?

Wording reconstructed from: PRRI report quotes the item stem as 'require transgender people to use bathrooms consistent with their sex assigned at birth'; the favor/oppose stem is reconstructed

Favor 45%47% Oppose

Wording notes: uses 'sex assigned at birth', the phrasing preferred by trans-affirming sources, in a restriction-direction item

neutral — symmetric favor/oppose stem on a concrete policy

General acceptanceparaphrasedforced choicein a trend series
self-reported change in support for transgender rights over five years

Compared to five years ago, are you more supportive or more opposed to transgender rights?

Wording reconstructed from: reconstructed from PRRI's description of the item in its spotlight and report

More supportive
62%
More opposed
25%

Wording notes: retrospective self-report of attitude change, which is known to overstate movement in the socially expected direction

unclear — retrospective self-report items measure perceived rather than actual change and are sensitive to social desirability

Subgroup figures (2)

party

GroupMore supportive
Democrats76%
Republicans47%
General acceptance4-point scalein a trend series
self-reported change in support for transgender rights over five years

Compared to your views five years ago, are your current views about rights for transgender people generally much more supportive, more supportive, more opposed, or much more opposed?

More supportive (net)
62%
More opposed (net)
25%

Wording notes: retrospective self-report, not a current attitude measure | no explicit 'no change' option offered

tilts_affirming — omitting a 'stayed the same' option forces respondents into a direction of change, and social-desirability pressure pushes reported movement toward 'more supportive'; the resulting 62% cannot be read as a change measure

Subgroup figures (15)

party

GroupMore supportive (net)More opposed (net)
Republican47%36%
Independent64%23%
Democrat76%17%

ideology

GroupMore supportive (net)
Conservative Republican40%
Moderate/liberal Republican52%

age

GroupMore supportive (net)
Age 18-2968%
Age 65+56%

religion

GroupMore supportive (net)
White evangelical Protestant52%
White mainline Protestant57%
Nonwhite Protestant60%
Catholic68%
Religiously unaffiliated69%
Feeling thermometers4-point scalein a trend series
comfort with a close friend disclosing they are transgender

How comfortable or uncomfortable do you think you would be with each of the following?

Having a close friend tell you they're transgender

Very comfortable
36%
Somewhat comfortable
27%
Somewhat uncomfortable
24%
Very uncomfortable
12%
Don't know/Refused (VOL.)
2%
Comfortable (net) 63%

Wording notes: hypothetical social-distance item

neutral — balanced comfortable/uncomfortable scale; the hypothetical framing is standard for social-distance measures

Subgroup figures (12)

party

GroupComfortable (net)
Republican52%
Independent64%
Democrat73%

gender

GroupComfortable (net)
Male57%
Female68%

education

GroupComfortable (net)
College graduate70%
No college degree59%

religion

GroupComfortable (net)
Religiously unaffiliated72%
Catholic62%
Nonwhite Protestant62%
White mainline Protestant60%
White evangelical Protestant55%
School policy4-point scalein a trend series
comfort with a transgender teacher in the local elementary school

How comfortable or uncomfortable do you think you would be with each of the following?

Learning that a teacher in your local elementary school is transgender

Somewhat comfortable
30%
Very comfortable
26%
Somewhat uncomfortable
24%
Very uncomfortable
17%
Don't know/Refused (VOL.)
3%
Comfortable (net) 56%

Wording notes: hypothetical social-distance item placed in a school context

neutral — balanced scale; no evaluative framing of the teacher

Subgroup figures (10)

party

GroupComfortable (net)
Republican41%
Independent56%
Democrat68%

education

GroupComfortable (net)
College graduate64%
No college degree51%

religion

GroupComfortable (net)
Religiously unaffiliated67%
Catholic61%
White mainline Protestant52%
Nonwhite Protestant51%
White evangelical Protestant42%
Parental rights4-point scalein a trend series
comfort with one's own child disclosing they are transgender

How comfortable or uncomfortable do you think you would be with each of the following?

Having your own child tell you they are transgender

Very comfortable
24%
Somewhat comfortable
24%
Somewhat uncomfortable
24%
Very uncomfortable
24%
Don't know/Refused (VOL.)
4%
Comfortable (net) 48%Uncomfortable (net) 48%

Wording notes: hypothetical about the respondent's own family

neutral — balanced scale; asks about the respondent's own reaction rather than a policy judgment

Subgroup figures (12)

party

GroupComfortable (net)
Republican33%
Independent50%
Democrat60%

gender

GroupComfortable (net)
Male44%
Female52%

education

GroupComfortable (net)
College graduate54%
No college degree46%

religion

GroupComfortable (net)
Religiously unaffiliated56%
Catholic53%
White mainline Protestant48%
Nonwhite Protestant40%
White evangelical Protestant38%
General acceptanceparaphrased4-point scalein a trend series
perceived stigma or negative social judgment faced by transgender people

the following groups face a lot of stigma or negative social judgment in their community

Wording reconstructed from: PRRI, 'America's Growing Support for Transgender Rights' (report PDF, June 2019), Figure 5 caption ('Percent who say the following groups face a lot of stigma or negative social judgment in their community'); PRRI does not print the full item stem or answer set in the report and no topline PDF for this item was retrievable

A lot
38%
None
17%
At least a little (net) 79%

Wording notes: response labels reconstructed from narrative text, not from a topline

unclear — the exact stem and answer labels were not retrievable, so the scale cannot be assessed

Subgroup figures (10)

party

GroupA lotAt least a little (net)
Democrat41%86%
Independent41%75%
Republican30%75%

gender

GroupA lot
Male33%
Female42%

age

GroupAt least some (net)
Age 18-2985%
Age 65+75%
Identity beliefsforced choicein a trend series
belief that there are only two genders vs. a range of gender identities

Do you think there are only two possible gender identities, man or woman; or do you think there is a range of many possible gender identities?

Only two genders, strongly
43%
Range of genders, strongly
24%
Range of genders, not strongly
16%
Only two genders, not strongly
12%
Only two genders (net) 55%Range of genders (net) 40%

Wording notes: forced binary choice with no middle or 'depends' option | strength-of-view follow-up folded into the four printed categories

neutral — both alternatives stated in parallel; the absence of a middle option is a real constraint but applies symmetrically

Subgroup figures (11)

party

GroupOnly two genders (net)Only two genders, stronglyRange of genders (net)
Republican73%62%—
Independent50%38%—
Democrat45%31%52%

gender

GroupOnly two genders (net)
Male60%
Female52%

education

GroupOnly two genders (net)
College graduate51%
No college degree58%
Nondiscriminationforced choicein a trend series
perceived federal legal status of anti-LGBT employment discrimination

To the best of your knowledge, is it currently LEGAL or NOT LEGAL under FEDERAL LAW [INSERT, RANDOMIZE] because they are gay, lesbian, bisexual, or transgender? What about [INSERT, RANDOMIZE]?

for a business to fire or refuse to hire someone

Not legal
67%
Legal
28%
Don't know/Refused (VOL.)
5%

Wording notes: knowledge item, not an attitude item | capitalised LEGAL / NOT LEGAL in script

neutral — factual-knowledge item with a symmetric two-option answer set

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →