mixed-mode probability
Public Policy Polling
PPP North Carolina survey, May 2016 ('HB2 Continues To Have Little Support From North Carolinians') · May 20–22, 2016 · US: North Carolina
Methodology
- Pollster
- Public Policy Polling partisan_d
- Sponsor
- Public Policy Polling
- Fielded
- May 20–22, 2016
- Population
- registered voters
- Sample size
- 928
- Sample frame
- mixed-mode probability
- Mode
- mixed mode - 80% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet through an opt-in internet panel.
- Margin of error
- plus or minus 3.2 percent
- Weighting
- not disclosed in the release
- Geography
- US: North Carolina
Sources
Verification note. FULLY RESOLVED. The PPP release page itself is behind a Cloudflare challenge, but the release PDF is served directly: https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/PPP_Release_NC_52416.pdf redirects to a CDN and downloads cleanly with curl. The 27-page document contains both the narrative release and the full question-by-question toplines. VERBATIM METHODOLOGY: 'Public Policy Polling surveyed 928 registered voters from May 20th to 22nd. The margin of error is +/-3.2%. 80% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet through an opt-in internet panel.' This CORRECTS the previous record's guess that the sample frame was IVR - it is a mixed list-based phone plus opt-in online design, not automated IVR. DATE CORRECTION: the previous rows carried 2016-05-01 (month precision); the true field window is May 20-22 2016. All six HB2 questions are now recorded with verbatim wording and complete distributions including the not-sure shares, which the previous record omitted entirely - the not-sure share on the plain support/oppose item is 21 percent, which materially changes how the 35-44 split should be read. The stored figures (35/44 support, 50/38 repeal, 36/47 safer, and the independents 46/39 repeal spread) are all confirmed. Four further HB2 items not previously captured are added: economic impact, national reputation, and the party and gender breaks PPP published in its narrative. || DUPLICATE OF public-policy-polling_2016-05_us-north-carol_2 - the two rows describe ONE fielding. This record was sourced to a PoliticusUSA write-up (which now returns HTTP 404) reporting '50-38 repeal; 35-44 support'; those are exactly the figures in PPP's own May 24 2016 release for its May 20-22 survey of 928 North Carolina registered voters, which is the other row. The record is emitted here with the same corrected metadata and full verbatim toplines so that whichever row the merge keeps carries the right data, but a human should retire one of the two. See the companion record's note for the full methodology quotation. DATE CORRECTION: both rows previously carried 2016-05-01 at month precision; the true field window is May 20-22 2016. SOURCE CORRECTION: the original source_url (politicususa.com) is dead and has been replaced with PPP's own release.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (6)
support or opposition to HB2
Do you support or oppose House Bill 2?
Wording notes: names the bill only by number, so responses depend on what respondents believe HB2 does | 21 percent not sure
neutral — a bare support/oppose on a named bill with an explicit not-sure; it measures the bill's brand rather than the underlying policy
Subgroup figures (2)
whether HB2 is helping or hurting North Carolina
Overall, do you think HB2 is helping or hurting North Carolina?
HB2 is hurting North Carolina
56%
HB2 is helping North Carolina
29%
Not sure
15%
Wording notes: consequence framing rather than a policy-preference item
neutral — helping and hurting are stated symmetrically with a not-sure option
Subgroup figures (2)
perceived economic impact of HB2
Do you think House Bill 2 has had a positive or negative impact on the North Carolina economy, or has it not made a difference?
Negative impact on economy
50%
Has not made a difference
30%
Positive impact on economy
12%
Not sure
9%
Wording notes: offers an explicit no-difference option, which 30 percent take
neutral — three substantive options plus not sure, stated symmetrically
perceived impact of HB2 on North Carolina's national reputation
Do you think House Bill 2 has had a positive or negative impact on North Carolina's reputation nationally, or has it not made a difference?
Negative impact on reputation
53%
Positive impact on reputation
24%
Has not made a difference
18%
Not sure
6%
Wording notes: reputation framing
neutral — symmetric three-option construction
whether HB2 has made North Carolina safer
Do you think House Bill 2 has made North Carolina safer, or not?
HB2 has not made North Carolina safer
47%
HB2 has made North Carolina safer
36%
Not sure
17%
Wording notes: tests the bill's own stated rationale directly
neutral — a direct test of the sponsors' safety claim, stated in both directions
Subgroup figures (2)
whether HB2 should be repealed
Do you think that HB2 should be repealed, or do you think it should be kept in place?
HB2 should be repealed
50%
HB2 should be kept in place
38%
Not sure
12%
Wording notes: repeal framing produces a larger anti-HB2 margin (50-38) than the plain support/oppose item (35-44) in the same survey
neutral — both outcomes are named explicitly with a not-sure option
Subgroup figures (2)