mixed-mode probability

Public Policy Polling

PPP North Carolina survey, May 2016 ('HB2 Continues To Have Little Support From North Carolinians') · May 20–22, 2016 · US: North Carolina

Methodology

Pollster
Public Policy Polling partisan_d
Sponsor
Public Policy Polling
Fielded
May 20–22, 2016
Population
registered voters
Sample size
928
Sample frame
mixed-mode probability
Mode
mixed mode - 80% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet through an opt-in internet panel.
Margin of error
plus or minus 3.2 percent
Weighting
not disclosed in the release
Geography
US: North Carolina

Sources

Verification note. FULLY RESOLVED. The PPP release page itself is behind a Cloudflare challenge, but the release PDF is served directly: https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/PPP_Release_NC_52416.pdf redirects to a CDN and downloads cleanly with curl. The 27-page document contains both the narrative release and the full question-by-question toplines. VERBATIM METHODOLOGY: 'Public Policy Polling surveyed 928 registered voters from May 20th to 22nd. The margin of error is +/-3.2%. 80% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet through an opt-in internet panel.' This CORRECTS the previous record's guess that the sample frame was IVR - it is a mixed list-based phone plus opt-in online design, not automated IVR. DATE CORRECTION: the previous rows carried 2016-05-01 (month precision); the true field window is May 20-22 2016. All six HB2 questions are now recorded with verbatim wording and complete distributions including the not-sure shares, which the previous record omitted entirely - the not-sure share on the plain support/oppose item is 21 percent, which materially changes how the 35-44 split should be read. The stored figures (35/44 support, 50/38 repeal, 36/47 safer, and the independents 46/39 repeal spread) are all confirmed. Four further HB2 items not previously captured are added: economic impact, national reputation, and the party and gender breaks PPP published in its narrative. || DUPLICATE OF public-policy-polling_2016-05_us-north-carol_2 - the two rows describe ONE fielding. This record was sourced to a PoliticusUSA write-up (which now returns HTTP 404) reporting '50-38 repeal; 35-44 support'; those are exactly the figures in PPP's own May 24 2016 release for its May 20-22 survey of 928 North Carolina registered voters, which is the other row. The record is emitted here with the same corrected metadata and full verbatim toplines so that whichever row the merge keeps carries the right data, but a human should retire one of the two. See the companion record's note for the full methodology quotation. DATE CORRECTION: both rows previously carried 2016-05-01 at month precision; the true field window is May 20-22 2016. SOURCE CORRECTION: the original source_url (politicususa.com) is dead and has been replaced with PPP's own release.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (6)

Bathrooms & facilitiessupport/opposein a trend series
support or opposition to HB2

Do you support or oppose House Bill 2?

Support 35%44% Oppose

Wording notes: names the bill only by number, so responses depend on what respondents believe HB2 does | 21 percent not sure

neutral — a bare support/oppose on a named bill with an explicit not-sure; it measures the bill's brand rather than the underlying policy

Subgroup figures (2)

party

GroupOpposeSupport
Republicans28%—
Democrats—16%
Bathrooms & facilitiesforced choicein a trend series
whether HB2 is helping or hurting North Carolina

Overall, do you think HB2 is helping or hurting North Carolina?

HB2 is hurting North Carolina
56%
HB2 is helping North Carolina
29%
Not sure
15%

Wording notes: consequence framing rather than a policy-preference item

neutral — helping and hurting are stated symmetrically with a not-sure option

Subgroup figures (2)

party

GroupHB2 is hurting North CarolinaHB2 is helping North Carolina
Independents53%29%
Bathrooms & facilitiesforced choicein a trend series
perceived economic impact of HB2

Do you think House Bill 2 has had a positive or negative impact on the North Carolina economy, or has it not made a difference?

Negative impact on economy
50%
Has not made a difference
30%
Positive impact on economy
12%
Not sure
9%

Wording notes: offers an explicit no-difference option, which 30 percent take

neutral — three substantive options plus not sure, stated symmetrically

Bathrooms & facilitiesforced choicein a trend series
perceived impact of HB2 on North Carolina's national reputation

Do you think House Bill 2 has had a positive or negative impact on North Carolina's reputation nationally, or has it not made a difference?

Negative impact on reputation
53%
Positive impact on reputation
24%
Has not made a difference
18%
Not sure
6%

Wording notes: reputation framing

neutral — symmetric three-option construction

Bathrooms & facilitiesforced choicein a trend series
whether HB2 has made North Carolina safer

Do you think House Bill 2 has made North Carolina safer, or not?

HB2 has not made North Carolina safer
47%
HB2 has made North Carolina safer
36%
Not sure
17%

Wording notes: tests the bill's own stated rationale directly

neutral — a direct test of the sponsors' safety claim, stated in both directions

Subgroup figures (2)

gender

GroupHB2 has not made North Carolina saferHB2 has made North Carolina safer
Women53%28%
Bathrooms & facilitiesforced choicein a trend series
whether HB2 should be repealed

Do you think that HB2 should be repealed, or do you think it should be kept in place?

HB2 should be repealed
50%
HB2 should be kept in place
38%
Not sure
12%

Wording notes: repeal framing produces a larger anti-HB2 margin (50-38) than the plain support/oppose item (35-44) in the same survey

neutral — both outcomes are named explicitly with a not-sure option

Subgroup figures (2)

party

GroupHB2 should be repealedHB2 should be kept in place
Independents46%39%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →