IVR
Public Policy Polling
PPP North Carolina survey, June 2016 ("NC Governor's Race Remains Tied; HB2 Still Unpopular") · Jun 20–21, 2016 · US: North Carolina
Methodology
- Pollster
- Public Policy Polling partisan_d
- Sponsor
- Public Policy Polling
- Fielded
- Jun 20–21, 2016
- Population
- registered voters
- Sample size
- 947
- Sample frame
- IVR
- Panel
- not disclosed (opt-in internet panel used for the cell-phone-only supplement)
- Mode
- mixed - 80% of participants, selected through a list-based sample, responded via the phone (automated); 20% of respondents who did not have landlines completed the survey over the internet through an opt-in internet panel
- Margin of error
- ±3.2 percentage points
- Weighting
- not disclosed in the release
- Geography
- US: North Carolina
Sources
Verification note. 28-page PPP release read directly. Note that none of PPP's HB2 items name transgender people - they refer only to 'House Bill 2' / 'HB2', which respondents must recognize as the bathroom law. That is itself a finding about wording. Party crosstabs are in the banner pages of the release but the automated table layout does not extract cleanly; only the toplines and the party figures PPP cited in its own narrative are recorded here.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (5)
support for North Carolina House Bill 2
Do you support or oppose House Bill 2?
Wording notes: the bill is referred to only by number - the question never mentions transgender people, bathrooms, or the local-ordinance preemption the law also contained | no description of the law's contents is offered, so the result depends entirely on what respondents already believe HB2 does
unclear — a bare bill-number item measures the political brand of the law rather than opinion about any of its provisions; without a description it cannot be compared to policy-worded bathroom items from other pollsters
Subgroup figures (4)
whether HB2 is helping or hurting North Carolina
Overall, do you think HB2 is helping or hurting North Carolina?
HB2 is hurting North Carolina
52%
HB2 is helping North Carolina
28%
Not sure
20%
Wording notes: no 'no effect' option between helping and hurting | asked after the support/oppose item, which may anchor the answer
neutral — symmetric helping/hurting pair with a not-sure escape, though the absence of a 'no difference' option is a design limitation
economic impact of HB2
Do you think House Bill 2 has had a positive or negative impact on the North Carolina economy, or has it not made a difference?
Negative impact on economy
49%
Has not made a difference
32%
Positive impact on economy
10%
Not sure
10%
Wording notes: explicit 'has not made a difference' option, unlike Q11
neutral — three-way impact item with a no-difference option and a not-sure escape
reputational impact of HB2
Do you think House Bill 2 has had a positive or negative impact on North Carolina's reputation nationally, or has it not made a difference?
Negative impact on reputation
50%
Has not made a difference
22%
Positive impact on reputation
19%
Not sure
9%
neutral — three-way impact item with a no-difference option
whether HB2 made North Carolina safer
Do you think House Bill 2 has made North Carolina safer, or not?
HB2 has not made North Carolina safer
47%
HB2 has made North Carolina safer
30%
Not sure
24%
Wording notes: tests the sponsors' own stated rationale for the law
neutral — directly tests the law's stated purpose in the sponsors' own terms
Subgroup figures (1)