probability RDD
QUQuinnipiac University
Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll (Pennsylvania) · Jun 4–15, 2015 · US: Pennsylvania
Methodology
- Pollster
- Quinnipiac University academic
- Sponsor
- Quinnipiac University
- Fielded
- Jun 4–15, 2015
- Population
- adults
- Sample size
- 1,131
- Sample frame
- probability RDD
- Mode
- telephone - random digit dialing, live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones
- Margin of error
- +/- 2.9 percentage points
- Weighting
- not disclosed
- Geography
- US: Pennsylvania
- Base notes
- Transgender battery (Q59-Q63) asked of the full adult sample, not the registered-voter subsample
Sources
Verification note. Toplines and verbatim wording read from the Quinnipiac release PDF (p.4) and the state trends/crosstabs PDF. Quinnipiac published no party crosstabs for this adult-sample battery, only gender and a three-way age break.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (5)
favorability toward Caitlyn Jenner
As you may know, Bruce Jenner has transitioned to a woman, and is now known as Caitlyn Jenner.
(Adults) As you may know, Bruce Jenner has transitioned to a woman, and is now known as Caitlyn Jenner. Is your opinion of Caitlyn Jenner favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about her?
Favorable
35%
Unfavorable
33%
Haven't heard enough
16%
REFUSED
16%
Wording notes: uses the subject's pre-transition name in the preamble | 16% REFUSED recorded separately from 'haven't heard enough'
neutral — standard favorability format; the deadname was the common public referent in June 2015 but its use is a framing artifact worth recording
Subgroup figures (2)
perceived societal acceptance of transgender people
(Adults) Overall, how much social acceptance, if any, of transgender people do you think there is in this country today; a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?
Some
43%
Only a little
31%
A lot
19%
DK/NA
6%
None at all
2%
neutral — descriptive perception item with a balanced four-point scale
would more acceptance be good or bad for the country
(Adults) Do you think more acceptance of transgender people would be a good thing or a bad thing for the country or that it would not make much difference either way?
Not much difference
49%
Good thing
30%
Bad thing
17%
DK/NA
4%
Wording notes: explicit 'not much difference' middle option absorbs a plurality
neutral — symmetric good/bad alternatives with an explicit neutral option
Subgroup figures (5)
expected societal effect of the Jenner transition
(Adults) Do you think Bruce Jenner transitioning from male to female will make society more accepting of transgender people, less accepting of transgender people, or won't change society's feelings toward transgender people one way or the other?
Won't change
57%
More accepting
30%
Less accepting
7%
DK/NA
6%
Wording notes: uses the subject's pre-transition name
neutral — symmetric more/less alternatives with an explicit no-change option
personal effect of the Jenner transition on own acceptance
(Adults) Does Bruce Jenner transitioning from male to female make you feel more accepting of transgender people, less accepting of transgender people, or hasn't it changed your feelings toward transgender people one way or the other?
Hasn't changed
84%
Less accepting
7%
More accepting
6%
DK/NA
3%
Wording notes: uses the subject's pre-transition name
neutral — symmetric alternatives with an explicit no-change option
Subgroup figures (4)