probability RDD

Quinnipiac University

Quinnipiac University National Poll · Jan 25–28, 2019 · US national

Methodology

Pollster
Quinnipiac University academic
Sponsor
Quinnipiac University
Fielded
Jan 25–28, 2019
Population
registered voters
Sample size
1,004
Sample frame
probability RDD
Mode
telephone - random digit dialing, live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones
Margin of error
+/- 3.7 percentage points, including the design effect
Weighting
not disclosed
Geography
US national

Sources

Verification note. topline, party and race breaks retrieved from Washington Blade coverage of the Quinnipiac release; the poll.qu.edu topline PDF was not retrieved, so question wording is a paraphrase and the margin of error is missing. Fielded days after the Supreme Court allowed the 2019 ban policy to take effect while litigation continued. || Toplines, wording, trend blocks and party crosstabs read from the Quinnipiac topline PDF (pp.12-13). Fielded a week after the Supreme Court allowed the transgender military ban to take effect on January 22, 2019.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (4)

Military serviceparaphrasedforced choicein a trend series
whether transgender people should be allowed to serve, after the Supreme Court's January 2019 stay ruling

Do you think that transgender people should be allowed to serve in the armed forces, or not?

Wording reconstructed from: paraphrase reconstructed from Washington Blade coverage; Quinnipiac topline PDF not retrieved

Should be allowed
70%

unclear — wording not verified against the pollster's topline

Subgroup figures (12)

party

GroupShould be allowedShould not be allowed
Democrats94%3%
Republicans40%50%
Independents75%16%

race

GroupShould be allowedShould not be allowed
Black voters90%8%
White voters66%26%
Hispanic voters72%13%
General acceptance4-point scalein a trend series
how accepting the U.S. is of transgender people

How accepting do you think the U.S. is of transgender people today; very accepting, somewhat accepting, not so accepting, or not accepting at all?

Somewhat accepting
56%
Not so accepting
23%
Very accepting
9%
Not accepting at all
8%
DK/NA
4%

neutral — descriptive perception item with a balanced scale

Subgroup figures (9)

party

GroupVery acceptingSomewhat acceptingNot so accepting
Republicans15%62%12%
Democrats2%54%32%
Independents11%53%23%
General acceptanceforced choicein a trend series
would more acceptance be good or bad for the country

Do you think more acceptance of transgender people would be a good thing for the country, a bad thing for the country, or do you think that it would not make much difference either way?

Good thing
42%
Not much difference
42%
Bad thing
12%
DK/NA
4%

neutral — symmetric good/bad alternatives with an explicit neutral option

Subgroup figures (15)

party

GroupGood thingBad thingNot much difference
Republicans15%30%50%
Democrats68%2%28%
Independents42%8%46%

gender

GroupGood thing
Men37%
Women46%

age

GroupGood thing
18-3454%
35-4948%
50-6437%
65+35%
Military serviceforced choicein a trend series
whether transgender people should be allowed to serve in the military

Do you think transgender people should be allowed to serve in the military or not?

Yes/Allowed
70%
No
22%
DK/NA
8%

Wording notes: short, unqualified wording with no cost, readiness or medical-care predicate

neutral — minimal, neutral wording; no argument supplied on either side

Subgroup figures (15)

party

GroupYes/AllowedNo
Republicans40%50%
Democrats94%3%
Independents75%16%

gender

GroupYes/Allowed
Men67%
Women73%

age

GroupYes/Allowed
18-3486%
35-4974%
50-6465%
65+65%

race

GroupYes/Allowed
White66%
Black90%
Hispanic72%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →