mixed-mode probability

Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports national survey, May 2016 · May 15–16, 2016 · US national

Methodology

Pollster
Rasmussen Reports commercial
Sponsor
Rasmussen Reports
Fielded
May 15–16, 2016
Population
adults
Sample size
1,000
Sample frame
mixed-mode probability
Mode
national telephone survey
Margin of error
+/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence
Geography
US national
Base notes
results also reported for adults with elementary and secondary school age children

Sources

Verification note. Wording read verbatim from Rasmussen's questions page; toplines, party splits and the parent subgroup from the public release. Fielded two days after the May 13, 2016 federal Dear Colleague letter on transgender students, and asked again word-for-word after the guidance was rescinded (February 22-23, 2017), giving a clean two-point before/after pair on identical wording: 33% favor in May 2016, 38% in February 2017.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (2)

School policyfavor/opposein a trend series
transgender students' bathroom access under the federal guidance

The federal government has ordered all public schools in America to allow transgender students to use the bathrooms of the gender they identify with.

The federal government has ordered all public schools in America to allow transgender students to use the bathrooms of the gender they identify with. Do you favor or oppose allowing transgender students to use the bathrooms of the opposite biological sex?

Favor 33%51% Oppose

Wording notes: preamble says 'the gender they identify with' while the question switches to 'the bathrooms of the opposite biological sex' | 'ordered' characterizes the guidance as a command

tilts_restrictive — the same two-vocabulary construction Rasmussen reused in February 2017: the respondent is briefed in identity language and then asked to endorse 'the opposite biological sex', which is the opponents' description of the same policy

Subgroup figures (8)

party

GroupFavor
Democrats50%
Republicans13%
Unaffiliated30%

parent_status

GroupFavorOpposeNot sure
Adults with elementary and secondary school age children32%55%13%

other

GroupFavor
Married adults25%
Unmarried adults34%
School policyforced choicein a trend series
which level of government should set school bathroom policy

Who should be responsible for setting bathroom policies in elementary and secondary schools - local government, state government or the federal government?

Local government
41%
State government
25%
The federal government
24%

Wording notes: recasts the dispute as a federalism question with transgender students unmentioned

neutral — three levels of government offered without characterization; identical wording to the February 2017 wave, so the two are directly comparable

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →