mixed-mode probability
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports national survey · Jul 26–27, 2017 · US national
Methodology
- Pollster
- Rasmussen Reports commercial
- Sponsor
- Rasmussen Reports
- Fielded
- Jul 26–27, 2017
- Population
- likely voters
- Sample size
- 1,000
- Sample frame
- mixed-mode probability
- Mode
- national telephone and online survey conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC
- Margin of error
- ±3 percentage points
- Weighting
- not disclosed on the retrieved page
- Geography
- US national
Sources
Verification note. Wording read verbatim from Rasmussen's questions page; toplines and the party/ideology figures from the public release. Fielded the same two days as the Reuters/Ipsos wave on the same event, but by asking respondents to agree or disagree with the president's own sentence it produces a near-even split (44/45) where the Ipsos item's neutral policy choice produced 58/27 for allowing service. The pair is a clean natural experiment in question construction and belongs together in any analysis. || toplines, party breaks, field dates, n and margin of error read from the Rasmussen release page. The literal question wording sits behind a separate 'questions' link that was not retrieved. HOUSE-EFFECT NOTE: fielded the same 48 hours as Reuters/Ipsos and days before Quinnipiac, this poll found near-even division (44-45) where Quinnipiac found 68-27 the other way - a wording-and-direction difference worth preserving: Rasmussen asked agreement with the president's ban, while Quinnipiac and Gallup asked whether transgender people should be allowed to serve.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (2)
Military serviceagree/disagree
agreement with President Trump's stated rationale for the ban
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement - 'Our military must be focused on decisive and overwhelming victory and cannot be burdened with the tremendous medical costs and disruption that transgender in the military would entail.'
Wording notes: asks respondents to react to one side's argument rather than to choose between policies | the quoted statement asserts contested facts about medical costs and disruption inside the stimulus | agree/disagree format is vulnerable to acquiescence bias
tilts_restrictive — the respondent is handed the president's own framing, including its factual claims about cost and disruption, with no counter-statement offered; agreeing requires only accepting a fluent argument, and the result - 44/45 - sits 30 points away from what a neutral policy choice produced in the field on the identical days
Subgroup figures (9)
agreement with President Trump's announced ban on transgender military service
Do you agree or disagree with President Trump's decision that the United States government will not accept or allow transgender individuals to serve in any capacity in the U.S. military?
Wording reconstructed from: reconstructed from the Rasmussen article's reference to the president's statement; the linked Rasmussen questions page was not retrieved
Wording notes: attributes the policy to President Trump by name, which converts the item partly into a partisan-cue item | asks about agreement with a ban rather than about whether transgender people should be allowed to serve - the reverse direction from Gallup and Quinnipiac
tilts_restrictive — presidential attribution supplies a partisan cue that raises Republican agreement, and the agree/disagree construction on a restriction-direction statement invites acquiescence; the 24-point divergence from Quinnipiac's contemporaneous reading is the clearest single illustration of framing effects in the 2017 military-ban polling
Subgroup figures (4)