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Rasmussen Reports

Nevada Question 1 Survey (Rasmussen Reports / Capitol Resource Institute) · Oct 13–17, 2022 · US: Nevada

Data flag. ADVOCACY INSTRUMENT: fielded for the Capitol Resource Institute. Question 1 describes the ballot measure as covering 'race, color, creed, age, and other identifiers', omitting the gender identity and sexual orientation categories that are the measure's substance, and the instrument closes with two explicit push items. Treat as message-testing, not opinion measurement.

Methodology

Pollster
Rasmussen Reports commercial
Sponsor
Rasmussen Reports and Capitol Resource Institute
Commissioned by
Capitol Resource Institute
Fielded
Oct 13–17, 2022
Population
likely voters
Sample size
707
Sample frame
unknown
Mode
telephone and online; fieldwork conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC
Margin of error
+/- 4 percentage points
Weighting
not disclosed
Geography
US: Nevada

Sources

Verification note. Question wording and total percentages read from the Rasmussen public toplines page; party breaks read from the public crosstabs page. Sponsor Capitol Resource Institute is a socially conservative advocacy organization that campaigned against Nevada Question 1, so the wording is advocacy-commissioned. || WORDING RECOVERY SWEEP. Rasmussen's own question-wording page for this fielding was located and is public; the database had only an abbreviated rendering of the Question 1 item. The recovered instrument shows the survey is an advocacy instrument for the Capitol Resource Institute: it opens with a neutral description of Question 1, then runs a sequence of items designed to move opinion, ending with two explicit 'if you knew...' push items.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (7)

Nondiscriminationparaphrasedsupport/oppose
Nevada Question 1 state ERA that adds gender identity or expression and sexual orientation to the state constitution

Would add a guarantee to the state constitution that equal rights would not be denied to any person on account of race, color, creed, age, and other identifiers.

Wording reconstructed from: Rasmussen Reports public crosstab page for NV Q1, Oct 13-17 2022; the retrieved rendering appears to be an abbreviated description of the ballot-measure stem rather than the full interviewer script, so it is flagged non-verbatim

Support 61%26% Oppose

Wording notes: ballot-measure description as retrieved does not itself name gender identity

unclear — the retrieved stem omits the gender identity and sexual orientation language that the very next item foregrounds, so the pair may function as a before/after framing test

Subgroup figures (15)

party

GroupStrongly supportSomewhat supportSomewhat opposeStrongly opposeNot sure
Republican27%20%11%23%19%
Democrat65%18%5%6%6%
Other31%23%13%17%16%
Nondiscrimination4-point scale
effect of adding gender identity and sexual orientation on support for the state ERA

follows the preceding item describing Nevada Question 1

Question 1 asks voters to expand these protections to gender identity and sexual orientation. Does this make you more or less likely to support the amendment?

Wording notes: isolates gender identity and sexual orientation from the rest of the amendment | asked immediately after a version of the measure that omits those categories

tilts_restrictive — splitting the sexual orientation and gender identity categories out of the amendment and re-asking invites reconsideration in the direction of opposition; the sponsor was campaigning against the measure

Subgroup figures (15)

party

GroupMuch more likelySomewhat more likelySomewhat less likelyMuch less likelyNot sure
Republican9%23%13%44%11%
Democrat57%22%7%6%9%
Other17%20%17%34%12%
Sportssupport/opposein a trend series
trans women competing in women's sports

Do you support or oppose men who identify as women being able to compete in women's sports?

Support 23%72% Oppose

Wording notes: uses 'men who identify as women' rather than 'transgender women'

loaded_terms — 'men who identify as women' presupposes the answer by denying the subject's gender, which is the contested premise of the question

Subgroup figures (15)

party

GroupStrongly supportSomewhat supportSomewhat opposeStrongly opposeNot sure
Republican4%3%10%80%3%
Democrat23%23%21%29%4%
Other12%5%13%61%10%
Bathrooms & facilitiessupport/opposein a trend series
trans women using women's restrooms and locker rooms

Do you support or oppose men who identify as women being able to use women's restrooms and locker rooms?

Support 30%65% Oppose

Wording notes: uses 'men who identify as women' rather than 'transgender women' | bundles restrooms and locker rooms in one item

loaded_terms — 'men who identify as women' denies the subject's gender; bundling locker rooms with restrooms folds the most contested case into a single response

Subgroup figures (15)

party

GroupStrongly supportSomewhat supportSomewhat opposeStrongly opposeNot sure
Republican5%6%7%79%4%
Democrat30%24%15%24%6%
Other12%14%10%58%6%
Youth medical caresupport/opposein a trend series
surgeries, hormones and puberty blockers for minors

Do you support or oppose gender-affirming surgeries or the prescription of hormones and puberty blockers for minors?

Support 29%66% Oppose

Wording notes: bundles surgery with hormones and puberty blockers in a single item | no age floor or eligibility criteria specified

double_barreled — surgery, hormones and puberty blockers are three distinct interventions with very different public support; combining them lets the most restrictive component drive the answer

Subgroup figures (15)

party

GroupStrongly supportSomewhat supportSomewhat opposeStrongly opposeNot sure
Republican4%8%6%76%5%
Democrat24%29%16%25%7%
Other9%12%14%60%5%
Identity beliefs4-point scalein a trend series
belief that gender is a spectrum rather than binary

How closely does this statement match your beliefs? 'Gender isn't just man or woman, it is a spectrum.'

Not at all closely
41%
Very closely
21%
Somewhat closely
17%
Not very closely
14%
Not sure
8%

Wording notes: single-statement agreement format with no counter-statement offered

neutral — the statement is stated plainly and the scale is symmetric, though offering only the affirming proposition rather than a paired alternative carries a mild acquiescence risk

Nondiscriminationsupport/opposein a trend series
Nevada Question 1 state equal-rights amendment

How closely have you been following news of Nevada's Equal Rights Amendment to its constitution, also known as "Question 1."

Question 1 would add a guarantee to the state constitution that equal rights would not be denied to any person on account of race, color, creed, age, and other identifiers. Do you support or oppose Question 1?

Support 61%26% Oppose

Wording notes: the description omits the very categories the amendment adds - gender identity or expression and sexual orientation - substituting 'and other identifiers' | that omission is then exploited by later items in the same instrument

tilts_affirming — as written this specific item understates the amendment's contested content, which inflates baseline support (61%); the instrument then uses that inflated baseline as the contrast for its push items. The item is biased in the affirming direction while the survey as a whole is built to produce a restrictive conclusion.

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →