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RWRedfield & Wilton Strategies
Redfield & Wilton Strategies US national poll for Newsweek - estimates of the transgender population · Apr 30, 2023 · US national
Methodology
- Pollster
- Redfield & Wilton Strategies commercial
- Sponsor
- Newsweek
- Commissioned by
- Newsweek
- Fielded
- Apr 30, 2023
- Population
- eligible voters
- Sample size
- 1,500
- Sample frame
- online opt-in
- Panel
- not disclosed
- Mode
- not disclosed in Newsweek's write-up; Redfield & Wilton fields online panel surveys
- Margin of error
- not disclosed
- Weighting
- not disclosed
- Geography
- US national
- Base notes
- 1,500 eligible voters in the U.S.
Sources
Verification note. Percentages, field date (30 April 2023) and n=1,500 eligible voters come from Newsweek's write-up of the Redfield & Wilton tables as returned by search; the R&W research archive page was not retrieved in this session, so the verbatim stem, response-option labels and any party crosstabs are missing. || RESOLVED on figures; methodology partly missing. newsweek.com was retrieved in full via curl with a browser user agent this session. CONFIRMED: 'a survey of 1,500 eligible voters in the U.S. by Redfield & Wilton Strategies on April 30', matching the stored n and field date. RECOVERED - the full response distribution for the population-estimate item, which the previous extractor did not have: 16 percent said fewer than 1 percent (the correct answer), 22 percent said between 1 and 3 percent, 18 percent said between 3 and 5 percent, 21 percent said more than 5 percent, and 23 percent said they did not know, with 61 percent being the combined share estimating 1 percent or more. THREE ADDITIONAL ITEMS from the same fielding are now captured: media attention to trans issues (42 percent too much, 19 percent not enough), agreement with 'Almost nobody is talking about trans issues' (46 percent disagreed), personally knowing a transgender person (8 percent yes, 89 percent no), and self-described support for transgender rights (45 percent supporter, 39 percent not, 16 percent don't know). STILL MISSING: mode, weighting and margin of error, which Newsweek does not publish, and the literal stems. WHAT TO TRY NEXT: Redfield & Wilton's own research archive tables for the 30 April 2023 USA poll.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (5)
public estimate of the share of the population that is transgender
What percentage of the population do you think identifies with a different gender to the one they were born with?
Wording reconstructed from: paraphrase from Newsweek's description of the R&W item
Between 1% and 3%
22%
More than 5%
21%
Between 3% and 5%
18%
Fewer than 1% (the approximately correct answer)
16%
Don't know
23%
1% or more (NET) 61%
Wording notes: innumeracy item - measures misperception rather than attitude
neutral — a closed-band estimation item with a don't-know option; the bands are not obviously skewed
whether trans issues receive too much media attention
[stem not published] whether transgender issues receive too much, too little or about the right amount of media attention
Wording reconstructed from: Newsweek's description of the Redfield & Wilton results
Trans issues receive too much media attention
42%
Trans issues do not receive enough media attention
19%
Wording notes: only two of the response shares were published, so the middle and don't-know shares are unknown
unclear — stem unpublished
agreement with the statement that almost nobody is talking about trans issues
Almost nobody is talking about trans issues.
Wording notes: agree/disagree item, which is subject to acquiescence bias | negatively worded statement
unclear — a single-statement agree/disagree construction invites acquiescence; only the disagree share was published
personally knowing a transgender person
[stem not published] whether the respondent personally knows someone who identifies as transgender
Wording reconstructed from: Newsweek's description of the Redfield & Wilton results
No
89%
Yes, personally knows someone who identifies as transgender
8%
Wording notes: the 8 percent yes rate is far below contemporaneous estimates from other pollsters, which is itself a finding worth checking against the pollster's own table
unclear — stem unpublished
self-described support for transgender rights
[stem not published] whether the respondent would describe themselves as a supporter of transgender rights
Wording reconstructed from: Newsweek's description of the Redfield & Wilton results
Describes self as a supporter of transgender rights
45%
Does not
39%
Don't know either way
16%
Wording notes: identity/self-label item rather than a policy item
unclear — stem unpublished